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#5 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2026-09-19 09:35 PM
I'm not saying those things explain everything. But 40 to 1 became 325 to 1 somehow.

#11 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-09-21 02:14 AM
So, I asked why that change in ratio, from 40 to 325.

The answers why some hinky "ratios" of 1970s are different from the same "ratios" in 2020s are very simple and have been clearly explained here many times before - it's all about damn lies and statistics, global competitiveness, productivity and efficiency... and "technology."

1. 'Hourly wage' ("share of Labor") usually doesn't mean total compensation, which includes company-paid medical insurance, SS contribution, part of 401(k) or (more rare now) defined-benefit plan and other benefits, which were smaller or nonexistent in 1970s.

2. Comparing entirely different jobs just to come up with x multiplies of "average" worker's hourly wage to "average" CEO's total compensations is silly - salary is usually a relatively small part of typical CEOs' compensation package, who are incentivized with stock and options. So these ratios vary widely with the stock market valuations, and they are usually much wider when stock markets are on major bull run, like we have now; and the "average" CEO's compensation is further distorted by stock holdings of few founders-CEOs, whose stock valuations grew much faster than wages - obviously not the case in the 1970s.

So now is a great time to bring up the "nonsense ratios."

3. There was a horrible 15-year period for corporate earnings (shrinking 15%) and stock market "going nowhere" from 1965 to 1982, with rampant inflation and stagnation ("stagflation"), MMFs and UST's paying 12%-15%, Fed rates shot to 20%, US companies were burdened by high labor costs and low productivity, rapidly losing market share to foreign companies and some going bankrupt from the pyramid scheme of underfunded pensions (which mostly have been gradually replaced by more manageable 401(k) plans, starting in 1978).

Unions kept increasing costs/prices and lowering productivity "pricing their labor and products out of the market."

4. Crucially, the microchips "revolution" and affordable computer/electronic technology in the late 1970s allowed companies to replace ever-more-expensive labor with ever-cheaper "technology" (Faster, Better, More, Cheaper) - streamlined tax code incentivized transformation from stagnant, low-productivity economy to competitive high-tech / high-productivity one, which created millions of high-paying jobs :


Ptoductivity Growth vs Hourly Compensation

https://fredblog.stlouisfed.org/2023/03/when-comparing-wages-and-worker-productivity-the-price-
measure-matters/
- When comparing wages and worker productivity, the price measure matters

https://www.investopedia.com/historical-us-unemployment-rate-by-year-7495494 - U.S. Unemployment Rates by Year


5. Labor had a moment from late 1940s through 1970s. You simply can't compare the composition of 1970s economy with the one in 2020s. For example, in 1970s UAW had 1.5M members producing cars. Today, they have less than 400K (with half not in auto industry) but produce vastly more cars, using robots and cobots (which, BTW, required significant initial investment, along with training - "costs to the company", but contributing to lower expense of headcount and productivity gains over time), e.g.:

https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/gm-swapped-1-000-detroit-232700845.html - GM Swapped 1,000 Detroit Workers for 50 Cobots - 2026-06-26
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#4 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-09-18 12:06 PM
imo, there should be actual punishment involved for those who were involved in the massive overruns, both politicians and contractors.

The entire theory of the LA-SF high-speed rail with connecting branches sold to CA voters never made sense, neither logistically nor financially... but the idea was really a make-work jobs program finally put on the ballot in 2008, in the end stages of 2007-2008 GFC crisis, so it passed with over 52% of the votes.

www.smart-union.org - California High-Speed Rail Authority pledges to use unionized labor - SmartUnion.org, 2023-11-17

|------- Today, the California High-Speed Rail Authority (CAHSRA), which oversees the largest high-speed rail project under construction in North America, announced a ground-breaking agreement with 13 rail unions to utilize rail workers covered by federal railroad labor laws in critical jobs once trains begin to operate. The Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) ensures that highly skilled rail workers will perform all traditional railroad work such as operating trains, engineering work, maintenance of equipment, dispatching, on-board service and clerical work. ...

This agreement follows an existing Project Labor Agreement between CAHSRA and building trades unions to utilize union workers on the construction side, furthering the project's commitment to employing highly skilled union workers... The project is already responsible for the creation of over 11,000 jobs ... and this agreement brings hundreds of additional good union jobs to the California Central Valley.

"The Authority is proud to continue its tradition of working with labor unions and we are pleased to have reached this important agreement ...

... today's agreement establishes a precedent for future high-speed rail agreements between public entities and rail unions.

The High-Speed Rail Labor Coalition includes the following 13 rail labor unions: the Brotherhood of Maintenance of Way Employes Division (BMWED), Brotherhood of Railroad Signalmen (BRS), International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers-Mechanical and Engineering Department (SMART-MD), National Conference of Firemen and Oilers 32BJ/SEIU (NCFO), Transportation Communications Union (TCU), International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAM), Brotherhood of Railway Carmen (BRC), International Brotherhood of Boilermakers (IBB), Transport Workers Union of America (TWU), American Train Dispatchers Association (ATDA), International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers-Transportation Division (SMART-TD), Brotherhood of Locomotive Engineers and Trainmen (BLET), and International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW).
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No surprise there - one hand washes the other.
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#1 | Posted by BillJohnson at 2026-09-18 06:38 PM
And people say Trump isn't doing anything good for America.

That must be the lowest bar for any president... but even then, here he isn't doing anything for America, he is trying to rebrand and put his name on yet another meaningless piece of paper, just like all those "peace agreements" he boasted about before, that were not real or he had nothing to do with, trying to get Nobel Peace Prize.

