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www.nbcnews.com - Harris calls Trump's tariff proposals a 'sales tax on the American people' | Harris also said if elected she would raise taxes on corporations: "It's about paying their fair share" - NBC, September 26, 2024

|------- President Joe Biden has also backed certain tariffs and done little to roll back ones Trump put into place while president, but Harris emphasized that tariffs should not be implemented across all imports...

Harris also said in the interview that corporate taxes would have to be raised to fund some of her policies tackling affordability for child care and housing. "We're going to have to raise corporate taxes. We're going to have to make sure that the biggest corporations and billionaires pay their fair share. That's just it. It's about paying their fair share." ...
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Tariffs have historically been associated with Democratic / Big Labor favorite populist "protectionist" policies - Trump stole it in 2016 campaign and got a "fair share" of union rank-and-file votes.

That's just one reason Biden did nothing to roll them back - which he could do by "stroke of the pen, law of the land" - and has been piling more, "targeted" (of course!) tariffs on top of already damaging and inflationary Trump's "sales tax," which would be, obviously, "paid by China, Mexico..." or other "villain du jour," IOW, by "somebody else" - never mind the "trickle down" affect of [sales] taxes.

|------- Trump threatens '200% tariff' if John Deere moves production to Mexico.
Trump, who has made tariffs a key of his economic policy, said at policy roundtable in Smithton, Pennsylvania:

"They've announced a few days ago that they're going to move a lot of their manufacturing business to Mexico. I'm just notifying John Deere right now: If you do that, we're putting a 200% tariff on everything that you want to sell into the United States." **
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www.nbcnews.com - The politics of tariffs are complicated. A Democrat just introduced a bill to make Trump's proposals law - - NBC, September 27, 2024

|------- Kamala Harris has slammed Trump's across-the-board tariffs as a "sales tax" on working families, but one Democrat says they would help revive U.S. manufacturing.

Former President Donald Trump calls himself a "tariff man" and says the taxes on imported goods "are the greatest thing ever invented," so it's no surprise Vice President Kamala Harris has attacked the centerpiece of the GOP nominee's economic agenda as bad policy.

What's more surprising, however, is that one House Democrat just introduced a bill to codify Trump's 10% across-the-board tariffs, revealing how the long-dormant trade policy splits both parties. ...

[Tariffs] largely fell out of favor during the late 20th century as the U.S. led a global free trade revolution.

Knocking down trade barriers slashed the cost of consumer goods and grew many economies around the world. But critics say unfettered free trade also decimated American manufacturing and the well-paid, often unionized, jobs that came with it since domestic factories were unable to compete with the lower costs of making things abroad. ...
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In economics it's called "pricing oneself out of the market" and is well understood at any level of management.

"Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results."

"If you always do what you've always done, you will always get what you've always got."
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... that it's healthy to hold on to a decades old grudge?

No, decades of grudges are un-healthy... but for Israel it's not about "grudges," it's been about survival since Day 1.

Because, as the founding leaders of Hamas declared in 1988 - and put in Hamas Covenant (charter) - it's about unabated religious Jihad / "Holy Struggle" for one side only - "Article 8: Jihad is its path, and death for the sake of Allah is the loftiest of its wishes.":

|-------
Hamas has called on all Jews and Christians to accept Islamic rule in the Middle East. "It is the duty of the followers of other religions to stop disputing the sovereignty of Islam in this region..."

Hamas also rejected any prospect of peace or coexistence with the state of Israel. "Initiatives, proposals and international conferences are all a waste of time..."

Since its creation in December 1987, Hamas has invoked militant Islam to spearhead a Sunni movement committed to destroying Israel.

The Hamas Covenant was largely crafted by Sheikh Ahmed Yassin, a quadriplegic and partially blind cleric who was the founder and spiritual leader of the militant militia in Gaza.

From the Hamas Covenant (1988, 2017):

"Palestine is the land of the Arab Palestinian people, from it they originate, to it they adhere and belong... Palestine is a land whose status has been elevated by Islam, a faith that holds it in high esteem, that breathes through it its spirit and just values and that lays the foundation for the doctrine of defending and protecting it. ...

Palestine, which extends from the River Jordan in the east to the Mediterranean in the west and from Ras Al-Naqurah in the north to Umm Al-Rashrash in the south, is an integral territorial unit. ..."

Khaled Mashal, a leader in exile, reflected the traditional Hamas hardline position in 2012: "The state will come from resistance, not negotiation. Palestine is ours from the river to the sea and from the south to the north. We will never recognize the legitimacy of the Israeli occupation, and therefore there is no legitimacy for Israel..."

