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Teddy gave a 90 minute speech after being shot. I'm straining to think of a single thing Trump did that could even enter the same zip code as that kind of toughness.

It takes significantly more labor input to get what you want out of our system, since our system is not really a single system. It's thousands of interconnected pieces with no one entity coordinating or even overseeing their actions.

It's like fighting a national invasion by relying on fifty governors to coordinate and synchronize their national guard movements towards a unitary goal. Has been since the beginning. With predictable results.

#21 | Posted by snoofy at 2020-12-31 02:16 PM | Reply

It certainly takes more labor, but it isn't really that hard. They've known for months what the requirements for storing this vaccine would be. Any competent administration would have gotten the logisticians working on this months ago. I thought Trump & Co. were calling out the military to help with this problem? Wasn't that one of the things they were bragging about with Operation Warp Speed? If ever there was an organization that knows how to work through a problem like this, the military would. They even have a national infrastructure to organize it all.

Get the National Guard medical teams to go work with the hospitals in say, September, to figure out the storage requirements and the process for readying the vaccine for administration. Everything would be ready to go by the end of October. Of course, this would take forethought, planning, and a reliance on experts.

They could even be working out the same questions for the Moderna vaccine, and provide inputs to which vaccine should go to which communities when. This isn't even as complicated as the normal logistical issues the military faces in preparing for an overseas deployment to unprepared basing.

How long have they been talking about Operation Warp Speed, and they hadn't even worked out this basic problem? Your average international charity has tackled harder problems.

Joe Biden wants to revoke Section 230
www.theverge.com

...In an interview with The New York Times on Friday, former Vice President Joe Biden called for tech's biggest liability shield, Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act, to be "revoked, immediately."

"The idea that it's a tech company is that Section 230 should be revoked, immediately should be revoked, number one. For Zuckerberg and other platforms," Biden said. "It should be revoked because it is not merely an internet company. It is propagating falsehoods they know to be false."
""Section 230 should be revoked, immediately should be revoked, number one.""

This wasn't the first time Biden criticized the immensely important internet law. In previous interviews with outlets like CNN, Biden has said that "we should be considering taking away [Facebook's] exemption," but has never ventured as far as saying that it should be completely "revoked." The Verge contacted Biden's campaign to ask if he stands by the statements provided to The New York Times; the campaign did not immediately respond. ...

So the revocation of section 230 shouldn't slow things down,...

#11 | Posted by LampLighter at 2020-12-29 02:33 PM | Reply | Flag:

That looks like a significant misreading of what was said. It looks to me like Biden wasn't calling for section 230 to be revoked, but rather that Facebook shouldn't be allowed to claim section 230 protections. Seems a significant distinction.

"it is not merely an internet company. It is propagating falsehoods they know to be false." That sounds like he's implying they aren't merely passively distributing what others publish, but are actively choosing what to promote and propagate to others, which moves them out from under the section 230 protections.

Ask RCADE - I suspect this place would immediately close if Section 230 were revoked.

Pompeii is an impressive site, and the size of what's been uncovered was already impressive. The idea there is a much larger area waiting to be uncovered is remarkable.

However, I found Herculaneum more interesting, even if it is a much smaller space that has been excavated. Because of how it was buried in mud instead of ash, it was much harder to excavate, protecting it from the much of the looting and early archaeological digs that caused a lot of damage to Pompeii. It also meant that more of the organic matter like wood was better preserved.

Most of that city cannot be excavated because there is a current city built on top of the old one. It is really quite fascinating to see. They also found a large mass of bodies huddled in the boat houses down near what used to be the shore. It seems much of the city took shelter there while trying to escape and got caught all together in the pyroclastic flow. I highly recommend adding this to your plans if you are in the area.

The volcano is still pretty much active, with the last eruption occurring in 1944. It killed quite a few people, but most of the major population centers, as well as Pompeii and Herculaneum, were protected by the wall of material formed by the eruption in 79AD. If you've ever been to the region, though, you'll realize if there is ever a major eruption, it will kill millions. There is simply no realistic way to evacuate all of people in the nearby cities through the single, very narrow, coastal road that connects them. It's backed up all the time with normal traffic and would be a parking lot if everyone were trying to leave at once. Many might be able to leave by boat, but even then, it would be difficult to load anything of significant size because the ports are so small and most of the shore are cliffs.