This "agreement" doesn't give the US anything more we didn't have in the 1951+2004 agreements. This is just a way for Denmark to placate Trump, who will now boast of a "great deal"... just like he eventually will with Canada and Mexico... except MAGA cult will hail it as an "Art of the Deal" "pressure tactics of successful hard-nosed businessman" even when a "deal" is not as good as one offered or could have been achieved before all the hostilities - so he backtracks and tries to sell it as a "win" - that's how he bankrupted nearly all his businesses and had to beg the Russians for lifelines.


avalon.law.yale.edu - Avalon Project - Defense of Greenland: Agreement Between the United States and the Kingdom of Denmark, April 27, 1951

en.wikipedia.org - Proposals for US acquisition of Greenland

www.theatlantic.com - The Hole in Trump's Rationale for Acquiring Greenland - 2026-01-09

|------- ... A Cold War era agreement allows Washington broad authority to conduct military operations on Greenland. The agreement, signed by Denmark and the United States in 1951, allows the U.S. to "construct, install, maintain, and operate" bases across the island, station personnel, and set the terms of "landings, takeoffs, anchorages, moorings, movements, and operation of ships, aircraft, and water-borne craft."
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www.latimes.com - U.S. and Denmark reach deal on Greenland - Bloomberg/LAT, 2029-09-19

|------- ... Based on what Trump has disclosed so far, the new pact appears to grant Washington many of the same rights over security it already enjoys under the existing arrangement, Jacobsen said. A 1951 agreement with Denmark, updated in 2004 and still in force, gives the U.S. broad latitude to station forces in Greenland. ...

"Donald Trump needs to be seen as a winner. So a new agreement was necessary, allowing him to say: 'Look, my pressure worked.' " ...
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"Kayfabe!" - that's the word for this populist sad little "Celebrity Apprentice: DC" spectacle. It comes from carnivals and Trump's favorite "sportainment" of fake wrestling, WWF - (en.wikipedia.org) - you've seen and will see a lot more of it, MAGA just haven't been able to recognize it because they've been "blinded by the light" of the Trump cult.

Many [former] MAGA voters have already abandoned Trump's "reality TV cult" because he wrecked their businesses and/or livelihood, more are joining them every day... but some will just keep lying to themselves because they can't admit they've been wrong about Trump and "his" MAGA, just like many on the left can't accespt they've been wrong about socialism, and keep trying to redefine and rebrand what it is.
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Over the last few years, California has quietly but dramatically increased the resiliency of its electrical grid through a significant expansion in battery energy storage. These batteries hold onto solar energy captured during the day, so it can be sent to the grid as demand peaks ...

No, it's not "surprising: at all - more sunny days actually generated slightly more electricity than normal, and lower demand than normal contributed to high percentage.

What yet another of California celebratory article about "renewable energy" only mentions in passing or doesn't cover at all are the additional expenses and valuable real estate to make them work, which make California's electricity (essentially a tax paid by residents and commercial entities) one of the highest in the nation :

1. The huge batteries, which have limited life span and will need to be replaced, contribute to additional costs of supposedly "cheap" wind and solar energy.

2. The batteries DO NOT INCREASE electricity generation - they only act as capacitors and buffer, the generation of additional energy needed will have to be done somewhere else and/or "rented" from other states - that's additional expense, costs that article doesn't even attempt to cover.

3. Large part of that "green" electricity is hydropower (that cannot be expanded) and imported wind power from as far as Wyoming:

This means that if there is an extreme heat event in Southern California, energy from a cooler area such as the Pacific Northwest can be imported to help meet regional demand.

www.latimes.com - Most of the West is rendered in pale shades of green and light blue, meaning average wind speeds of 10 to 15 mph at best.

IOW, California is renting expensive "clean energy" using BNPML - Buy Now Pay More Later - instead of generating electricity internally, but it helps fake the "clean energy" numbers they are so proud of, despite having highest (and going higher) electricity rates in continental US.

4. In addition, the utilities know that they need real supply of reliable energy and use natgas for that... in fact, the biggest cheerleaders for "renewables" are oil/natgas companies.

5. According to Ackemann, the system seeks to add 20,000 to 25,000 megawatts of battery storage capacity by 2045 - the same year it has set a goal of achieving carbon neutrality.

Wonderful news! The question is who is going to generate all this additional electricity? BNMPL "rented" from out of state? Build expensive high-maintenance huge solar farms with huger batteries and natgas utility in tow?

In fact, ordering several nuclear MSRs would be much "greener" and cheaper in TCO, more reliable, require less maintenance (another expense), take less real estate and obviate the need for battery backups. But today's politicians don't really care about what you will think of their decisions 20 years from now.

www.congress.gov - Why Renewables Can't Save the Planet - 2019-06-25 (PDF 6 pgs)


There is something fascinating about Musk-Vision cult of both the Left and the Right, and particularly of "saving the Earth" from climate change/global warming by "investing" in VRE "renewables" and BEVs, which so happened Musk companies were selling.

And the cult of alarmist "trying to save the world from climate change through BEVs and wind and solar" no matter the cost continues, with every supposedly "positive" headline about "renewables" records.
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Haaretz also reported that Hamas immediately offered to release all the Israeli hostages it had taken in the attack, demanding nothing in return...

And if anyone believes that, they will believe anything else from Haaretz, which has been at war with Netanyahu and Likud for a long time, especially since 2025 when they have seen their subscriptions plummet due to boycott:

The Atlantic's Jeffrey Goldberg wrote: "I like a lot of the people at Haaretz, and many of its positions, but the cartoonish anti-Israelism and anti-Semitism can be grating."


Reading Haaretz to "learn" about Likud is like reading NY Post to "learn" about Bidens or Obamas.

