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Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Wednesday, October 28, 2020

Wasserman was one of the few political commentators who correctly forecasted President Trump's victory in 2016, writing in FiveThirtyEight two months before the last election that there is an "unusually high chance Donald Trump could win the Electoral College while losing the popular vote."

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"But now, Wasserman is making the case that Biden has a better chance of beating Trump in 2020 than Hillary Clinton did in 2016 for multiple reasons.

"First, Biden's lead is larger and much more stable than Clinton's was at this point. Second, there are far fewer undecided and third-party voters left to woo " reducing the chances of a late break toward one side," Wasserman wrote in NBC News Tuesday.

"And third, the scores of district and state-level polls conducted by the parties to make spending decisions in down-ballot races generally align with national polls showing Trump running behind his 2016 pace, including in key states."

There are, of course, still paths to a second-term for the president. GOP strategist Karl Rove argued on "The Story" this week that Trump's chances for victory hinge on winning one of the three rustbelt states he carried in 2016: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin or Michigan."

(see Nate Silver onf Rove's scenario here: drudge.com)

#1 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 02:46 AM | Reply

As a dear friend just hours ago wrote:


it's a deranged situation that we have calmly accepted a reality where "oh yes one party is definitely going to win, but the other side is definitely going to cheat to steal the election from the winners, and they have lots of mechanisms to do so. But hey! Maybe they won't succeed if the winning side wins in very specific ways, though these very specific ways are very narrow. So good luck I guess."

Good luck, I guess, indeed.

#2 | Posted by ClownShack at 2020-10-28 02:55 AM | Reply | Newsworthy 2

"Second, there are far fewer undecided and third-party voters left to woo ""

This was the issue in 2016 and Democrats not showing up at the polls.

Both are the polar opposite this year. HUGE numbers of people are showing up and there are very few undecideds.

Worse for Trump, independents are leaning Biden rather heavily.

This could actually be a year where the polls overrate Trump.

#3 | Posted by Sycophant at 2020-10-28 11:20 AM | Reply

#3

One can only hope. It still bothers me that Biden supporters concerned about 'Rona may stay away from crowded polling places where mouthbreathers roam free.

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 11:42 AM | Reply

If it was the Bernie supporters that cost Hillary the election, as Corky has often suggested, then Debbie contributed strongly to turning the Bernie supporters off.

www.politico.com

#5 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-28 01:08 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

It still bothers me that Biden supporters concerned about 'Rona may stay away from crowded polling places where mouthbreathers roam free.

#4 | POSTED BY CORKY

I'm hoping that some large segment of Republicans are disgruntled and apathetic enough to just stay home.

#6 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-28 01:09 PM | Reply

#5

If some Bernie supporters could be "turned off" by anything some Rep in Fl did, they weren't concerned enough about giving us Donald Trump.

The only thing that might be funny if Trump wins is the BBros that didn't vote for Hillary telling us how Bernie would have definitely beat Trump this time.

#6

I hope you are right.

#7 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 01:18 PM | Reply

Vote for Biden like your vote will decide the election.....and get others to vote.

#8 | Posted by Tor at 2020-10-28 01:20 PM | Reply

This prediction doesn't account for the unprecedented cheating and blocking democracy trump is about to execute.

#9 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2020-10-28 01:22 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 2

I'm hoping that some large segment of Republicans are disgruntled and apathetic enough to just stay home.
#6 | POSTED BY WHATSLEFT AT 2020-10-28 01:09 PM | REPLY | FLAG

I hope so too, but here in Texas the GOP has turned up the "Biden is a communist" rhetoric and fear tactics to 11. Lots of Trump voters voting for him "for the country".

#10 | Posted by bartimus at 2020-10-28 01:24 PM | Reply

If some Bernie supporters could be "turned off" by anything some Rep in Fl did

Not just some Rep from FL. She was the DNC Chair.

Bernie would have definitely beat Trump this time.

I believe he would have. But I'm not going to get into an argument about it today. Biden is the candidate. Let's hope he pulls it off.

It concerns me that this could still be a struggle against the worst POTUS ever. To me, even if Biden wins, this may not bode well for 2024. The Dems better get some stuff done!

#11 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-28 01:30 PM | Reply

If Trump tries to steal this election by cheating there will be riots in the streets. And yes, I will be one of the rioters this time.

#12 | Posted by moder8 at 2020-10-28 01:31 PM | Reply

#12

Liberal rioters against right wing extremist guns. It'll be fun times....

