"Across the leading sportsbooks, Biden is the -126 favorite to win the election. Trump's betting line has lengthened to +103, his worst numbers since Aug. 21, when he was +104."
As recently as Aug. 10, Trump was the -110 chalk to win reelection.
However, the Sept. 19 numbers mark the fourth successive betting line in which his odds to capture the election grew longer. Trump's poll numbers are also painting a gloomy portrait of his future in the White House.
"In polling, 50% is considered to be a magic number. A candidate with 50% or more in the polls generally wins the election.
Currently, Biden is closing in on achieving that digit. The latest numbers from RealClearPolitics show Biden to be at 49.3% in national surveys. He holds a 6.2 percentage-point lead over Trump nationwide."
This time around, there aren't nearly the number of undecided voters that were available in 2016, and there's no solid third-party candidate to play the role of X-factor.
Trump will need to sway some Biden voters over to his side of the final six weeks in order to win this battle.
As well, Trump is an incumbent. He's running on his record. His best hope now is a strong debate performance against Biden."