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Then why did he plead guilty? Twice. If what you postulate is true then take it to trial. Truth. Justice. And the American way.

By advice of a compromised council? The council messed up his FARA described in the link below, costing him $100,000s, so going to "court" would have been impossible for him.

Sixth Amendment Violations"The Ineffectiveness of Mr. Flynn's Former
Counsel"Tainted his Guilty Plea as well as the Subsequent Colloquy at his
December 2018 Hearing.

In August 2017, the Special Counsel's Office ("SCO") began to threaten Covington's work
with criminal FARA-related charges by way of an indictment of Mr. Flynn's former business
partner, Bijan Rafiekian. Covington's "underlying work" conflict of interest suddenly escalated
into a non-consentable conflict of interest that tainted every moment up to and through the guilty
plea in December 2017 and the Sentencing Hearing in this Court in December 2018. That
pernicious conflict infected and prejudiced his defense until he retained new counsel in 2019.
storage.courtlistener.com

On the 302 of the agents interpretation, which was edited/reedited for 6 months; Flynn had said he didn't remember discussing the sanctions.
The lie was supposedly he discussed Sanctions with Kislyak (they had the "transcripts"), but after releasing the transcripts showed he hadn't discussed the sanctions, but was discussing the tit-for-tat about the removal of diplomats.

"So, you know, depending on, depending on what actions they take over this current issue of cyber stuff, you know, where they're looking like they're gonna, they're gonna dismiss some number of Russians out of the country, I understand all that and I understand that, that you know, the information that they have and all that, but what I would ask Russia to do is not " is is " if anything " because I know you have to have some sort of action " to, to only make it reciprocal. Make it reciprocal. Don't " don't make it " don't go any further than you have to. Because I don't want us to get into something that has to escalate, on a, you know, on a tit for tat. You follow me, Ambassador?"

Kislyak responded that he did but that Flynn needed to "appreciate" that sentiments were raging in Moscow. Flynn noted he appreciated the situation but didn't want to get into a scenario "where we do this and then you do something bigger, and then you know, everybody's got to go back and forth and everybody's got to be the tough guy here." Flynn stressed, "[W]e need cool heads to prevail ... to fight the common threat in the Middle East."

At that point, Kislyak mentioned "sanctions" for the first time, noting that "one of the problems among the measures that have been announced today is that now FSB and GRU are sanctioned," and Kislyak said it makes him ask himself if the United States remains willing to work on terrorist threats.

Significantly, Flynn did not respond to Kislyak's mention of sanctions with a similar plea to moderate any response. Rather, he merely acknowledged Kislyak's comments with a "yeah, yeah," and then Kislyak noted "that was something we have to deal with, but I've heard what you say, and I certainly will try to get the people in Moscow to understand it."
thefederalist.com

Obviously complicated, and further muddied by a 302 which was poorly handled.

www.msn.com

And, just saying, this is an ACTUAL example of journalistic malpractice giving this claim any legitimacy.

Sure, JD, but what about the sharks with freakin' lasers on their heads!

I continue to believe that we will lose this war and that this war will last a long time and the damage that this war will cause will be global and catastrophic.

Nothing in the past week has impacted that belief

Piggy is sending forces to the region. And Piggy has ALWAYS used the military for violence when he has done that. As a comparison, he never sent military forces to Greenland

That tells me that he will use the military for some half assed land attack. Probably a snatch and grab of the nuclear material.

FWIW, this would be a major escalation and will likely occur in the midst of negotiations (as broad a term as it needs to be to apply to what is happening), yet again.

I have laid out my thoughts on the land attack options, or clearing the strait ad nauseum. So there is not much to add in that regard. Except maybe the MEUs could be used for raiding operations. they would be lower risk for casualties.

But if Piggy sends 1,000 or 2,000 troops to seize the nuclear material expect a fiasco. Is the nuclear material even still there? How good is the intelligence on it's location? How will those troops be supplied and supported deep into Iranian territory? How close to major population centers are those facilities?

I assume that we are degrading the defenses around those facilities. But that is one of the negatives here, we will have not operational or strategic surprise. Iran knows there are a few targets for attack-Kharg Island, the Strait, the nuclear facilities. that helps them greatly in crafting a defense.

I hope for our troops that we have actually truly seriously degraded their defenses, but I find that incredibly doubtful

20 years in the Taliban could still kick ass

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