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Thursday, August 06, 2026

"The models are forecasting something outside the envelope of anything we have ever observed."


Two watchdog offices inside the Justice Department are tasked with investigating misconduct. Both have seen significant staff departures under Trump, partly from efforts to shrink government. Complaints to one watchdog hit a 20-year high while investigations hit a 20-year low.


Mwangi Enos: I have covered the energy market's evolution through the Iran-Iraq War, from Chevron CEO Mike Wirth's early warnings about depleting buffers to Shell's CEO describing the diesel and gasoline squeeze that emerged as refineries pivoted to jet fuel. On July 31, ExxonMobil Chairman and CEO Darren Woods also added the most analytically precise observation I have heard from an oil executive. There is a disconnect between crude prices and pump prices. read more


Reducing rampant pollution across the United States was so important that when Congress passed many environmental protection laws, including the Clean Air Act, Clean Water Act, and Safe Drinking Water Act, it didn't want to leave enforcement only to the executive branch. read more


Tom DeLay, the Texas Republican who was House majority leader from 2003 to 2005, said the Federal Communications Commission has no legal authority to repeal the National Television Ownership Rule. Despite DeLay's warning, the Trump FCC appears ready to eliminate the rule at its meeting this week. read more


Comments

How much has Elon Musk's Doge cut from US government spending? (April 2025)
www.bbc.com

... Elon Musk's Department of Government Efficiency (Doge) - set up to cut US government spending - claims to have saved, on average, more than $10bn a week since President Trump entered office.

"We're talking about almost $200bn and rising fast," Trump told the BBC when talking about Mr Musk's cost-cutting drive on 23 April.

Doge's website says it is focusing on cancelling contracts, grants and leases put in place by previous administrations, as well as tackling fraud and reducing the government workforce.

BBC Verify has looked at the agency's biggest claimed savings, examining the figures and speaking to experts.

Our analysis found that behind some of the large numbers, there is a lack of evidence to back them up.
How does Doge report savings?

In October, Mr Musk pledged to cut "at least $2 trillion" from the federal government budget. He subsequently halved this target and on 10 April talked about making savings of $150bn from "cutting fraud and waste" by the end of the next financial year in 2026.

The US federal budget for the last financial year was $6.75tn.

Doge publishes a running total of its estimated savings on its website - which stood at $160bn the last time the site was updated on 20 April.

However, less than 40% of this figure is broken down into individual savings.

We downloaded the data from the Doge website on 23 April and added up the total claimed savings from contracts, grants and leases.

Our analysis found only about half of these itemised savings had a link to a document or other form of evidence.

US media has also highlighted some accounting errors, including Doge mistakenly claiming to have saved $8bn from cancelling an immigration contract which in fact had a total value of $8m. ...


[good graphic in the article]

More from the article ...

... As a resident of a coastal region prone to hurricanes, one never wants to tempt fate. And in truth, since it is only early August, the bulk of seasonal activity definitely lies ahead of us. But all indications are we can look forward to a quiet season.

Why this season should be below normal

Why? First, there's the start. By the metric of "accumulated cyclone energy," a good measurement of overall intensity and duration of tropical systems, this year's value to date is less than 30 percent of where things normally are.

Historically, the Atlantic basin has usually seen three or four named storms by now, with one of those becoming a hurricane. ...

The leading seasonal hurricane forecaster, Phil Klotzbach at Colorado State University, has steadily been revising his outlook downward. In April, he and his team predicted 13 named storms and six hurricanes this season. In his latest, and final, outlook issued Wednesday, he is predicting nine named storms and four hurricanes. He expects the season's accumulated cyclone energy to only be about 40 percent of normal levels.

This would be a well-below-normal season, and certainly a welcome one for coastal residents in the United States from South Texas to Florida to Maine. ...

There's always a catch

Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist who writes at The Climate Brink newsletter, wrote a few weeks ago about emerging data that indicates it is possible this year's El Nio will be off the charts.