{Recently "departed"} Ismail Haniyeh on Oct. 7, 2023 after Hamas attack on Israel: "We want to liberate our land, our holy sites, our Al-Aqsa mosque ... Al-Qassam Brigades made the enemy lose its balance ... with this grand and blessed incursion; with this epic presence of men who write history with their blood and their guns ... And we say to all countries, including our beloved Arab countries: you must know that this entity [Israel] ... is incapable of providing you with security or protection. All the normalization and recognition processes, all the agreements that have been signed [with Israel] can never put an end to this battle."

Hamas rejected 1993 Oslo Accords and deployed suicide bombers against Israeli civilian and military targets. In 2004, Israel assassinated Yassin in a missile strike. The Second Intifada ended in 2005, and Israel unilaterally withdrew from Gaza.

Islamic Republic of Iran has armed, trained and funded Hamas since the late 1980s, due to its stated ideology and common goal of destroying Israel. ...
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en.wikipedia.org - Since 2001, Palestinian militants have launched tens of thousands of rocket attacks on Israel from the Gaza Strip. The attacks, condemned for targeting civilians, have been described as terrorism and are defined as war crimes.

Speaking of Iran, more than a week ago IDF Special Forces conducted ground operation in Masyaf, Syria, which destroyed a covert Iranian-built underground factory making medium-range precision missiles for Hezbollah in Lebanon.
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www.americanprogress.org
equitablegrowth.org
www.ietp.org
jacobin.com

Same good old progressive orgs extolling the virtue of high taxes as panacea to "inequality" and deficits.

"Ultimately, ITEP's corporate tax work helped secure critical provisions in the Tax Reform Act of 1986 that closed corporate tax loopholes and raised the corporate tax rate to ensure companies were paying their fair share."

Their own chart disproves their "conclusions."

"The deficit also grew after Trump cut taxes..."

And "the deficit also grew after Obama increased tax rates..." - that's exactky one of those "non-causational non-correlations" that I pointed to in the article - it's all about spending and Congress + Presidents (Dems + Reps) wanting to "invest record amounts for infrastructure, manufacturing, moonshots... whatever" and spending beyond budgetary means - as I've already proved in my post that the level of marginal taxes doesn't much affect the percentage of revenue to GDP the government collects, even in the 60s - tax rates do affect the economic growth and inflation - Econ-101.

Basically, same "non-partisan" left-wing orgs, presenting exactly same anecdotes that have nothing to do with actual supply-side economics and everything to do with spending ("deficits") and "Kansas" - which was exercise not in "supply-side" but in political idiocy, because in already high-spending low-tax state bill was uniquely designed to fail and had no chance to "stimulate" the economy, as he was warned by supply-side economists at the time (it actually violated the lower band of "Laffer curve") - that was actually Bartlett's problem with Laffer - promise of "unconditional magic pill" - it stopped at ~20%.

For every mention of "Kansas" I can show you a broke high-tax high-spending high-unemployment high-poverty state - e.g.. look at California's boom-bust surplus-and-deficits economy that depends on high earners - should they increase tax rates after turning $100B in surplus into $65B deficit in a year, even absent down business cycle ?

"Along with fellow neo-Keynesian economist James Meade in 1977, Tobin proposed nominal GDP targeting as a monetary policy rule in 1980."

Paul Spahn debunked it in 1995: "Analysis has shown that the Tobin tax ... is not viable and should be laid aside for good. ... If the tax is generally applied... it will severely impair financial operations and create international liquidity problems..."

Yes, we and many other countries have just experienced high inflation and deficits of that "monetary policy rule" and Keynesian quick-fix policies - BTW, that included Trump.

"Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon" - Milton Friedman.

Many countries now have benefited from sound supply-side policies, several in South America are just starting to get on the right track after years of Keynesian government-run economies.

Please, stop recycling the same bias-confirming debunked anecdotes about "supply-side never worked" from progressive orgs that don't stand basic economic scrutiny and opinion pieces about "fair share, living wage / [always] higher minimum wages, [always] higher taxes on the rich" (which by the way, "trickle down" to lower quintiles and only exacerbate inequality, not panacea to deficits or business cycles), and read some Econ-101 facts about long-term policies that have been successfully adopted after disasters of all different Keynesianisms - you can start with the links I provided.

