FiveThirtyEight has some advice about predicting the winner of the presidential election: Flip a coin. In four of the swing states, the margin is less than 1 point; in the other three it is less than 2 points. The margin of errors on these things is typically 4 points or so, not counting methodological errors. With numbers like that, all seven could go one way or the other way and it could end up being a landslide in the Electoral College in either direction.
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