"The multi-model median for the event's peak currently stands at 3.6C, roughly 0.8C hotter than the prior record of 2.75C set in 2015-16," he said. "For context, the gap between the strongest and the fifth strongest El Nio of the past 150 years is only about 0.5C. The models are forecasting something outside the envelope of anything we have ever observed." ...



Iran Seeks to Bar US Ships in Hormuz as Deal With Oman Advances
finance.yahoo.com

... Iran will seek to bar US and Israeli ships from the Strait of Hormuz and require compensation from hostile countries before they're allowed to use it, according to local media reports on a proposed Iran-Oman deal to manage the crucial waterway.

The agreement has become key to expectations for a reopening of Hormuz and a resumption of energy flows that have been throttled since the US and Israel attacked Iran in February.

The text is now under review in Iran's parliament, the semi-official Fars news agency said. Fars reported other details including a proposed ban on any Israel-related cargo, and a fee structure covering services like insurance and environmental costs. ...


Trump Accuses WaPo of Treason as He Lashes Out Over Pete Hegseth Report: False and Completely Unfounded Rumors!'
www.mediaite.com

... President Donald Trump upped his criticism of The Washington Post all the way to a treason accusation after initially blasting the paper over a report suggesting he blew up on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

In a Thursday afternoon post to Truth Social, Trump dismissed the Post's story as "false" and "unfounded" and he praised Hegseth's work in the administration. He wrapped up his criticisms by saying he believes the Post's "fake" reporting is "treasonous." ...


www.tag24.com

... "I got sick of hearing about this K-shaped economy," Bessent said during an interview with CNBC on Tuesday. "I can say here definitively: The K-shaped economy is over!" ...

Trump, Hegseth clashed at Camp David over Iran missile depletion concerns
www.yahoo.com

... President Donald Trump's frustration over the Iran war boiled over at Camp David last week, where he demanded answers from Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on why he had apparently been misled on extreme munitions shortages that now threaten to limit military options with Iran, two people familiar with the exchange told The Washington Post.

The encounter took place on the sidelines of his Cabinet meeting at Camp David on Friday where Trump vented at Hegseth that he thought the munitions issue "had been fixed," according to both people familiar with the conversation, who, like others, spoke on the condition of anonymity due to fear of retaliation. ...


@#19 ... That's my take on it. ...

Yeah, and the MAGA trolls seem to be reveling in denigrating his win.

Pres Trump has even called into question election results.

Trump Reacts to El-Sayed Win, Calls Detroit Third World'
meidasnews.com

... President Donald Trump, reacting to the primary win of Dr. Abdul El-Sayed, attacked Michigan's Wayne County, home to Detroit, in a Truth Social post Wednesday, calling the area "one of the most corrupt voting areas in the United States" and describing it as "strictly Third World."

Trump repeated long-standing claims that the county's elections are fraudulent, alleging without evidence that more votes being cast than there are actual voters and warning of "fake mail-in ballots" ahead of November's election. ...


What might they be afraid of?

Some background ...

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau
en.wikipedia.org

... The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) is an independent agency of the United States government responsible for consumer protection in the financial sector. CFPB's jurisdiction includes banks, credit unions, securities firms, payday lenders, mortgage-servicing operations, foreclosure relief services, debt collectors, for-profit colleges, and other financial companies operating in the United States. ...


A data center opened next door. Then came the high-pitched whine.
www.politico.com

... Lindsay Shaw was happy when she found out a data center was going up 100 meters from her front door.

Unlike most of her neighbors, she preferred a supercomputing hub to a shopping mall, which might bring a crush of car traffic. She was even more pleased when she learned the data center would generate its own power -- rather than connecting to the grid and driving up her electric bills.

But then the data center turned on, along with the eight natural gas turbines powering it. Now her home is barraged by a high-pitch whine that she says has made her newly screened-in porch unusable.

"We don't want to be outside anymore," said Shaw, a cybersecurity professional living in Loudoun County, one of the densest data center hotbeds on Earth.

"A lot of people might see this as progress, like I did. But if it's impacting you then you see, Oh, that's what it means for a data center to be in your community.'" ...

[emphasis mine]

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