MBZ of UAE denied any specific knowledge, warning or even having a conversation with PMO, Shin Bet or Mossad about October 7 attack. Logs of any such calls from UAE at the time also don't exist. Also, there was no information transmitted from MBZ or anyone from UAE to the US intelligence or State Dept, which would be unusual if they had such information.


Bombshell' Report Says UAE Explicitly Warned Netanyahu of October 7 Attack.

Just in time before Oct 27 elections in Israel, and pushing the upcoming "bombshell" book of two Haaretz authors... based on "information" provided by UAE-based senior PA official Mohammad Dahlan.

"The real affair that was discovered in the last two days is blatant foreign interference in the elections in Israel. The person behind the false report in Haaretz newspaper is senior Palestinian official Mohammad Dahlan, who sits in the Emirates... for the purpose of PA gaining authority over Gaza."

The statement also noted a secret visit to UAE of Yair Golan and former Shin Bet chief Ronen Bar two months before the "bombshell" publication.

Likud is filing an "election interference" lawsuit against Haaretz and demanding criminal investigation into authors and "co-conspirators" Democratic Party - successor of merged Labor Party in 2024.


This is similar to debunked and later retracted three separate UN / UNWR "reports" of Israel "starvation policy of Gazans", based on Hamas Ministry of Health testimony, despite evidence of exactly opposite - Hamas-controlled distribution of food diverted and later sold at exorbitant prices massive amounts of food delivered to Gaza.


---

Meanwhile, in real life:

Cisco bought an Israeli cybersecurity company Astrix for $400M

Greece is buying $3.4B Israeli air defense system 'Achilles Shield'

German Navy successfully tested launching IAI's LORA ballistic missiles

Several EU / NATO countries are interested in defense technologies and systems from Israeli companies

Iran is successfully rearming with Chinese, Russian and their own missiles

Hamas is losing commanders in "low-grade war" but keeps rearming while Witkoff and Kushner clown show was visiting and making statements about Hamas "need to disarm" in the Middle East tour

Hezbollah is rearming while the Lebanese army is not capable of securing the zone


In the latest polls, Netanyahu's Likud and former IDF chief of staff Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar parties are well ahead of others. Whichever party gets most seats will try to form the government.

If you "like" Bibi, you'll "love" Gadi.
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#8 | Posted by DarkVader at 2026-09-10 07:55 PM
Hybrids are the past. Battery electric is the future.

#9 | Posted by A_Friend at 2026-09-10 08:02 PM
Rolls-Royce will produce their last ICE in the 2029 model year.
From the model years 2030 forward, electric only. Eye on the prize.

Not a good business case for "electric only" - many electric-only car companies have already died, slowly dying and/or pivoting to other "in vogue" technologies like "AI" services (XPeng EV) or robotics (Faraday Future):

www.latimes.com - From $300,000 EVs to dancing bots: The El Segundo firm sliding into Tesla's slipstream - LAT, 2026-09-03

BMW's subsidiary Rolls-Royce is producing around 6,000 vehicles per year, which are easily absorbed at premium prices in a luxury car segment of the market, so it doesn't matter if their future cars will be electric, ICE, hybrid, or powered by whale blubber - they will be bought and will make a good profit.

This won't move a needle in overall electric-only market, where only a couple of [subsidized] companies, like Tesla and BYD (which just bought 1 and ordered 10 more car carrier ships) are relatively successful, and China's "industrial policy" to subsidize "electric cars and solar panels" led to overproduction and plummeting prices that are tanking their competition and the market itself.

Check the dismal stock prices and financials (losses and debt) of "zombie" or BK BEV car makers like Lucid, Polestar, VinFast, Rivian, Nio, Li Auto, GreenPower, Lordstown, Workhorse, Phoenix, Canoo, Fisker, Cenntro, Lotus, Aptera, Gogoro, NWTN Motors, and so on...

www.caranddriver.com - All the EVs That Have Been Canceled or Discontinued (2026-04-20)

Problems with BEVs are the same as always and are only getting worse, including "range anxiety", batteries longevity and toxicity and expected higher electricity prices due to multi-decades underinvestment in total electricity generation and governments' "industrial policy" of focusing on, mandating and subsidizing "renewable" energy.

Only about 5% of worldwide vehicles are EVs - with China's market share of almost 40%.


drudge.com - Why Renewables Can't Save the Planet | Electricity rates by state

|------- Really bad news? While China was ramping up all energy buildouts, the US total annual electricity generation in absolute terms stalled (and in many years actually fell slightly) from 2008 through 2023 - nuclear and hydro stalled; coal use dropped significantly but is still only slightly below combined wind and solar; only a huge increase in NG (in part, for new renewables installations backup), that dwarfs combined use of wind and solar, was responsible for keeping the lights on in the US. -------|

IOW, for almost 2 decades while other countries were adding electricity generation, we were only making electricity more expensive by replacing coal with some "renewables" plus massive amounts of (thankfully, due to fracking) cheap natgas.

Some might say that trade-off was worth it... but keeping on topic, none of this bodes well for future of BEVs, unless we massively ramp up electricity generation.
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#9 | Posted by madbomber at 2026-09-09 04:31 PM
Maybe circumstances change in the future and the value of the dollar starts to go back up ... if the value of the dollar continues to decline.

That is no longer a safe bet, as the assumption was a year ago, when Trump's hack Peter Navarro and economic advisor Stephen Miran managed to quickly bring USD down 12%, and there was a plan for "Mar-a-Lago Accord" to bully other countries into supporting some USD devaluation... but several things changed since to make this much more iffy, notwithstanding Trump still wanting lower USD and rates.

