Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Israel Probes Polymarket Trader who Forecast Start of Iran War

Donald Trump's son currently serves in an advisory role at Polymarket, while Trump himself has twice blocked investigations into the platform

Posted by C0RI0LANUS at 09:30 AM | 4 COMMENTS | permalink

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It appears that a Polymarket account called "Magamyman" made $515,000 in a single day betting on last night's U.S. strike on Iran, with the first trade placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly.

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-- Mike Levin (@mikelevin.org) Feb 28, 2026 at 11:55 PM

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"The Polymarket user, under the name "Magamyman," reportedly earned about $430,000 by predicting that the US would strike Iran on 28 February.

Roughly $529 million was bet on when the war would begin, with $90 million riding on 28 February.
Polymarket, a US-based gambling platform, operates with limited regulatory oversight, permitting bets on anything from sports events to weather changes to election results and war outbreaks.

Most of Magamyman's gains stemmed from bets on Israeli attacks targeting Iran. In October 2024, the same account correctly predicted an Israeli strike set for 26 October 2024, a date that Israeli security sources said was approved only days earlier.

This led to the investigation into whether the account holder had insider access or simply impeccable luck.

Earlier in February 2026, the Shin Bet, Israeli police, and the Defense Ministry arrested several soldiers suspected of placing similar bets using classified information."

~snip~

The vilest and most corrupt First Family in American history ever.


#1 | Posted by C0RI0LANUS at 2026-03-03 12:22 AM

JFC.

My Stalker missed flagging this as "FUNNY" too.

Wakey-wakey!

#2 | Posted by C0RI0LANUS at 2026-03-03 01:43 PM

Gives "war profiteering" a whole new meaning.

No one can ever match Trump and his family for their lack of ethics or concern for . . . just about anything.

Is there a betting line on the date of Barron's demise? With parents and older siblings like he has, I doubt he'll make it out of his 20s. Once he's out from under Melanoma's thumb, there's no telling what that towering bag of snot will be doing.

#3 | Posted by Dbt2 at 2026-03-04 10:20 AM

The most corrupt administration in US history by a far margin.

#4 | Posted by johnny_hotsauce at 2026-03-04 11:04 AM

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