Sunday, April 13, 2025

Trump’s Stupidity a Gift to Xi

Economically, the trade war may be bad news for Xi Jinping, but ideologically and politically it is a gift. As Donald Trump bragged to his acolytes in Washington that foreign leaders were queuing up and "kissing my ass", Beijing was announcing a "fight to the end". Trump may be about to discover that it is unwise to insult Beijing. The harder he plays it, the harder Beijing will play it back.

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This determination to fight to the end is both rooted in China's recent history and in concern for its future. Since the Chinese Communist party turned its guns on protesting students in Tiananmen in 1989, its propaganda has drummed the idea of a "century of humiliation" into generations of Chinese citizens.

The term is shorthand for the period between the first Opium war (1839-1842) and 1949, when the Communist party won China's civil war. It was a period in which western imperial powers forced the ailing Qing dynasty to make concessions on trade and extraterritorial rights, followed by the collapse of the imperial dynasty and the invasion of China by Japan.

Since 1989, the "century of humiliation" has been central to the CCP's message of aggrieved nationalism, and the promise to its citizens that the party would make China so rich and powerful that it would never again be bullied by foreign powers.

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Importantly,

That promise has substantially been delivered. Globalisation, access to markets and foreign investment triggered three decades of double-digit growth that transformed China from a poverty-stricken rural society to an urbanised industrial power, even if the benefits of growth remain unevenly distributed. No longer the low-wage, low-added-value world factory of the 1990s, today's China commands a lead across a range of advanced technologies and supply chains, including those essential for the energy transition, mid-range technology and defence.

#1 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2025-04-13 06:30 AM

Conclusion?

Hardship created by a government that mishandles the economy is a political problem. Hardship generated by a hostile external power can easily become an asset.

During Trump's first presidency, tariffs and export restrictions spurred China to greater self-reliance and domestic innovation. This latest round will reveal the depth of mutual dependency and how much reciprocal pain each side can inflict on the other.

China's leadership did not choose the fight, but it now believes that there are considerable gains to be made in this deadly contest for global influence.

#2 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2025-04-13 06:32 AM

Trump is an Idiot

#3 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2025-04-14 02:51 AM

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