1. When USD dropped sharply lower in 2025, China sharply lowered CNY to 7.3 and Miran wisely stopped currency mini-war, and USD stabilized at that 10%-15% lower range. No attempts to deliberately lower USD since that slapdown, especially because of very weak JPY.

2. Miran is out of administration, after a short stint at the Fed, and buffoon Navarro no longer has policy authority.

3. Trump, just as Biden, wants to "run economy hot"... but because of persistent inflation, in large part due to Trump's idiotic policies, US bonds are being sold and interest rates are going higher, ironically supporting USD, despite Trump bullying and Bessent's impotent attempts at intervention. Warsh can try and slow down short-term rates hikes, but that's only prolonging the agony.

4. As you know, EU (and Germany) is also in quite a bit of turmoil economically and politically, and there are several weak governments so that puts the limit on EUR / USD arbitrage, and makes the issue much less predictable or stable:

bondvigilantes.com - Who backstops the backstop? - 2026-09-10


#10 | Posted by jpw at 2026-09-10 02:53 AM
It's been six weeks and we're already 200% sure we're not going back unless we somehow lose our residency permits.

Congrats! Just be aware of FATCA.

BTW, Prague is lovely this time of year, and has a lot of nice caffes... at least last time I passed through there.
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#139 | Posted by oneironaut at 2026-09-03 03:29 PM
This is a lie...

Only if you kept your eyes and ears closed or avoided news programs that were shown even in Santa Clara, San Francisco and Marin Counties at the time. You can check 2024 news archives... or you can believe whatever you want.

Talk about incompetence.

You're confirming exactly what I said.

Imagine being more incompetent than Trump, and yet still supporting Biden/Harris.

Or... keep watching utter incompetence, corruption and stupidity "at the highest level" doing possibly irreversible damage to the sections of country's economy, military, foreign relationships etc., bordering on treason... "yet still supporting Trump."

When people are faced with two bad choices (i.e., a question of "who is worse" not "who is better"), like we were "blessed" with in the last 3 elections, courtesy of having our choices decided by extremist idiots in the primaries they will usually choose one (not voting is also a "choice") - ... but given what we already knew about Trump, I would choose (not "support") simple "incompetence" (surrounded by reasonably competent professionals instead of "pretend-competent" TV personalities) every time.


This is false because CNN did a ride along with Obama's ICE deporting people right off the streets of Chicago. [ICE] agents go searching for undocumented immigrants who have been convicted of crimes while in the U.S. illegally.

Again confirming exactly what I said - no drama ride-along targeting illegals with criminal records, instead of deliberate militarized "wide net" show of force roundups of "suspicious" brown people and people without criminal records who had been here legally and in process of extending legal temporary or establishing legal permanent resident status.

There was no quota, no "in your face" militarization of ICE, no drama...

You can't possibly not see the difference, especially being well aware of Trump's "China Initiative" that only benefits China (or other countries), not the USA.


#136 | Posted by BellRinger at 2026-09-03 02:29 PM
... our economy is doing fine. Our economic troubles are tied to Trump's stupid tariffs and war with Iran.

Well, "talk about incompetence"... and "yet still supporting Trump".

You sound almost like a few people here (who no longer post - Hans, TonyRoma, etc.) before 2024 elections. They kept reciting official NUMB3RS about inflation, GDP, and worrying about unemployment rate few months into November... even though I kept trying to explain that these don't represent the "economy" that > 2/3rds of the people see and experience, and besides, there are ["culture war"] issues they simply refused to see or acknowledge as relevant.

Yet now you're trying to defend objectively worse economic conditions for even larger segment of people.

Trump admin and followers are in exactly the same kind of self-denial - liar Bessent is arguing what economy shape is K- or C-... as if anyone cares:

www.zerohedge.com - The Return Of Economic Gaslighting

|------- ... According to nearly all the big economic indicators and aggregates, the economy was doing quite well...

... the Republicans are faced with the exact same choice the Democrats had been faced with before 2024. And, notably, they have decided to adopt the same strategy that helped torpedo the Democrats last time around. ...

The figures and specific talking points may differ, but the formula remains the same.

This kind of cyclical economic gaslighting is infuriating. But it isn't surprising. ...
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#1 | Posted by BellRinger at 2026-09-02 11:36 AM
The Democrat party is the party of illegal immigration. They need to own it.

Trump has no success even with legal immigration, even when he wants it - his "Trump Gold Card" and H-2A program to help farmers have been a bust.
investigatemidwest.org - Trump's labor department struggling to deliver on H-2A 'one-stop shop' promise

In fact, for the first time, his policies (including reinstatement of his first-term bigly failed "China Initiative") are inflicting severe "brain drain" from the US already.

#13 | Posted by BellRinger at 2026-09-02 12:43 PM
It turns out border enforcement is popular with voters.

It was popular during campaign, when caravans were rolling in, and people waving Mexican flags in May Day and Labor Day parades demanding "special rights" for migrants, images of "immigration crisis" on the border have been on the news daily, and flailing Biden/Harris administration had no idea how to handle it, trying to work something out with Congress.

But what Trump and ICE have been doing since he took office went well beyond border enforcement or deportation of criminals.


Some things do, in fact, change.

Indeed, they do... and things did change!

www.newsweek.com - Trump's Approval Rating On Strongest Issue Hits All-Time Low - NW, 2026-08-30

|------- Trump's handling of immigration has fallen to its weakest position in an Economist/YouGov tracker, a striking reversal on the issue that powered his return to the White House.

Trump's immigration approval fell to 40 percent in August, while 53 percent disapproved, leaving him 13 points underwater...
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People were promised and voted for detentions and/or deportations of illegals with criminal records; they didn't sign up for the Gestapo tactics of ICE wholesale roundups in immigration courts or offices, detaining brown people on "suspicions" of being illegal, harassment of elected representatives or attempts to bend state and local LE agencies to involuntary assistance.