I wasted enough time on this, explaining - again - what should be obvious from the facts. People just want to keep getting high on their own juice.
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#7 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-15 12:32 PM
"5 Reasons Why Supply-Side Economics Does Not Work
Many of the claims made by supply-siders have been disproven over the years"
www.investopedia.com

I've already debunked this particular "opinion piece" in the Investopedia and similar ones well over a year ago, so I won't go into a lot of details again, except to note that it's not written by an economist, "reviewed" by a lawyer, and "fact-checked" by an aspiring yoga and mind wellness influencer.

The main problem with this "opinion piece" is that it's very short on facts and very heavy on biased opinions, particularly skewed against what it mischaracterized as supply-side economics (which has since become "normal economics" in most advanced and developing countries, particularly in former socialist Warsaw Block countries)**, and in favor of so-called "backlash of left-wing thinkers," and it's also full of qualifiers (like "not always" etc.) and false "correlations" / comparisons, let alone trying to prove causations etc.

Another is the long-debunked "correlation" of marginal tax rate cuts with deficits. Deficits are the results of uncontrolled spending, not tinkering with marginal tax rates - while the actual percent of income tax revenues to GDP went up or stayed the same (didn't go down as a result of tax rate cuts), the spending "over budget" and on "off-budget items" have increased significantly, by Congress + Presidents.

Total tax revenues have stayed in median range of 16% - 18% of GDP since 1960s, only dipping below 14% after GFC and stock market meltdown in 2009, and getting above 19% at the height of "internet bubble" in 2000 (due to cap gains), despite vastly different tax rates and brackets over decades, and higher marginal individual (including cap gains) and corporate tax rates and additional taxes, like Social Security and excise taxes (~2.5% of total taxes) .

For instance, we understand that high taxes on tobacco discourage the consumption, or that tariffs/taxes lead to higher prices and lower consumption. IOW, we understand the fact that costs can and do affect buyers' behavior - yet somehow fail to accept it when it comes to income, corporate or other taxes.

One of the things that Reagan's tax reforms have done is reducing brackets down to 3-4, i/of 15-30+ in the 50s-70s.

There were also grudging acknowledgements that supply-side policy is a long-term solution to produce desired results, yet examples of it "not working" were short-timed - well, duh - we've had 40 years of low inflation / disinflation to be thankful for it.

We've just had another "experiment" with Keynesian "quick-fix" demand-side economics ("trickle-up") which inevitably and predictably leads to high inflation and consequent increase in "inequality" as money from the lower quintiles of "demanders" / consumers / buyers "trickle up" faster to highest quintiles of producers / sellers / "suppliers" - i.e., money flows "from the bottom up" or "from the middle out." ***

-----

** If you want a quick, unbiased tutorial - not a biased opinion piece - on supply-side from Investopedia, reviewed by economics professor:

www.investopedia.com - Supply-Side Economics: What You Need to Know

And short, but factual and comprehensible essay:

www.econlib.org - Supply-Side Economics - James D. Gwartney, professor of economics and former chief economist of the Joint Economic Committee of the U.S. Congress

*** "From the middle out" always reminds me of 'Silicon Valley' series where that was a description of main character's high-speed compression algorithm.
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Looking at the state of the race today, it's going to be close again, peeps:

Was always going to be - the early "celebration dance" high is over, it's just yet another "anti-vote / vote against" the last candidate who will piss enough "undecided" off just before the vote:

She did not get a real post-convention bump in the polls, neither did Trump. "Kamala-mentum" is gone. Considering who she is running against, this should have been an EC blowout already.

Both have negative "favorable - unfavorable" opinion spread.

Economic conditions are deteriorating - that's the reason the Fed is going to cut Fed rate, despite core and headline inflation still above target, though August and September comparisons against 2023 s/b easy, so official headline annual rate should come down faster, as October data will be after elections. And oil and gas are low, so it should help official inflation readings.

Stock market's "AI bubble" is starting to deflate, in fits and starts, as usual - despite expected rate cut - and "zombie" companies' stocks that went up in the "everything bubble" of 2020-2021 have been sinking fast, so this may affect "consumer sentiment" about economy, but full-on crash is unlikely before elections. "Buffett indicator" is much higher than it was in 2007 (GFC) and even in 1999 (Y2K and "internet bubble).

Consumer spending has been growing much faster than income growth and debt is very high (not even counting "shadow debt" and BNPL), savings rate is low, after being flush from all the COVID "stimulus" packages and states' unemployment checks.

fortune.com - US borrowing blows past predictions in July, with debt growing over $25 billion - 2024-09-09

37 percent of U.S. adults now struggle to pay for their most basic expenses each month... (US Census Bureau survey in June-July - 41.8% of Florida residents, 40% in New York, 39.9% in Texas, 37.5% in California...)

