Say Hello to Potential Tropical Cyclone 18

Sunday, November 03, 2024

The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm Monday and pass near Jamaica on Monday night and Tuesday where a Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect. The system is forecast to become a hurricane by Tuesday night and there is a risk of dangerous impacts from hurricane-force winds and storm surge in the Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba.

Posted by REDIAL at 11:30 PM | 10 COMMENTS | permalink

Comments

Looks like the NOAA/NHC 2024 season prediction was right on the money.

#1 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-04 11:36 AM

It's the abortions, stupid (video at link):

Tucker Carlson: "People are like, 'oh, well, we had another hurricane, it must be global warming.' No! It's probably abortion, actually. Just being honest. You can't kill children on purpose. You can't participate in human sacrifice without consequences."

x.com

#2 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-04 02:22 PM

NOAA forecasts extraordinarily busy Atlantic hurricane season (May 2024)
www.axios.com

... The NOAA is forecasting the season will bring 85% odds of an above normal season, with 17-25 named storms of tropical storm intensity or greater, eight to 13 of which will become hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater. ...

#3 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-04 04:55 PM

Now it's TS Rafael.

#4 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-04 05:03 PM

@#3 ... 85% odds of an above normal season, with 17-25 named storms of tropical storm intensity or greater, eight to 13 of which will become hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater. ...

Let's see how that May 2024 prediction has fared so far (hurricane season lasts until the end of November) ...

2024 Atlantic hurricane season
en.wikipedia.org

...
Seasonal statistics

Total storms 17
Hurricanes 10
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+) 4
...

As was said in #1 ... Looks like the NOAA/NHC 2024 season prediction was right on the money.

#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-04 06:45 PM

Total storms 17
Hurricanes 10

I believe Rafael makes that 18 and 11.

#6 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-04 06:56 PM

@#6 ... I believe Rafael makes that 18 and 11 ...

Storm names...
convoyofhope.org

...
1. Alberto
2. Beryl
3. Chris
4. Debby
5. Ernesto
6. Francine
7. Gordon
8. Helena
9. Isaac
10. Joyce
11. Kirk
12. Leslie
13. Milton
14. Nadine
15. Oscar
16. Patty
17. Rafael
18. Sara
19. Tony
20. Valerie
21. William
...

(I used to get tripped up because there is no "Q" named-storm name ...)

#7 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-04 07:06 PM

I was just going off it being Depression 18. One of the previous depressions must have fizzled out.

#8 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-04 07:09 PM

Tropical Depression 8 did not make it to Storm level.

#9 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-04 07:12 PM

@#9

Yeah, makes sense.

Thanks for the follow-up.

#10 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-04 07:24 PM

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