Obama was "Deporter-in-Chief" without all the insanity and faux drama of ICE roundups or NG deployed to "defend" and "clean" the cities of "crimes" allegedly committed by illegals.

Maybe MAGA-hats kept falling for and have enjoyed the "tough guy" s**tshow, majority of normal people were repulsed.


For all of its faults, and they are legion, the GOP is now the party of border enforcement.

And they're going to live with those "faults" and the images of ICE abuses, "we (ICE, DHS, DOJ) can do no wrong" lies and cover-ups of mistakes and intentional, deliberate cruelty, attempts to turn it into a for-profit enterprise, and the revolving door of "strongmen" in charge of ICE promising rounding up and "tough, rough" enforcement of detention and deportations, often of people who had been here legally under [Trump's capriciously-revoked] TPS or in process of obtaining permanent resident legal status or citizenship... only because Trump needs a quota to show "success," beating Obama's "numbers" of deportations.


Some things do, in fact, change.

It's the "constant change" that both GOP and Dems should remember, especially with short fleeting "populist" zeitgeist campaign themes that both parties try to exploit, usually big on promises to economic illiterates and blaming the "others" or "other side" for problems, but absent firm convictions and actual realistic policies addressing the crux of the issues.
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#42 | Posted by madbomber at 2026-08-28 10:22 AM
C0RI0LANUS is not a real person. Or at least not a real person from the US. The dictation is all wrong, and there is no officer in the world who would have written "Lieutenant Colonel" as Lieutenant-Colonel. That's not a thing. I've suspected this for a while, but for me, this confirmed it.

Maybe try not helping troll farms "debug" their "holes" - they'll make it more difficult to identify their trolls next time. They still use human trolls, including native English speaking contractors, because they are cheaper, but pushing the misinformation/disinformation content of AI-generated material from fake websites to legit channels or social media.

C0RI0LANUS is clearly a human CRINK troll, slightly more sophisticated than low-level Effeteposer, who is Putin's so-called "probe" troll - initially throwing things out on a blogsite to identify the areas of interest, majority "consensus" on empathy and issues, and then promote and feed daily these directional views (like "socialism" and "anti-Israel" / "anti-Zionism"), for the most part staying away from or being negative on the site's generally unpopular views (like Russia).

theconversation.com - Kremlin's 'troll factory' and classic propaganda techniques reimagined for the social media age

|------- ... Then, in 2022, Russia invaded Ukraine and the troll factories started working overtime.

I quickly found myself in an echo chamber: the comments on articles critical of Russia's actions in Ukraine were flooded with pro-Kremlin remarks that seemed contrived. ...

... For English-speaking audiences, the agency operatives used euphemisms (mild terms for something harsh) and dysphemisms (harsh terms for something mild) to shape the narrative. For example, "return home" (euphemism) instead of "annexation" or "neo-Nazi regime" (dysphemism) instead of "Ukrainian government".

... Tailored messages are strategically crafted to resonate with the target audience's beliefs and emotions...

But while agency trolls attempted to "sound American", rhetorically, their tweets seemed rather dull. They had a more pronounced bias towards the extremes, focusing on inflammatory language and hot takes. This was not surprising, considering that elaborate rhetoric requires full competence in the target language, time, and effort...

The trolls' engagement with conspiracy theories spanned far-right (QAnon, "evil elites" manipulating the public) and far-left (The Grayzone, US government using COVID for profit) fringe communities...

In all this "information disorder", defeating state trolls requires confronting a sobering reality: both state and non-state actors increasingly engage in organised disinformation on social media...

The use of AI to create realistic fake content, combined with advanced data analytics to target specific audiences will pose significant challenges to efforts aimed at countering disinformation.
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Article is mostly about Russia-Ukraine, but the troll factories switched to demonizing Israel and Jews (like "ZioNazis" etc.) full-bore right after Hamas attack on October 7, 2023.
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#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-22 02:11 AM
... before Pres Trump's War of Choice with Iran, 130 ships per day passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Some 8.25% of those oil tankers were originating from Iran itself - ~ 90.5% / 1.5M bpd of which went to China, 57% of that going through UAE transshipment hub.


#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-22 01:30 AM
But, the amount of oil transiting the Strait still shows Iran's control over the Strait.
... It is still subject to Iran's control.

At this point, exactly 0 (zero) tankers with Iranian oil are going through the Strait - does that mean that the USA and allies "control" the Strait? Or both parties "control" the Strait, no party "controls" the Strait, one of the parties has more/less "control"?

If Iran really had control of the Strait, Iranian people wouldn't be experiencing long queues due to supply disruptions and shortages at petrol stations even in Tehran.

To say that Iran "controls" the Strait is an overstatement, it's not even a stalemate... but Iran does have some leverage, and so far they used it as well as they could, under the circumstances.

In the past, Iran's leadership have been known to become overconfident and overestimate their strength. Now, however, they may have met their "match" on that score.


#3 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-22 01:38 AM
... and then there are the negotiations between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz ...
Oman, Iran seek deal to safeguard shipping through Hormuz Strait
So, the US is not involved in that deal?

Of course, the US is/was "involved", as Oman has no ability to "safeguard" anything in the Strait, without the US' say-so. So, as "negotiations" go, these are useless, but hey, talking is good... The latest is that Iran acknowledged that Oman "deal" doesn't reopen the Strait.

Iraq has also been negotiating with the US and Iran about letting Iraq ship oil - Iran in exchange wants Iraq to leave Iran-backed militia in Iraq alone. Iran allowed passage of several Iraqi oil tankers, though the nature of that "agreement" has been in flux.