3 out of 5 people feel "their economy" is in recession - a so-called "vibe-cession."

www.cnbc.com - 59% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is in a recession - Aug 12, 2024

"While the economy is strong on paper, a lot of families aren't feeling the benefits, because they're struggling to afford the house they want or already live in."

"Bidenomics" is widely unpopular and she didn't yet break far enough from it, as James Carville explained. Biden campaigning at the same time for his "legacy" is detrimental, not helpful to her campaign.

nymag.com - James Carville on How Kamala Beats Trump

Harris has money advantage, but Trump campaign is spending mostly in swing states, particular push in PA and GA.

www.newsweek.com - Nate Silver Election Model Gives Trump Highest Chance of Winning Since July - NW, Sep 06, 2024
"The model also shows that the Republicans have made a net gain of between 0.1 and 2 points in every swing state other than Georgia and Wisconsin in the past week. Meanwhile, Trump leads in every battleground state other than Michigan and Wisconsin, where the candidates are tied."

Let's hope the energy, economy and markets stay "elevated" and Biden stops his "legacy tour" campaign until the elections.
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Looking at the state of the race today, it's going to be close again, peeps:

Was always going to be - the early "celebration dance" high is over, it's just yet another "anti-vote / vote against" the last candidate who will piss enough "undecided" off just before the vote:

She did not get a real post-convention bump in the polls, neither did Trump. "Kamala-mentum" is gone. Considering who she is running against, this should have been an EC blowout already.

Both have negative "favorable - unfavorable" opinion spread.

Economic conditions are deteriorating - that's the reason the Fed is going to cut Fed rate, despite core and headline inflation still above target, though August and September comparisons against 2023 s/b easy, so official headline annual rate should come down faster, as October data will be after elections. And oil and gas are low, so it should help official inflation readings.

Stock market's "AI bubble" is starting to deflate, in fits and starts, as usual - despite expected rate cut - and "zombie" companies' stocks that went up in the "everything bubble" of 2020-2021 have been sinking fast, so this may affect "consumer sentiment" about economy, but full-on crash is unlikely before elections. "Buffett indicator" is much higher than it was in 2007 (GFC) and even in 1999 (Y2K and "internet bubble).

Consumer spending has been growing much faster than income growth and debt is very high (not even counting "shadow debt" and BNPL), savings rate is low, after being flush from all the COVID "stimulus" packages and states' unemployment checks.

fortune.com - US borrowing blows past predictions in July, with debt growing over $25 billion - 2024-09-09

37 percent of U.S. adults now struggle to pay for their most basic expenses each month... (US Census Bureau survey in June-July - 41.8% of Florida residents, 40% in New York, 39.9% in Texas, 37.5% in California...)

3 out of 5 people feel "their economy" is in recession - a so-called "vibe-cession."

www.cnbc.com - 59% of Americans wrongly think the U.S. is in a recession - Aug 12, 2024

"While the economy is strong on paper, a lot of families aren't feeling the benefits, because they're struggling to afford the house they want or already live in."

"Bidenomics" is widely unpopular and she didn't yet break far enough from it, as James Carville explained. Biden campaigning at the same time for his "legacy" is detrimental, not helpful to her campaign.

nymag.com - James Carville on How Kamala Beats Trump

Harris has money advantage, but Trump campaign is spending mostly in swing states, particular push in PA and GA.

www.newsweek.com - Nate Silver Election Model Gives Trump Highest Chance of Winning Since July - NW, Sep 06, 2024
"The model also shows that the Republicans have made a net gain of between 0.1 and 2 points in every swing state other than Georgia and Wisconsin in the past week. Meanwhile, Trump leads in every battleground state other than Michigan and Wisconsin, where the candidates are tied."

Let's hope the energy, economy and markets stay "elevated" and Biden stops his "legacy tour" campaign until the elections.
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The real problems are neither the banks (it could have happened at any bank that allows "overdraft," either standalone or linked to a credit account like bank-issued credit card, CMA or HELOC - Chase was likely chosen by TikTok influencers because they have a large national network of ATMs) nor paper checks - they still have their uses, especially for many B2B and B2C companies (see "Catch Me If You Can" about Frank Abagnale and what he could've done much easier today with the account's routing and account number), or many people who can't or don't want to have their bank or P2P app on their phones or computers, it's:

1. Basic human greed - "I can get 'free' money AND screw the bank AND no one will be the wiser? Where is that nearest Chase ATM at?"

