Twin, you are missing a HUGE part of the puzzle. Mail-in-voting. Many, if not most of the states, will not have a final tally on the day of election. They will be days, if not weeks, counting these votes. All the while ------- will be claiming victory.
Some background, ------- is expected to have an election day lead, because a. red states will have fewer mail in votes to count and b. in person voting will skew red-because ------- has been claiming in person voting is safe and mail in voting is fraudulent. Democratic voters, who believe in the civic duty of not spreading COVID are more likely to vote by mail, as are younger voters (think college students). It has been reported that African Americans are more likely to vote by mail, especially in areas where in person voting will be difficult due to crowds.
ALL this leads to a situation where in person voting will lean towards -------. This is particularly true in nine(?) battleground states.
So, on election day, ------- will be ahead in the EC, based SOLELY on exit polls and incomplete vote counts and he will push for the states to certify their tallies based on the in person voting.
This is where ------- and the republican's lawsuits come in. They will be out in force in every battleground state raising countless lawsuits claiming fraudulent mail in voting.
So the legislatures, AGs and governors will be in a situation where they have to choose their electors-because they have hard deadlines for this. But what vote tallies do they use? the election day tallies? Partially counted mail in votes? Mail in votes that are being litigated?
So, you very likely will be left with situations where vote tallies are either incomplete, or under litigation (and definitely in dispute if they dont show ------- has won).
So, it will come down to the politics of the states and that ain't in Biden's favor.