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Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Wednesday, August 05, 2020

Historian Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984 has announced his pick for 2020: Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden

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This time, I hope his string of correct predictions continues.

#1 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-08-05 05:45 PM | Reply

7 keys false, 6 keys true.

Pretty close turnout. Should have added in there "Does the incumbent have ability to suppress the vote?" That true would make it a tie. I'm thinking that the unprecedented nature of this year's election might undermine Lichtman's methodology.

#2 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2020-08-05 05:49 PM | Reply

His lips to the electorate's ears. Now we just need the USC Dornsife/LA Times poll to do the same.

#3 | Posted by leftcoastlawyer at 2020-08-05 05:50 PM | Reply

Ain't going to matter, Trump is losing in a landslide.
There is almost no way he can win with electoral math.

Biden is sitting at 278 (270 is needed for a win) and that's not counting the swing states in which Biden is ahead in all by, 8-11 points in most of them. Plus Texas, Montana and Alaska are all "in play".

#4 | Posted by a_monson at 2020-08-05 05:58 PM | Reply

#2

The main thing that worries me is that the Short and Long Term Economic keys are only false because of COVID-19, which is why Cheatolini is desperate to reopen the economy so that it comes back enough to "flip" those indicators. If that happens then I wouldn't be surprised to see Lichtman change his tune.

#5 | Posted by leftcoastlawyer at 2020-08-05 06:18 PM | Reply

This guy has probably already been doxxed, and received dozens of crank calls and hateful emails. Trump supporters do not take kindly to anyone telling them their personal savior is not the strong, long-lasting gift from God they have been lead to believe...

#6 | Posted by catdog at 2020-08-05 06:46 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

...unless Trump & Barr & Russia cheat bigly...
and by all avaulable evidence, all three look to cheat BIGLY...

...it ain't over until it's over...

#7 | Posted by earthmuse at 2020-08-05 07:32 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Cheating is only sometimes successful if the numbers are within the margin of error.

Trump is losing by much much more than the margin of error, and it's only going to get worse as he keeps failing at everything he does.

The things that could help his numbers like extending UI at levels they were last week, bail out small business owners with enough cash to keep them afloat while being closed by extending PPP, being a leader and shutting down the US for 6 weeks to defeat Covid, Start making and holding police accountable for their actions, But he refuses to do those things.

That's why he is toast.

#8 | Posted by a_monson at 2020-08-05 10:31 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 2

once again...I won't be totally hopeful or
convinced until that Orange Menace is drug
out of the office, and Barr is booted from
his lair...

They will go to ANY lengths to save his
Presidency. And that is because both Barr
and Trump know they face very real legal
charges should he lose...

A very dangerous motivator.

#9 | Posted by earthmuse at 2020-08-06 05:48 AM | Reply

Is the RNC preparing bitem's impeachment papers before he's even sworn in?
#incompetence

#10 | Posted by phesterOBoyle at 2020-08-06 06:39 AM | Reply

#10 You should hashtag all your posts that way.

#11 | Posted by JOE at 2020-08-06 07:13 AM | Reply | Funny: 4 | Newsworthy 1

Is the RNC preparing bitem's impeachment papers before he's even sworn in?

#10 | Posted by phesterOBoyle

You have nothing left except a morbid love for a man who sincerely does not care if you live or die.

#12 | Posted by Zed at 2020-08-06 08:45 AM | Reply | Newsworthy 3

Is the RNC preparing bitem's impeachment papers before he's even sworn in?
#incompetence

#10 | POSTED BY PHESTEROBOYLE

No worries uncle Fester!

Trumpy proved you can't be impeached for incompetence.

#13 | Posted by donnerboy at 2020-08-06 10:26 AM | Reply

Trumpy proved you can't be impeached for incompetence.

#13 | Posted by donnerboy at 2020-08-06 10:26 AM | Reply | Flag:

Or actual crimes.

#14 | Posted by Nixon at 2020-08-06 12:01 PM | Reply

Or actual crimes.
#14 | POSTED BY NIXON

Well. He WAS impeached for that.

But he proved you can't be REMOVED for actual crimes and right now he is proving you can't be impeached or removed from office for criminal negligence.

#15 | Posted by donnerboy at 2020-08-06 12:21 PM | Reply

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