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Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Sunday, May 31, 2020

President Donald Trump leads Joe Biden 51% to 44% in the so-called "red states" he won in 2016, according to an ABC News/Washington Post survey released on Sunday. Biden had a wide, 65% to 32% lead in the states won by Democrat Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The results highlighted the difference between a raw national poll -- in which Biden led Trump by 10 points, 53% to 43% among registered voters -- and the Electoral College, which will decide the victor in November. Clinton won the popular vote over Trump in 2016 by about 65.85 million to 62.95 million, but Trump triumphed in the Electoral College, 304 to 227.

Biden's national lead was also halved to five points, 51% to 46%, among people who say they're certain to vote in November ...

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... Biden's national lead was also halved to five points, 51% to 46%, ...

One rule of thumb I've used is that the likely voter delta needs to be in the 10 to 155 range to account for the current Electoral College bias towards red states.

#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-31 08:34 PM | Reply

@#1

10 to 155

- should be -

10 to 15%

#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-31 08:35 PM | Reply

We just have to make our best case and the voters will decide. If the current state of America isn't enough for them to want to eject Trump and vote Biden, then so be it. That's why we have elections.

Personally, I see Biden as better than Trump on every metric.

#3 | Posted by BruceBanner at 2020-05-31 08:38 PM | Reply

"Personally, I see Biden as better than Trump on every metric."

Not the least of which are Biden's potential judge picks vs Trump's. The country will never recover if Trump gets to fill the benches for 4 more years.

#4 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2020-05-31 09:00 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

@#4 ... The country will never recover if Trump gets to fill the benches for 4 more years. ...

Of course, that depends upon what direction you would want the Country to go in.

There are some who seem to be quite happy with the unchecked power of the Executive branch.

#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-31 09:04 PM | Reply

#5 Well that's an interesting thought. I guess a third of the country would like the place to be more like North Korea. Fascinating. I will have to think about that.

#6 | Posted by BruceBanner at 2020-05-31 09:12 PM | Reply

@#6 ... I guess a third of the country would like the place to be more like North Korea. ...

Well, it may be more than a third.

Indeed, the 2016 election has shown that it does not need to be a majorty of the Country, or even a majority of the popular vote.

And if you have ever listened (or read the transcripts of) AG Barr's recent speeches, you might develop deep concern about his views of an all-powerful, unchecked power of the Executive branch.

The Attorney General.

Scary stuff. But then again, that may be exactly why Pres Trump likes him so much. Pres Trump hates oversight.



#7 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-31 09:45 PM | Reply

#7 I read and posted the Atlantic piece on his ----- for a king potus, but only if it's a red king. I haven't read the speeches, but I will now, thanks.

Wrt 30 percent, I'd like to know that number. 38 percent may be the right number. I can't fathom the psychology behind it though.

#8 | Posted by BruceBanner at 2020-05-31 10:06 PM | Reply

#5 Scary and sad but true.

#9 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2020-05-31 10:09 PM | Reply

@#8 ... I haven't read the speeches, but I will now, thanks. ...

Federalist Society, late last year (November, December?)

Here's a pointer...

Calls for AG Barr's Impeachment Intensify After Lunatic Authoritarian' Federalist Society Speech
lawandcrime.com


#10 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-05-31 10:35 PM | Reply

Not buying it. Sorry.

#11 | Posted by a_monson at 2020-06-01 06:53 AM | Reply

Just can't bring themselves to vote for baby-killers that are a-gonna take their guns!

The brainwashing was easy.

#12 | Posted by lee_the_agent at 2020-06-01 12:47 PM | Reply

What's that smell?

gracies fear.

What the actual headline of the survey says.

Advantage Biden, with risks; Trump disapproval grows: POLL

Biden holds a lead over Trump among registered voters.

#13 | Posted by donnerboy at 2020-06-01 12:55 PM | Reply

Missed the point Donner. Hillary had more registered voters.

#14 | Posted by sitzkrieg at 2020-06-02 07:49 AM | Reply

If the far left and the moderate to left leaning Indies sit on their hands again rather than voting for someone they may consider merely a lesser evil, then Trump can be re-elected by his Base.

This is not a normal election, this is a Trump must lose election.

Biden wasn't my first choice, but that's way besides the point now.

#15 | Posted by Corky at 2020-06-02 07:37 PM | Reply

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