Indeed, Pres Trump has threatened to bomb Oman.

Trump is demented and an idiot who can't control his impulses so, whenever he hears "bad" news, he reflexively defaults to what comes naturally to him - threatening to use force or lawsuits.

"What a waste it is to lose one's mind. Or not to have a mind is being very wasteful. How true that is."
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#13 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2026-08-21 05:01 PM
If our government could order our industries to do their bidding like china does we'd be a lot more competitive.

LOL. No, we wouldn't - it's called "industrial policy" and it usually ends poorly for the industries involved and the economy in general due to mistaken notion that "government knows best" and results in misallocation of capital (and labor) and uncompetitively mispriced goods.

For example, right now, the buildout of datacenters resulted in lack of labor to build housing... Trump's immigration policy doesn't help.

"Industrial policy" of Japan in the 1980s and 1990s lead to several "lost decades" and loss of competitiveness in many other sectors. Same is actually happening with China and Germany.

We've had several experiments with the "industrial policy" and protectionism - in steel, cars, yachts, "renewable energy" etc. - most recently with Trump and Biden administrations trying to "re-shore / on-shore" manufacturing in places and sectors where there was either no real organic demand or it was not price-competitive and was cheaper to buy elsewhere... IOW, money down the drain once the government "program" was over.

We're plenty competitive in the global market, including "manufacturing", in the services companies choose to provide and the goods companies choose to make, based on the input costs, TCO, potential market size and available expertise - cost or quality is what makes companies competitive, not government edicts.

Most of the problems are that the governments (federal, state and local) increase input cost via several mechanisms - "minimum wage", taxation, regulations, mandates, resources misallocation (e.g., energy / electricity) etc.


Also, Maybe you have enough time to grow your own food because you're a loser, but most of us have other jobs.

You've just described what David Ricardo called "comparative advantage" - it's cheaper and less burdensome to buy the goods with a fraction of what you can earn elsewhere - that's why "industrial policies" don't work in the long run.

But that would be exactly the kind of "industrial policy" that government could demand - e.g., supplying a certain percent of "local", "farm to table" or "organic" food or non-caged chicken eggs, etc. - that would raise costs and made products less competitive vs other states or countries.

Competitiveness is about price - and governments' "industrial policies" inevitably raise costs and "price goods and services out of the market" - especially when the "market" is increasingly global and technology can make it cheaper somewhere else.
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#50 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-21 09:48 PM
And all your current alias seems to have in reply is deflection.
So, allow me to ask once again ...
How many ships per day pass through the Strait now? Yer up ...
What does your current alias see?

So either your "current alias" didn't read my post or your "current alias" now pretends it didn't read it - let me repost, it was at the end:

|------- Besides that, there are verified reports of US Navy escorting some tankers through (similar to Operation Earnest Will in 1987-88), near the coast of Oman - depending on source, anywhere from 3M to 8M barrels are flowing out... though both numbers are far less than ~ 20M pre-closure and the insurance on these is much higher, thus still affecting the price of oil futures. -------|

So, again, your "current alias" keeps ignoring the answer and now deflected a second time by trying to change the subject and move the goal posts from inane "The Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz may be a more potent force to face the world than Iran possessing a nuclear bomb" by asking non sequitur question about the flow of oil through the Straight of Hormuz.

And your "current alias" has not addressed at all the issue of "Trump has taught them that", which they obviously knew and tried using many times since 1980, as we [hopefully, now] know from history (see link in my first post) - if anything, the question is whether he understood what he was getting into, because knowledge or understanding of history (or much else) is not his strong suit.

Maybe you should retire your "current alias" shtick - it has an "arrogant, not too smart" look and doesn't serve you well.
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#45 | Posted by ClownShack at 2026-08-21 08:07 PM
So you're saying they'll have one any day now?
Any day ...

Where did I say that? Isn't that what IAEA was monitoring against, and the Obama's agreement with Iran was about?

Just like Syria had an undeclared nuclear and chemical WMD program, that has been at least twice destroyed by Israel:
apnews.com - UN watchdog excavates suspected Syrian nuclear site

en.wikipedia.org - Operation Orchard / Outside the Box

en.wikipedia.org - Syria and weapons of mass destruction

|------- "We're talking about a few tons of nuclear material that could be put to bad use and Syria has decided to open up this site to the inspectors of the IAEA," Grossi said. "This material will be accounted for and will be put within the international safeguard system." -------|


#47 | Posted by pumpkinhead at 2026-08-21 08:13 PM
CutiePie is a Zionist operative.

That's a good one, when you have no real arguments - just declare someone Zionist or Nazi or... Stops discussion and declares a "win" right there. Congrats!


#46 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-21 08:10 PM
How many ships per day pass through the Strait now? Yer up.

1. If you'd read till the end of my post before jumping to post this, you would've had the answer to that question.

2. What does this question have at all to do with my post re your inane comparison of closing Hormuz being "more potent force" than having nuclear weapon?

If you'd read the post and links I provided, you'd know it simply isn't true. If you can't come to terms with it, that's OK, it will be factually useful to other people here, who can learn from it.

Or you'll just keep changing the goal posts, like some here do repeatedly?

3. If you'd actually read the post, you would see the history of threats of closing Hormuz long precedes current situation... refuting your earlier post that "Trump has taught them" anything.

Are you reading posts and links at all, or just keep repeating the same thing because you [want to] believe it, despite the facts presented? A lot of that is going around here, and even more so recently than before.


I had been wondering how long before this current alias would show up.

