"All Models are Wrong, but some are useful"

1 model heavily dependent on enthusiasm does not mean much. The article references 2 other models showing a Biden win, so I guess we get to pick which one(s) we believe.

It's true that Trump has a huge enthusiasm bump over Biden. But if 35% of the voters enthusiastically pull the lever for Trump and 60% hold their nose and pull it for Biden, that enthusiasm means very little.

Bill, you've also used the word Entrapment 342 times, I don't think you are using that word correctly:

"Entrapment may result from the use of threats, intimidation, extended fraud, or any other means where the defendant was essentially forced to commit a crime"

Please tell us how this guy was FORCED to lose it in Costco? Hint: he wasn't. He made a choice.

No...the camera is the problem.
#91 | POSTED BY BILLJOHNSON AT 2020-07-09 05:02 AM | REPLY

HAHAHA. This sort of stupidity has been going on forever, the camera didn't MAKE this guy go crazy. The fact that he's an entitled douche bag is probably responsible for that. I do pity this man, but I also think he deserves what he gets. They are, after all, c simply consequences of his actions, and if there's anything Conservatives believe in is suffering the consequences of your actions.

C'mon Bill, you believe in personal responsibility, don't you? This is 100% on this guy, he now has to live with his actions. It's not 1%, 10%, or 100% the fault of the camera holder and you know it.

Here's a hint to people - when someone is holding a camera at ya, try not to be a jerk and then - surprise! - people won't judge you for being a jerk.

#70 | POSTED BY BILLJOHNSON AT 2020-07-08 06:19 PM | REPLY | FLAG:

So bad behavior is OK if you're provoked into it? Black people have been "harassed and provoked" for 400 years and you don't seem to give them a pass; this guy gets a pass after less than 1 minute.

Or maybe we can all be grown ups and learn not to react poorly when people provoke us? I know, crazy, right?

Like I said, there's a new type of terrorist in America walking around with no mask, clenched fists, screaming at people about feeling threatened while threatening others.
#65 | POSTED BY BILLJOHNSON AT 2020-07-08 06:04 PM | FLAG:

FTFY

I'd venture to guess there's going to be some sort of lawsuit making its way through the courts pertaining to one's right to privacy regarding the casual recording and posting of people without their permission.
#52 | POSTED BY BILLJOHNSON AT 2020-07-08 04:51 PM | REPLY | FLAG

If you're in a public place, you have no right or expectation of privacy. That's been true.... forever.

Also, lunging at someone three times while yelling at them AND purposefully striding into their personal space is in fact a threat. I mean, it's more than Trayvon Martin ever did.

"You have 15 people, and the 15 within a couple of days is going to be down to close to zero."
#8 | POSTED BY JOE AT 2020-07-08 11:09 AM | REPLY

It's so easy to fix this. Trump just needs to take his magic Sharpie and move the decimal place 2.... no, 4..... no, I mean 6 places to the left and there you have it - "close to zero"! Winning!

I saw somewhere that Trump sent a message to many discouraging attendance because of the covid threat.
#4 | POSTED BY PHESTEROBOYLE AT 2020-06-22 11:51 AM | REPLY | FLAG:

Is that the best you can do after 1 1/2 days of trying to find some angle that doesn't make this look horrible for Trump? After he specifically INVITED people to attend despite the threat?

"I saw somewhere..." get outta here with that lame crap.

People wipe their ass with coins?

#1 | POSTED BY ZED AT 2020-06-21 11:23 AM | REPLY

Still beats the 3 seashell method...

Headline: Trump Sues Own Campaign

It's REPUBLICANS making Confederate claims against him, not Democrats.
#8 | POSTED BY TONYROMA AT 2020-06-11 12:39 PM | REPLY

Unless you're ---------- Trump on a daily basis, you're a Democrat now, dontcha know?

Is Sniper actually a mediocre AI?

#38 | POSTED BY BILLY_BOY AT 2020-06-05 09:47 PM | REPLY

Sniper is real, he's just hangry that he spent this month's food money on a mediocre camo hat that fits his pin sized head poorly.

I think he's saying you can be against the cops and rioters and be right in both instances.
#8 | POSTED BY JPW AT 2020-06-02 10:24 PM | REPLY | FLAG:

I agree - so what's the solution? Because until the protests and rioting started, police state thuggery was kind of the status quo, at least some some segments of the population.

If the solution is to address systemic racism in governmental institutions - especially in law enforcement - then lets start doing that. However, it's 60 years after the Civil Rights movement in America; we haven't addressed this issue in any meaningful way. So when peaceful protests against bad cops (and the system that protects them) fail, get overlooked, or get mocked, what is the next step? More ineffective peaceful protest?

Note that I'm not calling for riots. However, when nothing else works, it's understandable when they occur.

That minister hated Trump before this.
#40 | POSTED BY DRIVELIKEJEHU AT 2020-06-03 08:21 AM | REPLY | FUNNY: 1

...therefore it's OK for the President to co-opt the church and the Bible for his own selfish and blasphemous ends? Is that what you're saying? Because that's what it sounds like you're saying.

This was reprehensible, full stop. Any God-fearing Christian should be in the forefront of denouncing the teargas, the clearing of the square (and church), and the corrupting of sacred symbols and places for political gain. But I forget, many Christians are Trump-fearing rather than God-fearing these days.

The best part of the video is when this moron realizes he's in the wrong, that the employee can in fact ask him to leave, and tries to get his wife(?) to buy the groceries with... surprise! - her mask on.

"I'm not a sheep... but you need to be one so I can get my giant sized bags of Cheetos".

I got a real problem with some of you people.

RIP Mr. Stiller

#46 | POSTED BY DOCNJO AT 2020-05-05 12:50 PM | REPLY

Now that "the flu kills more people than COVID!" has been proven false, some posters have moved the goal posts to "the Civil War killed more people than COVID." Next up: "More people died from the Bubonic Plague than from COVID, Trump is doing a heck of a job!"

Correct me if I'm wrong, but isn't the "Nuclear Option" now business as usual in the Senate for executive branch nominees? So doesn't it only take 51 votes to confirm a nominee? How are "Democrat Senators" keeping these nominees from being appointed when Republicans control the Senate?

I was under the impression that the Trump administration missed critical early COVID19 indicators because they were so focused and concerned about impeachment. Are we now saying that the Trump administration can have all hands on deck for COVID-19 and still focus on impeachment-related activities? Good to know!

WHO started warning about COVID-19 in mid January. Trump didn't think it was a problem until mid-March. Of course Trump is trying to shift the blame from himself on this one.