"Funny but not haha how Democrat Senators like Casey PA, Sherrod Brown OH etc are frantically buying into Trump policies on trade immig.. They abstain from Kamala rallies."

I think that article is trying to read too much into that ad. Casey is trying to appeal to Democrats, Republicans and Independents. Here's the Casey ad (video at link):

Transcript
I'm a Republican and I'm a Democrat. Our marriage, pure bliss. But on politics, we just don't agree except for Bob Casey. He's independent. That's right. Casey's leading the effort to stop corporate greed, inflation and price gouging Casey bucked Biden to protect fracking and he sided with Trump to end NAFTA and put tariffs on China to stop them from cheating. So, in this house, we agree it's Bob Casey who's doing right by Pennsylvania. I'm Bob Casey and I definitely approve this message.

"Overall, Baier interrupted Harris at least 38 times in 27 minutes, about twice as often as Baier interjected with Trump (at least 28 times in 36 minutes)."

FTA:

Donald Trump-backing Christian supremacists gathered en masse on the National Mall in Washington, D.C., on Yom Kippur on Oct. 12, to fast, atone, and receive messages about a holy revolution, national deliverance from LGBTQ "demons," and "spiritual warfare" matched to a physical "ground game."

As one preacher put it: "You are not here to be blessed. You are here to do war."

The militant gathering--marketed to draw "A Million Women" (it did not)--was riven with apocalyptic urgency. And it culminated with religious leaders taking up sledge hammers and pick-axes to destroy a replica of a pagan altar to an ancient goddess of "sexual immorality." Staged in front of the U.S. Capitol, which was desecrated by many of their co-religionists four years ago, this spectacle of destruction evoked dark memories of the Jan. 6 insurrection.

Yeah, Trump looks good for a 78 year old girdle, Depends and makeup wearing senior citizen:

Sorry, for the double post. :-(

Cry harder.
#1 | Posted by deadman

Who's crying? I'm posting articles you don't like. More info about Polymarket has been coming out:

What We Know About the Mystery Trader Betting Big on a Trump Win

A mysterious online trader is betting big on former President Donald Trump beating Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential race.

Trump and Harris are locked in a tight race with less than three weeks until Election Day. Polls show the two candidates separated by only tiny margins in battleground states. But online betting markets, where individuals are putting millions of real dollars on the results of the presidential race, have broken toward Trump in recent days.

Polymarket, one of the leading political betting markets that is based offshore and partially funded by Peter Thiel, gave Trump about a 60 percent chance off winning the election as of Wednesday, while Harris had a 40 percent chance of victory. Betting odds have fluctuated throughout the election and may change based on current events and polls that could affect the outcome of the race.

But one trader has appeared to be influencing the market by betting millions of dollars on a Trump victory.

As of late Tuesday, the trader, only known as Fredi9999, has purchased more than 15 million shares, valued at $8.7 million, betting that Trump would win the election.

They have also purchased more than 3 million shares betting that Trump would win the popular vote, and nearly 1.5 million shares that Trump would carry Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state that is viewed as the most likely tipping-point state this cycle. All told, Fredi9999's position is valued at more than $14 million on the platform.

Cry harder.
#1 | Posted by deadman

Who's crying? I'm posting articles you don't like. More info about Polymarket has been coming out:

What We Know About the Mystery Trader Betting Big on a Trump Win

A mysterious online trader is betting big on former President Donald Trump beating Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential race.

Trump and Harris are locked in a tight race with less than three weeks until Election Day. Polls show the two candidates separated by only tiny margins in battleground states. But online betting markets, where individuals are putting millions of real dollars on the results of the presidential race, have broken toward Trump in recent days.

Polymarket, one of the leading political betting markets that is based offshore and partially funded by Peter Thiel, gave Trump about a 60 percent chance off winning the election as of Wednesday, while Harris had a 40 percent chance of victory. Betting odds have fluctuated throughout the election and may change based on current events and polls that could affect the outcome of the race.

