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Tuesday, March 31, 2020

If former Vice President Joe Biden secures the Democratic presidential nomination, 15% of Sen. Bernie Sanders' supporters will vote for President Donald Trump's reelection, according to an ABC News/Washington Post poll.

If accurate, that would represent a slightly larger defection than occurred after the bitter battle between Sanders and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2016, when 12% of Sanders voters broke for Trump in the general election.


Sunday, March 29, 2020

While Americans are stuck at home, the Democrat dominating the airwaves to counter President Donald Trump's messaging about the coronavirus is not the one seeking to replace him in the Oval Office -- it's Governor Andrew Cuomo. And that's causing some daydreaming for political junkies with time on their hands.

The hashtag #PresidentCuomo trended on Twitter last week. Musings about Cuomo as a wild-card nominee have come from everywhere on the left, including MYT columnist Maureen Dowd, MSNBC host Rachel Maddow, who called him "president of the coronavirus response," and a writer at the feminist website Jezebel, Rebecca Fishbein, who headlined her piece, "Help, I think I'm in love with Andrew Cuomo???"

In what seemed like a metaphor for the times, cable news networks last week even skipped a speech by Biden and aired one of Cuomo's briefings instead.

But experts on the Democratic nominating process say that a Cuomo nomination is little more than a daydream.


Saturday, March 21, 2020

President Trump has unleashed a humanitarian and economic disaster on his own people. There is no way to escape this fact.

While other places " Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea etc. " prepared for the coronavirus and took proactive measures to prevent its spread, Trump did nothing. As a result, the United States now faces a domestic crisis unseen since the Great Depression. This is the result of political malpractice, not merely biological bad luck.

But Trump does not have a monopoly on political malpractice. As the crisis has spread, Democratic Party leaders - Speaker Pelosi, Minority Leader Schumer and presumptive Dem nominee Joe Biden - have either been MIA or short on solutions. The leader of one party has caused a national calamity, while the leaders of the other have nothing much to say.

With Democratic leaders thinking small, a majority of the public now actually approves of Trump's catastrophic pandemic management, according to a new poll. read more


Thursday, March 19, 2020

Joe Biden's unequivocal declaration that his running mate will be a woman began the 2020 veepstakes with a brutal cut. There will Jbe no consolation prize for Cory Booker, Pete Buttigieg or Julin Castro. There will be no unity ticket pairing Biden with Bernie Sanders. Mansplainers and manspreaders, you can go home. Joe has binders full of women. Perhaps there has never been a more serious veepstakes than this one. Biden won't say on the record that he would serve only one term as president, but he has given enough hints that many have assumed it. That makes his vice presidential choice the automatic frontrunner for the 2024 Democratic presidential nomination and potentially the first female president of the United States. This is no time for your last-call, falling-off-your-bar-stool, so-crazy-it-just-might-work vice-presidential musings. Who can fit the bill? My rankings, on a scale from Sarah Palin to LBJ carrying Texas for JFK: read more


Wednesday, March 18, 2020

Sen. Bernie Sanders's (I-Vt.) presidential campaign manager on Wednesday said that Sanders would take time in the coming weeks to assess his campaign after a slew of primary wins for former Vice President Joe Biden. "The next primary contest is three weeks away," Sanders's campaign manager, Faiz Shakir, said in a statement. "Sen. Sanders is going to be having conversations with his supporters to assess his campaign."

The statement comes hours after Biden won sweeping victories in the Arizona, Florida and Illinois Democratic primaries on Tuesday. Biden won Florida by nearly 40 points', Illinois by more than 20 points and Arizona by 12 points. On Super Tuesday earlier this month, Biden took the lead in the race by winning 10 of 14 contests.

The wins ensure that Biden will have a nearly insurmountable lead in delegates by the time all of the votes are counted from the latest nominating contests.


Comments

Key points FTA:

First, do not make this election solely about Donald Trump. The idea that the challenger wants a campaign to be a referendum on the incumbent rather than a choice between two candidates is a staple of political conventional wisdom. It is also a mistake.

Trump has dominated the national conversation for five years. His flaws are known by all. The Democrats should want this to be a choice between competing, starkly different visions for the country. If it's all about Trump, Democrats will lose.

Second, find ways to frame this economy on your own terms. As Obama showed in 2012, the candidate who succeeds in defining the terms of the economic debate will win the election. Romney's entire strategy was to lay the blame for the sluggish economy at Obama's feet while claiming that his business experience made him better suited to jump-start the recovery.

But Obama won handily because he reframed the economic question before voters. Instead of an up-or-down vote based on the unemployment rate or weak growth, the Obama campaign turned a question of economic performance into one of economic fairness by focusing on how Romney's policies favored the wealthy over the middle and working class.

Third, get out of the liberal Twitter bubble. Finally, one of Romney's biggest errors was being stuck in the conservative news bubble. The only people truly shocked by Obama's victory, which was predicted by the polls and the various data models, was the Romney campaign.

The Democratic nominee needs to recognize that a lot of the voters we need see Trump very differently than most of us that populate liberal Twitter, watch MSNBC and listen to Pod Save America. According to polling and focus groups, despite a Cheesecake Factory menu's worth of scandal, they still see Trump as someone who represents change.

Finally, voters are not naive. Outside of the MAGA base, most have a pretty nuanced view of Trump. These impressions can and must be changed"in some cases with only a modicum of new information. But only if Democrats run against the person these voters see, not the person they know Trump to be.


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