COVID is now the #1 cause of death in the U.S.

#5 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2020-12-04 10:43 PM | Reply

With the current numbers of reported deaths per day, it is the #1 cause of death on a daily basis. It has not yet reached that status for the year, and likely won't. It may, however, end up as the #1 cause of death in America for the 12-month period starting with the first confirmed case back in January. There is a high probability now it will hit that mark for the 12-month period starting at the end of February when the first confirmed U.S. death from CoViD-19 occurred. Currently, that spot is held by heart disease, killing approximately 655k Americans a year. At number 2 annually, cancer kills approximately 600k/year.

The 7-day running average is about 2k/day right now, and increasing rapidly. At 2k/day, that would be just short of 500k confirmed CoViD-19 deaths by the end of February - not enough to beat either cancer or heart disease. However: 1) infection rates are still rising rapidly, 2) so the death rate is likely to continue rising rapidly for a month after infection rate peaks, 3) and deaths due to CoViD-19, as this article discusses, are likely underestimated by a double-digit percentage.

The current 7-day moving average of new cases is 186k/day. If we use the historical 3% CFR, that means there are currently 5.5k people each day who've caught the disease that will kill them. Even at 2%, it's still over 3.7k per day. The 2k deaths per day, assuming the 1-month lag, corresponds to when we had approximately 90k new infections per day. That would be a little over 2% CFR, so 2-3% seems like the right range, before we start dealing with overloaded hospitals unable to provide care.

It is sadly all too real a possibility that CoViD-19 could be near 700k dead in a 12-month period.

The coronavirus was in the U.S. as early as mid-December 2019, a period earlier than officially identified in either China or the U.S., according to new research from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Posted by retort at 01:53 PM | 3 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

I guess the "officially" caveat keeps that statement true. However, I remember reading early on that they had identified the earliest case in mid-November, which led me to state it was likely SARS-CoV-2 was here in the U.S. by mid-December. Seems to line up well.

This LiveScience article from March may have been what I remember reading.

This just points out why testing and tracing are so important. Closing the borders would not have stopped the virus, as it was likely already here. Truly closing the borders may have slowed the spread significantly, but that would have meant actually quarantining everyone entering from anywhere, even returning U.S. citizens, which we failed to do. To be fair, we likely never would have had the political nor physical capability to actually do that level of quarantining.

Looks like the increase in deaths per day is following the predicted path as well - started to tick up about 1 month after the start of this surge in cases did.

Over 1 in 33 Americans has or has had the Corona Virus. Think about that for a moment.

#10 | Posted by moder8 at 2020-11-16 01:30 PM | Reply

Also think of this: Even with a low estimate of 1% CFR, 1M new cases in 6 days also means 10k+ people who will be dead roughly a month from now, and roughly 200k hospitalizations within the next 2 weeks or so. With the ~4.5M active cases today, 45k people are effectively dead already with that same low estimate of 1% CFR. With the current average CFR of ~3% in the U.S. today, that's another 135k people who will die from this disease without even another single infection. At that same 3% CFR, as we add 150k new case each day, we add 4.5k deaths each day delayed by 1 month. I hope this math is wrong, because I can't even imagine 4.5k deaths a day, and we're accelerating.

Even if we manage to keep the average number of new cases a day to the current average, that will put us over 500k dead by the end of December from this disease. At the same rate, we'll be over 655k deaths from CoViD-19 by the end of January. That means, unless something drastically changes in the next two months, CoViD-19 will have killed more Americans in 12 months than any other cause of death. Heart disease, the number one killer of Americans in a normal year, killed just over 655k in 2018. It's looking unlikely we'll keep it under 600k by the end of January even if we act pretty decisively now.

Hang in there cuz on day ONE, this will be took care of.