But one trader has appeared to be influencing the market by betting millions of dollars on a Trump victory.

As of late Tuesday, the trader, only known as Fredi9999, has purchased more than 15 million shares, valued at $8.7 million, betting that Trump would win the election.

They have also purchased more than 3 million shares betting that Trump would win the popular vote, and nearly 1.5 million shares that Trump would carry Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state that is viewed as the most likely tipping-point state this cycle. All told, Fredi9999's position is valued at more than $14 million on the platform.

#17 That moment is one of my favorites too. She handled the hecklers like a pro by thinking on her feet and making a joke about Trump's Achilles heel: crowd sizes.

*constant

Sounds like Trump is exhausted by his own gaslighting:

Vice President Kamala Harris said that "American people are exhausted with his [Trump's] gaslighting."

If Low Energy DonOLD is too exhausted to campaign, he's too old and tired to be president. Biden was too old and tired to be president and run for president at the same time. Trump, OTOH, is too old and tired to campaign, and he doesn't have a day job.

If he is so sorry, why didn't he correct his error in real time? If he is so sorry, why did he wait 24 hours to correct the record?

From the op-ed:

Trump's party has not urged him to step aside for the good of the country, as Biden's did. And much of the press is doing the American people a disservice by treating Trump's obvious cognitive slippage as just "Trump being Trump."

Yes, the press has a lot to wrestle with when it comes to Trump, including his embrace of authoritarian strongmen, his refusal to vow to accept the election results, his criminal conviction and civil judgments for fraud and sexual abuse, and his racism and disparagement of women, LGBTQ people, and immigrants.

But his diminishing cognitive ability can't be ignored. He may not be able to get a grip, but it's long past time the news media and Republicans stop participating in the gaslighting. We can see reality with our own eyes.

Laura Beers, a professor of history and expert on political betting at American University, told Newsweek there are numerous reasons an anonymous trader would be betting so much money on a Trump victory. For instance, there is historical precedent for using the idea of betting on politics "as a hedge."

"If Fredi9999 has business interests that stand to lose from a Trump victory, they could be betting on one to offset those potential future loses," she said. "There is evidence that British bettors used election markets this way in the early 20th century."

However, she noted that the trader "has been involved in significant in-and-out trading," suggesting "that they might be seeking to profit from market manipulation of their own devising, or just to profit from taking advantage of what they see as temporary shifts in the market."

The Commodities and Futures Trading Commission has previously warned about the potential for manipulation in betting markets, which were illegal in the U.S. until recently.

The trader could also be trying to influence the election by shifting the betting odds in Trump's favor, she said....

Whomever Fredi9999 is, the trader's bullishness extends beyond Trump to other GOP figures. They have also bought contracts in support of Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley, though both had ended their presidential campaigns by the time the profile was created.

What We Know About the Mystery Trader Betting Big on a Trump Win

A mysterious online trader is betting big on former President Donald Trump beating Vice President Kamala Harris in the presidential race.

Trump and Harris are locked in a tight race with less than three weeks until Election Day. Polls show the two candidates separated by only tiny margins in battleground states. But online betting markets, where individuals are putting millions of real dollars on the results of the presidential race, have broken toward Trump in recent days.

Polymarket, one of the leading political betting markets that is based offshore and partially funded by Peter Thiel, gave Trump about a 60 percent chance off winning the election as of Wednesday, while Harris had a 40 percent chance of victory. Betting odds have fluctuated throughout the election and may change based on current events and polls that could affect the outcome of the race.

But one trader has appeared to be influencing the market by betting millions of dollars on a Trump victory.

As of late Tuesday, the trader, only known as Fredi9999, has purchased more than 15 million shares, valued at $8.7 million, betting that Trump would win the election.