What does "show up" mean? I post when I have time and can contribute, not non-stop like some paid Putin's / Russia-financed and CRINK trolls here, who tell you only what you want to hear.

Don't get all hot and bothered just because your "current alias" can't handle being refuted on repeated obvious inanity you posted. I thought you've said before you're here to learn, yet here you are, spinning into ad hominem.

And my "current alias" have had several conversations on the stupid subject of "aliases" with your "current alias" years ago - your "current alias" should try this stupidity with someone else... better yet, tell your "current alias" to discard it.
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#4 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-08-18 03:14 AM
So, Iran is now saying publicly something that Pres Trump has taught them...

Trump didn't "teach" Iran anything about Straight of Hormuz they didn't already know, if you knew the history of the region, e,g,, so-called "Tanker War" happened as part of wider 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war - en.wikipedia.org

And was known long before that:

www.history.com - The Strait of Hormuz: A Timeline of Tensions | The narrow Persian Gulf waterway has been a contested choke point for centuries.

|------- 1507: Portugal Captures the Strait of Hormuz
1951: The British Blockade the Strait to Pressure Iran
1984: The 'Tanker War'
2012: More Sanctions Prompt Iranian Threats
2015-2024: Tanker Seizures and Attacks
...

Iran's ambitions for nuclear weapons were born during the Iran-Iraq War, when the Iranian regime found itself increasingly isolated on the international stage. In the 2000s, Iran's contested nuclear weapons program became the target of increasingly harsh economic sanctions from the U.S. and its European allies.

In 2008, Iran threatened to seal off the Strait of Hormuz if sanctions weren't lifted, a move that U.S. authorities said would amount to an act of war. When the European Union announced a total embargo on Iranian oil in 2012, the Iranian regime once again promised to close the Strait of Hormuz, a move that would disrupt the flow of oil exports from Persian Gulf nations.

... In 2008, Iran threatened to seal off the Strait of Hormuz if sanctions weren't lifted ... U.S., France and Britain sent aircraft carriers and warships through the Strait of Hormuz, and Iran didn't make good on its threat.

"There have been standoffs like this since the Iranian Revolution when the regime came into power. Iran's slogan from the very beginning was 'death to America' and 'death to Israel'..."
-------|


The Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz may be a more potent force to face the world than Iran possessing a nuclear bomb.

You've been trying to make this apples-to-chairs comparison for a while - only a little over a month ago it was explained that these are disparate issues, with entirely different goals, purposes, permanence / timeline and geopolitical effects on the region - one is only temporary, borne of desperation (the only 'weapon' they currently have) and not sustainable, as the affected countries are already partially bypassing and building out permanent bypass pipelines and routes.

drudge.com - #26: Now Iran may be starting to realize that control of the Strait is a better way to get global attention than having a nuke. -- see the explanation re why it's nonsensical and the links about what Iran's "good neighbors" are doing to remove any dependence on shipping through Hormuz and Bab al Mandab Strait... at which point Iran will be left without any leverage (they don't have "control") over shipping routes and can't ship oil and goods themselves, hurting only their own economy.

IOW, Hormuz is a double-edged sword.

Besides that, there are verified reports of US Navy escorting some tankers through (similar to Operation Earnest Will in 1987-88), near the coast of Oman - depending on source, anywhere from 3M to 8M barrels are flowing out... though both numbers are far less than ~ 20M pre-closure and the insurance on these is much higher, thus still affecting the price of oil futures.
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#15 | Posted by madbomber at 2026-08-14 12:45 PM
Between us girls, because of this failure to produce the results Israel was hoping for, I don't know how much use they will have for Trump - or the US - going forward.

The night of November 5 2024 was a special nightmare for both Zelensky and Netanyahu.

Trump botched Abraham Accords that Netanyahu was working for almost 10 years to make with SA. Instead, Trump took the idea and rushed to sign something before 2020 elections to get the credit and bask in glory of "peacemaking" ceremony, so he got UAE and Bahrain (who already had informal trade relations with Israel) joined at the time, and later removed Sudan from state sponsor of terrorism list to get more signees. Unlike would-be accord with Saudis, that obviously didn't change geopolitics of the region, but Trump got the resume enhancement he could brag about, and the "peacemaker" / "no forever wars" cred he took into his 2024 campaign.

Not to mention Trump's habit of saying stupid things which he takes back an hour or day later, but which cause havoc and demand immediate attention and need to be taken "literally and seriously" by any serious government... which is much harder on [former?] "friends and allies" who - if that's possible - want to keep "normal" ties with the US for "post-Trump" (and post-traumatic) era, than adversaries who can and do just blow him off.

Iran just warned Syria, Turkiye, Qatar, SA and Iraq to not interfere with Hezbollah in Lebanon, to avoid "a broad regional confrontation."

Syria and Russia are now reestablishing the ties, importing > 80% of wheat and about half of daily crude consumption from Russia, and discussing joint exercises on former Russian bases inside Syria, while there is a possibility of another coup, or at least good old-fashioned tribal genocidal blood-letting, the way it's happening against Alawite, Druze, Kurds, Yezidi, Christians...

The $3.3B FMF to Israel (100% of it flowing back to the US, in addition to facilitating joint R&D, intelligence and commerce) is going away soon anyway, but Israeli companies have good trading and cooperation relationship with the US companies, which is more important than any "agreement" that US government can tear up or "limit" or slow-walk as has been done in the past, and particularly recently.

Trump has a knack for making a mess anywhere he goes and anything he touches turns to crap... yet he keeps inserting himself into everything, because of his ego and as long as he thinks he and/or his crime family can financially benefit.
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#20 | Posted by REDIAL at 2026-08-14 03:48 PM
Which is what? $3B per year?
- - - - - And a couple of aircraft carrier groups on hand.