#13 | Posted by phesterOBoyle at 2020-11-07 09:24 AM | Reply | Flag:

Be careful around sources of heat and flame with all that straw. There has been no claim that anything Biden can do would make a significant impact immediately. There are millions of active cases out there spreading to millions more. Over a hundred thousand a day at last count. It took months to knock down the infection rate back in May, it will take months more to do it now - especially since it has been allowed to grow with so little constraint. Even if the spread were to miraculously go to zero today, there are over a hundred thousand people who have already contracted the disease that will ultimately kill them, and there is nothing anybody can do at this point to save them. At the rate we are going, nearly half a million people will have died from this virus when we hit the one year mark, and there will still be tens or hundreds of thousands who will already have the disease that will die from it. If the rates continue to grow as they are, it will be even worse. Add to that the unknown numbers that will have long-term health issues from having contracted this disease. Estimates now are at least ten or twenty times the number who died will have long-term debilitating effects. It will take at least a decade to really understand just how much damage was done to this country by allowing this disease to spread so widely.

This is already the single deadliest disease in America this year, and it will only get worse until we do something as a nation to stop it. There was no reason it ever had to get this bad. At least with Biden, there is a chance something will be done to stop the hemorrhaging, but that's only the first step. Actually fixing things will require the cooperation of people who have already demonstrated no regard for the damage they cause.

Sorry, fixed link for the findlaw article on Pennsylvania adoption laws: Here

You sure that's true? I seem to remember they refer these types of cases out to other city approved agencies. Let me know if I'm wrong.

#40 | Posted by et_al at 2020-11-07 02:20 AM | Reply | Flag:

First, thanks for the links earlier. I don't really have the time or energy to dig into those briefs at this point, but I may later. The arguments I have seen can all be expanded to allow me to ignore any law I chose so long as it is a "sincerely held belief". That's a pretty wide-open landscape.

As for the quoted: I haven't been able to find the verbiage in a quick search, but I had recalled the contract agencies were working to place specific children. I could very well have misunderstood. Regardless, they are still restricting the pool of foster parents with this rule. While the supporters say the people attempting to foster or adopt can just go to the agencies, I'm sure the others are fairly overwhelmed with their ability to qualify the folks they already have coming to them. If that were not the case, the idea that ceasing to contract through CSS would reduce the number of available foster parents wouldn't hold any water. All those persons could just go to the other agencies and no problem.

I did, however, find this op-ed in the Philadelphia Inquirer that shows CSS was perfectly willing to allow unmarried people to foster, so even the idea that required them to "recognize" a marriage is faulty.

For the last 25 years, I have sheltered and loved more than 40 children, helping them piece their lives together and move on from hurt-filled pasts. [. . .]As a single mom and woman of color, I've known a thing or two about discrimination over the years. [emphasis mine]

This is purely about discriminating against homosexuals. There has been a long history of using religion to discriminate in placing children, including religious organizations refusing to place with other religions. Some states have apparently passed laws specifically allowing religious organizations to discriminate in ways that would otherwise be illegal, but Pennsylvania has no such law.

The postal service would not be equiped to safeguard ballots and a margin of error would be higher than other methods of voting.

Asserts facts not in evidence. The USPS is trusted by the DoD to deliver classified packages every day of the year. Clearly the DoD believes they can be trusted to handle very important and sensitive items.

There would be incentive to tamper with votes
There already is incentive to tamper with the millions of mail-in votes cast in every election, yet it is incredibly rare. You continue to make assumptions and assertions, but ignore the fact that vote-by-mail is done in huge volumes every single election. It only seems to have been an issue in this election, where remarkable decisions were made to reduce the efficiency of the postal service in specific locations by, for example, removal of sorting machines, reduction in personnel, and forbidding overtime hours, just to name a few things.

If you think someone motivated enough to tamper with mail-in ballots won't find a way to tamper with elections in other ways, you're kidding yourself. Far more has been done to tamper with elections long before ballots are cast than anything done with any ballots. Limiting polling locations and hours, "purging" voter rolls with inaccurate lists, limiting available voting machines, and lots of other subtle and less subtle ways to make it hard for people to cast ballots at all. These activities effect a far larger number of votes than whatever imagined tampering there would be with mail-in ballots. 10s of thousands of voters were wrongfully purged from the Florida voter rolls in the months leading up to the election in 2000. How does that compare with your imagined mail-in ballot tampering?

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