Trump told Axios that the chance of reaching an agreement with the Iranians was a "solid 50/50," and that he either would accept a "good" deal or "blow them to kingdom come." Neither of these things is going to happen. Instead, a piece of paper will, at some point, come out of a meeting room in Pakistan. It will certify that the United States must accept a major strategic defeat in the Middle East. And Donald Trump, who brought America to this point because of his ego and his incompetence, will sign it.