#13 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-28 01:34 PM | Reply

- I believe he would have.

The swing voters in swing states are moderates, so that's highly unlikely. Trump spent a lot of time trying to make Joe into Bernie so he could run against him.

- She was the DNC Chair.

You mentioned Debbie, she was the FL Rep. And Donna Brazile walked back that article right after it was published.

#14 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 01:42 PM | Reply

And Donna Brazile walked back that article right after it was published.
#14 | POSTED BY CORKY

So you're saying she lied?

#15 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2020-10-28 01:45 PM | Reply

I'm saying what I said.... she walked back her comments.

#16 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 01:46 PM | Reply

www.washingtonpost.com

#17 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 01:47 PM | Reply

she walked back her comments.
#16 | POSTED BY CORKY

All of them? Like the whole story? And why are you posting directly to WP front page?

#18 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2020-10-28 01:50 PM | Reply

She walked back her comments about election "rigging"... which was the article I linked to, but Wapo wall took it to their home page.

Look it up yourself.

#19 | Posted by Corky at 2020-10-28 01:52 PM | Reply

Brazile summarizes some of her conclusions in the ensuing paragraph. She credits Clinton for resolving the DNC's debt but asserts that Clinton "expected to wield control of its operation" in return.

Then Brazile writes this: "By September 7, the day I was making this call to Bernie, I had found my proof and what I had found broke my heart."

The "proof" Brazile claims to have found is obviously the "proof" of rigging that she had promised to seek on Sanders's behalf. There's just no other way to read what Brazile wrote. ... She is now trying to make the more nuanced argument that Clinton exerted too much power but did win the nomination fairly.

www.washingtonpost.com

After reading that, it's clear Donna Brazile failed to walk back her accusations in her book.

Willie Geist pressed Brazile on this point during the "Morning Joe" interview:
GEIST: You said you came back and called Bernie after you found your proof. Proof of?
BRAZILE: Cancer. That there was cancer.
GEIST: But you said proof of it being rigged in the piece, no?
BRAZILE: I said " no.

Yes.

It is certainly true that Brazile, in her book, also refers to Clinton's influence over the DNC as a "cancer," but the passage in question states that Brazile sought and found "proof" that "Hillary's team had rigged the party process in her favor so that only she could win the nomination."

What Brazile said Wednesday was dramatically different from what she wrote in the book.

"The process was not rigged," Brazile told Geist.


So eitherway, she's a liar. Good to know.

#20 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2020-10-28 02:03 PM | Reply | Funny: 1

I don't really care who walked back what. Improprieties still occurred. Wasserman should probably STFU. This is not the time to attempt revival of her national reputation.

www.theguardian.com

#21 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-28 02:04 PM | Reply

o me, even if Biden wins, this may not bode well for 2024. The Dems better get some stuff done!

#11 | POSTED BY WHATSLEFT

If Biden wins, the United States as we know it will have a minimum of 4 and a maximum of 8 years left.

Everything a Biden/Harris administration does will be seen as persecution by Trumpers, who will come back angrier, more victimized and more bitter than ever with a candidate that will probably be a smarter, less impulsive Trump (ie Pompeo).

#22 | Posted by jpw at 2020-10-28 02:13 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 2

So either way, she's a liar. Good to know.
POSTED BY RSTYBEACH11 AT 2020-10-28 02:03 PM | REPLY | FLAGGED FUNNY BY CORKY

Funny, but true!

#23 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2020-10-28 03:29 PM | Reply

Connor Stone
@connorstonehere

The year is 2021. Joe Biden is president. You earn 410,000 dollars. 10,000 of them are taxed higher than the other 400,000. Your fist clenches. The communists have won.


#24 | Posted by ClownShack at 2020-10-28 03:50 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 5

"You earn 410,000 dollars. 10,000 of them are taxed higher than the other 400,000. Your fist clenches."

...While you ignore the $260,000 taxed lower than your fellow Americans, since the SS cutoff caps at ~$140K.

#25 | Posted by Danforth at 2020-10-29 12:55 AM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

#22

I don't really disagree.

If Trump wins, the U.S. is done next week. If Biden wins, we still have a slim chance.

#26 | Posted by Whatsleft at 2020-10-29 01:39 PM | Reply

I still have faith in the idea that Trump is just a big blow hard with no real friends.

#27 | Posted by TFDNihilist at 2020-10-29 06:53 PM | Reply

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