They have also purchased more than 3 million shares betting that Trump would win the popular vote, and nearly 1.5 million shares that Trump would carry Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state that is viewed as the most likely tipping-point state this cycle. All told, Fredi9999's position is valued at more than $14 million on the platform.

"Reuters conducted interviews with a focus group of 10 undecided voters, six of whom said that they would support Trump following the debate."

versus:

"Six said afterward they would now either vote for Trump or were leaning toward backing him."

See the difference?

Women voting for Harris is identity politics, but men voting for Trump is not. Got it.

The idea that Trump won the debate is false:

10 undecided voters explain why they haven't picked a side in this election

First, the debate was important for Harris. Most who watched said she performed better than Trump. They were not all moved to vote for her as a result, but four who seemed to need a degree of reassurance about Harris are now voting for her or leaning Harris' direction after the debate.

And while undecided voters often have unique reasons for what influences their votes, there was a clear gender divide. All four who say they are now voting for or leaning toward Harris are women. That also reflects the wide gender gap seen in polls between the candidates.

The other six--one woman and five men--were a mix. Five said they likely won't be voting for Harris, most citing the economy or immigration as reasons. One other said he is still truly undecided, but said prices are a major concern. Two are leaning toward Trump; another said she aligns more with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.; a self-described progressive said he doesn't like Harris' stance on the war in Gaza; and one other, a conservative, said he might not vote at all.

For the snap reaction to that, it is better to look at Polymarket where Trump is now up by 22.7% - a widening over about 4% from the pre-interview spreads. The market has spoken and she bombed.
#36 | Posted by deadman

Polymarket isn't exactly an unbiased source, is it?:

Polymarket is owned by Peter Thiel, the immigrant billionaire who has been JD Vance's sugardaddy for years and who is bankrolling MAGA and the Project 2025 machine. It's widely considered heavily biased and flawed to skew right. Complete --------.

Reuters conducted interviews with a focus group of 10 undecided voters, six of whom said that they would support Trump following the debate. Only three said they would back Harris, while a final voter was still undecided."

What the Reuters report actually said:

Sept 11 (Reuters) - Kamala Harris was widely seen as dominating Tuesday's presidential debate against Republican former president Donald Trump, but a group of undecided voters remained unconvinced that the Democratic vice president was the better candidate.

Reuters interviewed 10 people who were still unsure how they were going to vote in the Nov. 5 election before they watched the debate. Six said afterward they would now either vote for Trump or were leaning toward backing him. Three said they would now back Harris and one was still unsure how he would vote.

Peter Wehner
@Peter_Wehner

My take: Bret Baier has rarely looked as bad (or tendentious) as he did in his interview with Kamala Harris. On the flip side, this was one of her best interviews. She dominated Bret. All in all it was quite a bad day for MAGA world's most important media outlet.

Fox News political analyst Brit Hume on VP Harris:

"She was combative and energetic and certainly landed some blows on Donald Trump"

Trump told Fox & Friends that he would prefer Sean Hannity, Jesse Watters, or Laura Ingraham to moderate any future debate, saying that Watters "was fantastic last night, what he said." "Jesse really got it. Jesse said that Trump won that debate. We won that debate by a lot. No, I wouldn't want Martha involved. But I would take some others, yeah," Trump said, arguing that Bret Baier and Martha McCallum aren't qualified to moderate.
Yep.
#23 | Posted by REDIAL

The thing is if Trump did do an interview with Baier, Baier would never go after Trump the way he went after Harris, repeatedly interrupting her, etc. No one on Fox would. And if someone did dare to treat Trump like that, he wouldn't stand for it. He'd get up and walk out after the first five minutes.

I think it would be good if she proposed similiar plans for the working class in Appalachia, who are mostly white, for example, and not just for black entrepeneurs. Most of them would probably be too suspicious to take the money though, especially if the program it came from had Harris' name attached to it (think Obamacare vs the ACA or people in the mountains of WNC when it comes to accepting help from FEMA under Biden's presidency).