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Wednesday, October 23, 2024

he radar station on Triton will probably complicate military operations in peace time across the South China Sea but could also prove to be a juicy target in time of war, says Malcom Davis at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute.


Donald Trump's longest-serving chief of staff is warning that the Republican presidential nominee meets the definition of a fascist and that while in office, Trump suggested that Nazi leader Adolf Hitler "did some good things." read more


A trove of legislative and electoral data reveals that when one party secures control, voters get ignored. read more


I worry that the calculator we've known and loved is not long for this Earth. This month, when I upgraded my iPhone to the latest operating system, iOS 18, it came with a refreshed Calculator app. read more


A day after the New York Liberty topped the Minnesota Lynx in a fierce battle for the WNBA title, another fight is brewing in women's professional basketball. read more


Comments

@#19 .. Polls have been garbage since 2015. did hillary win? ...

For the record....

The polls did not show a SoS Clinton win in 2016. They showed a toss-up.

www.realclearpolitics.com


It was the interpretation and projection of the polling that predicted the wrong outcome.

And that is why I so readily dismiss such projections of late, and prefer to focus upon the polling numbers.

And, also, fwiw, those polling numbers show that VP Harris has lost momentum she had.

www.realclearpolling.com

(scroll down to the graph)

And, yeah, I know it is all about the battleground states.

So, let's go there...

www.realclearpolling.com

Yeah, that doesn't look good either.


@#1 ... Triton Island ...

Seems to have a history...

Triton Island
en.wikipedia.org

... History

Lacking a native population, ownership of the Paracel Islands has been disputed since the early 20th century. In the aftermath of the First Indochina War, until 1974 Vietnam occupied Pattle Island, approximately 50 nautical miles (93 km) northeast. Control has been enforced by the People's Republic of China since the Battle of the Paracel Islands....


Skipping ahead ...

ibid ...

...Freedom of navigation maneuvers

On January 30, 2016, the United States warship USS Curtis Wilbur passed within 12 nautical miles of the island. The Pentagon stated that it had notified none of the three claimants to the island beforehand, and stated the reason for the transit was to protect freedom of navigation, "consistent with international law". The People's Republic of China called the voyage "provocative" and that it "violated relevant Chinese laws by entering Chinese territorial waters without prior permission".[9]

In July 2017, the guided missile destroyer USS Stethem navigated within 12 miles of Triton island as part of a FONOP (Freedom of navigation operation).[3]

In May 2018, the guided missile destroyer USS Higgins navigated within 12 miles of Triton island as part of a FONOP (Freedom of navigation operation). [10] ...



Making Tariffs Great Again: Does President Trump Have Legal Authority to Implement New Tariffs on U.S. Trading Partners and China? (October 10, 2024)
www.csis.org

... Conclusion

If Trump wins back the White House, U.S. trading partners are likely to face a barrage of renewed tariff threats, which has left many companies and trading partners struggling to better understand what measures may be coming. During Trump's first term, he used tariffs for a variety of purposes, including diversifying supply chains (e.g., China), addressing global excess capacity (e.g., steel and aluminum), and for leverage in negotiations with Europe, China, Canada, and Mexico. Trump also has a longstanding view that U.S. average tariff rates are too low, a vestige of past General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade rounds, the 1994 Uruguay Round Agreements, and the World Trade Organization, which locked in U.S. tariffs through negotiated tariff "bindings." If he is reelected, there appear to be few practical or legal barriers to Trump making good on his campaign promise.

Trump's decision making process is also highly adaptable, so the ultimate outcomes are less clear. He likes to throw out provocative ideas that grab attention but sometimes abandons or adapts them if there's too much of a backlash. More than anything else, he is a dealmaker who uses provocative threats, including tariffs, for negotiating leverage and attention. ...


@#33 ... Tarrifs (cause that will allow him to corruptly give out largesse) ...

Yup.

The question becomes...

Who can impose tariffs, and for what purpose?

Some background...

Who has the Authority to Impose Tariffs and how does this Affect International Trade?
yeutter-institute.unl.edu

... In early 2018 President Trump imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962. This law states that the president can raise tariffs on imports that pose a threat to national security. Section 232 allows the President to implement these tariffs without the approval of Congress, following an investigation by the Department of Commerce. The Commerce Department has noted that threats to national security may include "fostering U.S. dependence on unreliable or unsafe imports" or "fundamentally threatening the ability of U.S. domestic industries to satisfy national security needs."1 However, there are many members of Congress on both sides of the aisle who would like to rein in the President's ability to unilaterally impose tariffs.

Background

While the U.S. Constitution grants to Congress the power to levy tariffs on goods, Congress has delegated some of that power to the Executive Branch over time. The U.S. Constitution states in Article I, Section 8 that "The Congress shall have the Power to lay and collect Taxes, Duties, Imposts and Excises." Congress passed general tariff legislation until the early 1930s. However, in a move to grant more flexibility to the President to revitalize global trade in the midst of the Great Depression, Congress gave the Executive Branch the power to negotiate tariff reductions within levels pre-approved by Congress through the Reciprocal Trade Agreement Act of 1934. President Franklin D. Roosevelt became the first President to have the authority to levy tariffs and negotiate bilateral trade agreements without the approval of Congress.2

The Executive Branch has continued to exercise a level of authority over tariffs over the past few decades. In 1962 President Kennedy signed into law the Trade Expansion Act, which allows the President to adjust tariffs based on threats to national security under section 232.3 This is the authority under which President Trump imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum, which have a vast impact on some of the United States' biggest trading partners and many U.S. industries. Since the beginning of the year, there have been bipartisan efforts in Congress to try to regain some of the power that was delegated to the Executive branch to regulate trade. ...



So, it seems that fmr Pres trump, should he win the Oval Office, could use tariffs to hurt only companies who do not support him.


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