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... The homeland security community is faced with potential risks from numerous political, social, domestic and international threats and must adapt to the evolving technological landscape like artificial intelligence and quantum computing, while maintaining vigilance toward the ongoing threat from the Taliban, Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), China, and Russia.

What follows has been categorized into three sections, those forecasts dealing with

>>Terrorism (lone actors, ISIS, DVE),

>>Advanced Technology (cybersecurity, UAS), and

>>Multidimensional Threats (political polarization, biotechnology, supply chains).

...

Terrorism with a Small Footprint, Individual Actor Methodology

2025 will usher in many new, unknown and surprising-source threats. In today's world of coordinated response, many threat actors have adapted and now the individual threat actor should be on everyone's radar. Different from "lone wolf" attacks, individual threat actors may be part of larger organizations or movements but acting out in an asymmetric warfare methodology in order to make it harder to prevent. Such threats may attack "soft targets" that may not have been threatened previously.

The most-likely-to-occur threats, and hence, possibly most pressing at an all-homeland level, are likely to come from four main threat categories: insider threat; homegrown violent extremism (HVE)/domestic violent extremism (DVE), adversarial nation threats; and terrorist threat actors.

Attacks could come in the form ...