Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Saturday, May 16, 2020

We're more than one month into America's worst economic crisis in 80 years and Trump's approval rating is still considerably higher than it has been for most of his presidency. Most national polls are of registered voters, not likely ones. And since the GOP's older voting base still turns out more reliably than the Democrats' younger one, "a reasonable estimate is that Mr. Biden is performing four or five points worse among likely voters in the critical states than he is among registered voters nationwide." Furthermore, over the past two decades, U.S. voters have become ever-more-tightly ensconced in one party or the other. Ticket-splitting " the practice of voting for one party at the presidential level but another down-ballot " has plummeted since Barack Obama's election. This has reduced the importance of many nonpartisan variables in electoral outcomes.



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#1 | Posted by Effeteposer at 2020-05-16 11:20 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

The networks even the liberal ones want a horse race.
A blue tsunami is bad for business. Tough though, a blue Tsunami is happening.

#2 | Posted by aborted_monson at 2020-05-17 01:47 AM | Reply

Trump will win re-election.

Republicans control the EC.

They will make sure Trump wins it, no matter what they have to do.

#3 | Posted by ClownShack at 2020-05-17 01:59 AM | Reply


I don't think anybody underestimates Trump's penchant for dirty tricks. But daylight is burning and he only has 172 days left to get the Covid-19 virus off his back.

That's going to be his Waterloo and he's powerless to stop it. Little microscopic goblets of fat pay no attention to his lies, schemes and dirty tricks.

Right now he looks a lot like a man who is sweating bullets.

#4 | Posted by Twinpac at 2020-05-17 02:48 AM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

#2 and #4

His support is still and it will be no cakewalk for Biden. In fact as things stand Biden has an uphill battle, most people in my circle are not paying attention to politics right now they have other things on their mind right now. That will always work better for the incumbent than the challenger. Right now people have some security due to unemployment expansions, mortgage forbearance etc. if that holds out until November and the news is dominated by one subject until November it actually looks very bad for Biden.

Of course the ironic?, funny?, sad?, part of the previous paragraph is the Democrats pushed for the provisions in the CARES act that are keeping people secure and disengaged and they are pushing for more. If democrats were more like republicans they would drop all efforts to aid and succor Americans let the free market wipe out the savings, and lives of ordinary citizens and use that anger to dominate in November.

#5 | Posted by TaoWarrior at 2020-05-17 07:44 AM | Reply

Trump can win, and that's horrifying.

But Trump doesn't think he's winning, and that's clear from what he does.

#6 | Posted by Zed at 2020-05-17 09:09 AM | Reply

#6 Trump is making moves to control the narrative. Where I am, people are already out without masks.

#7 | Posted by BruceBanner at 2020-05-17 10:20 AM | Reply

60% chance of being re-elected. Down from 70% due to his abysmal crisis response, but still better than 50-50.

Unless something else happens, I don't see my opinion of his re-election chances dropping any more.

#8 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-17 10:55 AM | Reply

But daylight is burning and he only has 172 days left to get the Covid-19 virus off his back.


You're being foolish.

His supporters don't believe Trump has anything to do with COVID 19 spreading across America.

That's China's fault

They're all more upset with Democrats for shutting down the economy.

They believe it's an attempt to spread communism.

#9 | Posted by ClownShack at 2020-05-17 11:03 AM | Reply

@5, in all due respect, I disagree.
Everytime Trump talks in front of a camera, or tweets, his shot of winning re-election goes down, and he can't stop doing either. He's his own worst enemy and it's on display for the whole world to see.

#10 | Posted by aborted_monson at 2020-05-17 05:24 PM | Reply

#10 I wish I could share your optimism however most people are not as engaged as the folks on this blog. Most people are just not hearing it or worse hearing it with the fox news/Russian FB spin on it.

I guess we will see in November '

#11 | Posted by TaoWarrior at 2020-05-17 05:44 PM | Reply


You're being foolish.
His supporters don't believe Trump has anything to do with COVID 19 spreading across America."

I didn't claim they did. And who cares anyway? I'm saying that Trump's dirty tricks won't outweigh the death and destruction this country is witnessing IN REAL TIME ~ and who spent months trying to lie his way out of any responsibility for his sluggishness.

And who continues to lie about it every single day RIGHT NOW.

It's all on video tape and twitter ~~ all of which is going to make great campaign fodder for Joe Biden to use against him.

#12 | Posted by Twinpac at 2020-05-17 05:48 PM | Reply


All that matters is the Electoral College.

In my opinion. That's what the Republicans control.

They don't need the popular vote.

They just need a handful of states to vote for Trump

#13 | Posted by ClownShack at 2020-05-17 05:56 PM | Reply


Those "handful of states" Trump needs are called battleground states and Biden has maintained a 6 pt lead for months and is well within the margin of error in other important states like Florida and Texas.

This campaign hasn't even started yet and Trump is already dragging tail.

That's why I said Trump only has 172 days to get Covid-19 off his back. With the rate people are dying, that isn't even marginally possible. And Trump can't even lie his way out of those numbers.

Trump only had two paths to re-election ~~ the economy and the low unemployment. All that's gone now and 172 days isn't enough time to get it back.

#14 | Posted by Twinpac at 2020-05-17 06:33 PM | Reply

All the people speaking with certainty about who will win in November should consider the accuracy of their predictions in 2016.

Trump is willing to do anything to win and he controls the AG and IC.

Biden is a brave man.

#15 | Posted by bored at 2020-05-17 06:49 PM | Reply


Trump redundancy is predictable.

He keeps doing the same thing over and over again, expecting different results. (Insanity)

It's quite easy to calculate the odds on what he's doing to do before HE knows what he's going to do.

#16 | Posted by Twinpac at 2020-05-17 07:18 PM | Reply

If you're interested, the article lays out numbers that Biden needs in polls to win the electoral college. I will copy them here if someone doesn't get to it first.

#17 | Posted by BruceBanner at 2020-05-17 09:47 PM | Reply

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