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Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Wednesday, April 08, 2020

The US war against coronavirus has taken devastating turns this week. But with more people taking social distancing seriously, researchers predict the coming months won't be as dire as initially feared. More than 400,000 people in the US have been infected with coronavirus, and more than 12,900 have died. A record 1,858 deaths were reported in just one day Tuesday. ... But there's a bit of good news: The modeling shows fewer people will die from coronavirus than previously expected. On Tuesday, the IHME estimated about 82,000 people will die from coronavirus disease by August. On Wednesday, that estimate was lowered to 60,415.

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More than 6.6 million US workers have filed for their first week of unemployment benefits as coronavirus cripples the economy.

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Apropos of nothing really... the title of the thread reminds me of a joke.

Man : The dinosaurs were wiped out 65,000,035 years ago.

Woman: How can you be sure of such a specific number?

Man: Because 35 years ago when I was in college I took a paleontology class and the professor told us that dinosaurs were wiped out 65,000,000 years ago.

#1 | Posted by moder8 at 2020-04-08 05:13 PM | Reply | Funny: 1

The official death toll is about to pass 15,000.

The actual death toll is likely closer to 20,000 to 25,000.

Remember if we can't test you for it, we can't officially report you died of it.

#2 | Posted by Sycophant at 2020-04-08 05:27 PM | Reply

"We have it totally under control. It's one person coming in from China. We have it under control. It's going to be just fine."

#3 | Posted by JOE at 2020-04-08 05:29 PM | Reply

Wisconsin is about to have a huge bump in cases. Good Job, GOP!

#4 | Posted by Sycophant at 2020-04-08 05:33 PM | Reply

How do they make these projections of deaths? They seem kind of bullschitty to me. Any changing variable will affect the total.
My guess, nobody really knows how many will die. Hope it's not too many.

#5 | Posted by Effeteposer at 2020-04-08 05:36 PM | Reply

So long as most of the 400,000 cases are hurting the people that need to be hurt, Trumpers are basically okay with this.

#6 | Posted by snoofy at 2020-04-08 05:38 PM | Reply

"How do they make these projections of deaths?"

It's called math.
You probably haven't heard of it.

#7 | Posted by snoofy at 2020-04-08 05:49 PM | Reply

2% of deaths in March were from Corona. Let that sink in.

#8 | Posted by fishpaw at 2020-04-08 06:02 PM | Reply

How do they make these projections of deaths?

Expertise in epidemiology and peer review.

#9 | Posted by rcade at 2020-04-08 06:27 PM | Reply

How do they make these projections of deaths?
#5 | POSTED BY EFFETEPOSER

It's pretty easy to see the rough outline.

With no cure and no vaccine, the virus simply spreads wherever we spread it. Which is most everywhere.

Now, it won't quite get to 100% of Americans, because as the number of infected goes up, so does the number of survivors, who are now immune and don't spread. And some people will naturally just never come into contact with a contagious person. But a safe estimate is one third too two-thirds will get it, over the next 18 months.

One or two thirds of America is about 100 to 200 million people, at a death rate of 1%, means one to two million dead.

#10 | Posted by snoofy at 2020-04-08 06:38 PM | Reply

Thanks Trump!

#11 | Posted by aborted_monson at 2020-04-08 06:40 PM | Reply

Korea has about 20k, same with Canada, while Taiwan has like 400. Sure the pops are different, but even so, the US results are terrible.

#12 | Posted by bored at 2020-04-08 06:56 PM | Reply


ncov2019.live

Quick Facts

updated: a few seconds ago

Total Confirmed Cases: 1,514,528

Total Deceased: 88,292

Total Serious: 39,036

Total Recovered: 338,369

April 8, 2020 - 1,500,000 cases
April 2, 2020 - 1,000,000 cases
March 26, 2020 - 500,000 cases

#13 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-04-08 07:13 PM | Reply

With proper planning, preparedness, and reaction, that number might be less than half.

Yeah, thanks Republicans.

#14 | Posted by Corky at 2020-04-08 07:24 PM | Reply

It will be down to zero soon.
Democrat Hoax!
" COVFEFE-45 "

#15 | Posted by e1g1 at 2020-04-08 07:28 PM | Reply

When is the racist orange turd going to fire up the crematoriums?

#16 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2020-04-08 07:38 PM | Reply

#8 most of those that die at home now are covid related. Most of those are not tested and thus not counted as covid. It will take months to get accurate numbers of covid deaths unfortunately.

#17 | Posted by bored at 2020-04-08 07:48 PM | Reply

#16 Are you guessing he is about to call for retrofitting the one on the Mall behind his house?

#18 | Posted by grumpy_too at 2020-04-08 07:54 PM | Reply

Larry "The Virus is Contained" Kudlow totally nailed it.

So much winning!

#19 | Posted by anton at 2020-04-08 07:58 PM | Reply

"2% of deaths in March were from Corona. Let that sink in.