Missing the fact that they are there for protection of US and allied countries' bases, datacenters and other assets in the Middle East, which became evident when Iran attacked UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Jordan ($2.2B annual FMF+ aid), Egypt ($1.3B annual FMF)... and that it were Saudi and UAE rulers urging Trump to turn heat on when they saw Trump claiming victory and dithering ("Surrender!" mistakenly assuming it would follow the earlier militarily operationally successful "Venezuela playbook"), and/or turn it off when they understood that thought that making [another] deal with Iran was a better option.

As Trump [quite accurately, for a change] said many times, "Bibi doesn't tell me what to do, I tell him what to do".

Israeli command understood long ago that the only way Iran could be defeated was through real "regime change" (not Trump's "Venezuela model" or killing Ayatollah and top clerics, in which case IRGC and Basij would assume direct government control and become more entrenched) and had plans to accomplish that in late 2024 when they ran into Biden's/Blinken's "take the win," and in June 2025, when they ran into Trump's ego (he was still pining for that Nobel Peace Prize at the time) and micromanagement (he made it known "loud and clear" that he was "generalissimo" of the ops) when, after bombing a few Iran nuclear sites - operation "Midnight Hammer" which he wanted to be a punctuation point, to take the credit for "obliterating" Iran's nuclear WMD program - he abruptly called a ceasefire, then stopped the second phase of regime change plan ("They don't know what the f**k they're doing!") and Israel had to abort the op and turn back IAF planes that were on the way for another raid wave and to provide support for the IDF and Mossad's fully prepped "ground game" of dismantling and removal of IRGC and Basij command and control (by various means, including providing safe passage for them and families to neutral countries) with the uprising follow-up...

A few months later, out of the blue, Trump made another idiotic call, now for an impromptu uprising promising "Help is on the way!"... when no help was forthcoming, and more than 40,000 Iranians were slaughtered by IRGC within a few weeks.

Trump finally realized this made him look bad, as was the news that most of the nuclear "dust" was removed from the bombed plants... so that's how Trump's decisions were made.

www.axios.com - Saudi defense minister says Trump not bombing Iran would embolden regime - Jan 30, 2026


www.telegraph.co.uk - MBS 'secretly lobbied Trump to attack Iran' | Many Gulf states believe Iran to be a danger to the region and a destabilising force - 2026-02-28


www.latestly.com - Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Salman Urged Donald Trump To Strike Iran, Called Him Multiple Times Privately - 2026-03-01

|------- ... Riyadh's primary goal was to ensure that any military action would be led by the United States and Israel, thereby providing a "security umbrella" for the Gulf states. -------|


www.yahoo.com - Saudi's MBS Secretly Pushes Trump to Take Iran War to Next Phase - 2026-03-24
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#28 | Posted by donnerboy at 2026-08-12 12:04 PM
"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics." ~ Mark Twain

That's for damn sure.


Obama added 54.6% ... or a total increase of $9.3 trillion.
Biden added 30.5% ... or a total increase of $8.16 trillion.
Trumpy added 29.1% ... or a total increase of $19.8 trillion
So far..
Now do you see the problem?



There are actually several problems here:
1. Many of the numbers cited above are wrong or incomplete -
www.us-debt-clock.com - U.S. National Debt by President, from 1897 **

2. The basic principle of statistical comparisons: percentages, not absolute numbers, are the lifeblood, sine qua non of economics and business math.

The problems include, and are compounded, by not accounting for growth in the size of the economy and the accumulated debt, and not understanding that same percentage from larger number results in larger number hence the emphasis on the absolute numbers is wrong:

1 + 1 = 2 (+100%)
2 + 1 = 3 (+50%)
3 + 1 = 4 (+33.33%)
4 + 1 = 5 (+25%)
5 + 1 = 6 (+20%) ...

Same number added, but it represents a lower percentage as (accumulated) total gets larger.

It's the same problem that I was warning about since 2020: "Recessions come and go, inflations accumulate", but usually the party in power would rather stave off recession by Keynesian spending "emergency" $$ to "stimulate" the economy than risk natural business cycle recession.

So, expressing and comparing the debt created during one period with the one in another period should be in percentages, not absolute numbers, or as they call it in UK, "like-to-like" or "like-for-like" stats.

There are also other issues / "problems" in this specific example of budgets, e.g., the expense of paying interest for previously ACCUMULATED debt contributes / compounds to the total budget (deficit), so there is also a question of which factors and ratios (in %%) are much more interesting and relevant than a "term debt to total debt", like "deficit to budget", "collection to spending", "increase in debt to nominal GDP/economy", etc., etc.


And, of course, the ever-present yet usually ignored question of who controlled the Congress (solid-Red, solid-Blue, mixed) at the time of accumulating debt, because it's so much easier and convenient to blame a single person, President (and, correspondingly, single party) during the period, as well as different economic conditions and challenges "under President XYZ" at the time - which may have been created as result of laws or regulations set in place by Presidents, Congresses and courts many years before - and the tendency of all Presidents to propose (and Congress approve, after adorning that "Christmas tree" with their own state/district goodies) "record spending programs" with catchy names / acronyms / slogans on this or that "infrastructure" / "re-shoring/onshoring" / "many good-paying [union] jobs" / "education" etc., that many people like in theory, but usually fall far from desired results for economy as a whole and cost much more than initially expected.

That also explains why OMB and CBO projections of deficits are most always wrong, they don't reflect reality and are useless.


** Presidents share fiscal authority with Congress, and totals are affected by inherited budgets, recessions, wars, emergencies, tax policy, and interest costs. Results should be read as administration-period comparisons, not causal scores.
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