US Intel says Iran Gov Not at Risk of Collapse

Wednesday, March 11, 2026

NEW YORK/WASHINGTON, March 11 (Reuters) - U.S. intelligence indicates that Iran's leadership is still largely intact and is not at risk of collapse any time soon after nearly two weeks of relentless U.S. and Israeli bombardment, according to three sources familiar with the matter.

Posted by Corky at 11:24 PM | 7 COMMENTS | permalink

A "multitude" of intelligence reports provide "consistent analysis that the regime is not in danger" of collapse and "retains control of the Iranian public," said one of the sources, all of whom were granted anonymity to discuss U.S. intelligence findings.

Comments

So, no ...

--- regime change

--- unconditional surrender

--- picking the next leader

#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-03-11 11:27 PM

"Israeli officials in closed discussions also have acknowledged there is no certainty the war will lead to the clerical government's collapse, a senior Israeli official told Reuters."

;;

At least Putin is happy... that's apparently what matters.

#2 | Posted by Corky at 2026-03-11 11:27 PM

Trump Advisers Urge Him to Find Iran Exit Ramp
www.wsj.com

#3 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-03-11 11:30 PM

How Trump and His Advisers Miscalculated Iran's Response to War

In the lead-up to the U.S.-Israeli attack, President Trump downplayed the risks to the energy markets as a short-term concern that should not overshadow the mission to decapitate the Iranian regime.

www.nytimes.com

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2026-03-11 11:30 PM

@#2 ... At least Putin is happy... ...

A goal, or a burden?

My guess is more with the former than the latter.

#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-03-11 11:33 PM

@#4 ... In the lead-up to the U.S.-Israeli attack, President Trump downplayed the risks to the energy markets as a short-term concern that should not overshadow the mission to decapitate the Iranian regime. ...

My guess, and it is only that, is that Pres Trump thought his ~one and done~ success in Venezuela would carry over to his unprovoked war on Iran.

#6 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-03-11 11:37 PM

3 Days to Kiev. Ah, I remember it well.

Trump is even STUPIDER than Putin.

This War will Destroy Israel.

They Won't Escape Unscathed like they Usually do when killing Palestinians.

Iran was the Wrong War at the Wrong Time.

Iran has Escalation Dominance.

It's on their Soil and a Defensive, Totally Justified War.

As Justified as UKRAINE hitting back at Russia.

The Shoe is on the Other Foot.

"International Law" has No Meaning.