#8 | POSTED BY FISHPAW AT 2020-04-08 06:02 PM | FLAG: "

And 0% of deaths in January ( and almost all of February for that matter ) were from Corona. Let that sink in.

#20 | Posted by Foreigner at 2020-04-08 08:01 PM | Reply

#10 Thank you, no snark, but how do they know the death rate as it unfolds? Obviously that's going to vary from population to population. One percent is kind of a low ball guess given the death rate in Italy was 10%. Also different states are taking this differently, so the death rates would vary from state to state. I'm just getting started. Travel patterns. Compliance with social distancing. You get the point.

#21 | Posted by Effeteposer at 2020-04-08 08:42 PM | Reply

Comorbidity in the US is going to grossly inflate our deaths per capita - there's plenty of documentation, look it up. NIH is one of my favorite sources. Obesity, hypertension, old people(in close proximity with each other in nursing homes), homelessness, malnutrition, there's more so take you're pick. Plus people just plain too stupid or ignorant to take proper precautions. It didn't have to be like this but I guess we've earned it.

#22 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 10:02 PM | Reply

"Comorbidity in the US is going to grossly inflate our deaths per capita"

Hurting the people who need to get hurt.

The old, the sick, the genetically inferior.

It's gonna save the taxpayer money in the long haul!

#23 | Posted by snoofy at 2020-04-08 10:10 PM | Reply

...but I guess we've earned it.

Yep. Classic Toseure. Usual posting time as well.

LOL.

#24 | Posted by REDIAL at 2020-04-08 10:19 PM | Reply

>>The old, the sick, the genetically inferior.

TRump fits that description. So does Biden. And at least 1/3 of the US population fits 2 out of three.

#25 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 10:22 PM | Reply

>>Yep. Classic Toseure. Usual posting time as well.

>>LOL.

Redial, you're tiresome at this point. If you really think I'm your boy Tosser/Tremain or any other of your favorite ------- please complain to RCADE.

#26 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 10:25 PM | Reply

...please complain to RCADE.

He's busy, and it's more fun this way.

#27 | Posted by REDIAL at 2020-04-08 10:31 PM | Reply

Koslov is a blacklist reference @Redial, Tremaine claimed to be too edgy to watch Netflix shows.

@Koslov, do you think Raymond Reddington is the real Raymond Reddington?

#28 | Posted by GOnoles92 at 2020-04-08 10:32 PM | Reply

#28

I stopped watching so season seven can wrap up and I can binge the rest of it. There was an episode in an earlier season where Reddington was shown from the back changing his shirt, and he has severe scarring (from burns?). I can't predict what sort of shenanigans the writers have in mind but at this point I'm leaning towards yes he's the real Redddington. And I'm glad there's going to be a season 8.
I also binged Orphan Black, thought it was a damn fine show.

#29 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 10:42 PM | Reply

REDIAL

Here's your stats for the US, a lot of the diseases listed are preventable by not being lazy fat alcoholic TRump supporters. The information has been available for decades, so yeah we've earned the comorbidity fatalities that are going to come with this pandemic.

www.cdc.gov

#30 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 10:59 PM | Reply

#28

James Spader must be a lot stronger than he looks because he's been carrying Black List by himself since season 5.

#31 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-08 11:09 PM | Reply

2% of deaths in March were from Corona. Let that sink in.

#8 | POSTED BY FISHPAW

If it was equally distributed nationwide you would have a point.

But it's not, so you don't.

What % of total deaths in NY were from COVID?

#32 | Posted by jpw at 2020-04-09 12:25 AM | Reply

#32 - True. 44% from NY does not an even distribution make.

#33 | Posted by hoser at 2020-04-09 09:41 AM | Reply

2% of deaths in March were from Corona. Let that sink in.

#8 | POSTED BY FISHPAW

And it's already at about 6% this month.

If the trend continues, 30%-40% of deaths in the US in April will be from Coronavirus.

Aren't numbers fun?

#34 | Posted by Sycophant at 2020-04-09 03:00 PM | Reply

#34

This isn't fun on any level, but you know that. The COVID-19 deaths in late April, May, June...are going to be mostly isolated people living alone, obese southern state populations (stats available at cdc.com), poor, homeless, and the elderly in all regions of the US. Early testing, tracking, and isolation of infected individuals could have mitigated a lot of this.

#35 | Posted by Ilya_Koslov at 2020-04-09 11:56 PM | Reply

The official death toll is about to pass 15,000.
The actual death toll is likely closer to 20,000 to 25,000.
Remember if we can't test you for it, we can't officially report you died of it.

#2 | POSTED BY SYCOPHANT AT 2020-04-08 05:27 PM | REPLY

You're biased to not look at the bright side of the statistics. Zero pneumonia deaths since Covid. That's 50k a year by itself.

#36 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2020-04-10 11:47 AM | Reply

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