2. Basic human stupidity - the financial illiterates who seeking financial "advice" or a get-richer-quick scheme from TikTok or other "non-financial" sources - so, it's "the influencers leading the [financially] blind, and the [financially] blind willingly following the influencers."

|------ The technique involved depositing a check for a large amount of money the user didn't actually have and withdrawing a smaller but substantial amount before anything officially cleared. In reality, the "glitch" was better known as fraud. And now, JP Morgan Chase has confirmed the bank is reporting the people who committed the crimes to authorities.

Some videos on TikTok even showed people throwing money they'd ostensibly gotten through this method into the air in celebration. ... One video features a woman on the phone explaining to her mother that they're letting people get between $40,000 and $50,000 for nothing with this infinite money "glitch." The mother is rightly skeptical and says she doesn't want her bank account closed, while her daughter insists her account won't be closed since it's just a glitch.

Chase said they've frozen some accounts who tried it... And the bank is giving "surveillance footage and other information related to individuals" to police.
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Stupidity has (or should have) consequences.
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Link gets truncated for some reason after "?" - just copy-paste text after ft.com link:

www.ft.com

?source=next-article&fit=scale-down&quality=highest&width=1020&dpr=1

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#10 | Posted by SpeakSoftly at 2024-09-05 05:07 PM
#9 | Posted by oneironaut : If Biden was really interested in bringing back Manufacturing, seems like this deal would be approved.

- - - You obviously didn't read the IRA bill or else you'd have no doubts about that.

First, it's a non sequitur, he was specifically referring to blocking the Nippon Steel's very generous bailout of US Steel, which lost money in 13 of the last 15 years, has a lot of debt so it's not capable to recapitalize, modernize and be competitive on its own with much larger and stronger companies, in the US or elsewhere. This kind of opportunity to help US manufacturer and save "good-paying" jobs doesn't come often, and not only doesn't even cost anything but brings capital to the US, so rejecting it says more about Biden (and Trump) caring more about union bosses (who are against buyout) than actual domestic manufacturing, jobs, or attracting FDI in the US. IRA has absolutely nothing to do with this case.

Second, spending $Billions of "other people's money" on what some may describe as "manufacturing" - as part of so-called "industrial policy" - doesn't, in and of itself, bring in or stimulate actual manufacturing. Lack of factories was not the reason for supposed lack of manufacturing in the US.

Even Paul Krugman of NYT acknowledged that IRA didn't fund actual manufacturing - it would require much more "additional" funding - IOW, building large empty structures/"factories" we didn't need with the money we don't have (and would have to borrow, thus increasing deficits and debt) with no obvious payout, doesn't address the costs and needs of the US manufacturing; i.e., it's simply a continuation of same inflationary "demand-side" economy that we've just experienced. That's why "industrial policy" spectacularly failed in the countries that tried it - most notably, Japan in the '80s and '90s, China's failing "Silk Road" and "ghost cities" since Xi Jinping came to power, Soviet Union's "5-year plans" etc. etc.

www.ft.com - $84bn of initiatives announced in first year of the IRA and Chips Act have been delayed or paused indefinitely - FT, 2024-08-12

www.ft.com - Chart: Biden's industrial legacy is marked with factory delays and pauses

The manufacturing industry itself turned down sharply at the end of 2021 and has been in recession since Q3 of 2022 (when IRA was signed), and manufacturing employment also declined at the same time.

Similar thing happened in construction, which peaked in Q1 2021 and went down from Q3 of 2022, with total (private and public) construction employment increase ln 2022Q3 - 2024Q3 period slightly smaller than increase in the 2017Q3 - 2019Q3 period (just before 2020Q1 COVID-19 shutdowns). BTW, the period of highest spending in total (all due to private, as public spending remained the same) construction was between 2020Q2 and 2022Q2 (just before IRA) - it went up a whopping 52%, far exceeding ~14% total spending since IRA in 2022Q3.


www.ft.com - Chart of ISM manufacturing index and employment (2020-2024)

specials-images.forbesimg.com - Chart of construction spending (2020-2024)
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Biden to Block Nippon Steel's Proposed Takeover of US Steel

Too bad, I was looking forward to getting me some US-made Hattori Hanzo 'steel' katana (jk).

This is just more of same reflexive "populist" protectionist thinking, and a play for union bosses and votes - Trump, of course, is also against the friendly merger.

The offer of $14B is way higher than the company is currently worth (~$6B, excluding debt) and could easily be worth less in its current sorry shape in a very competitive environment, because they don't have the capital to modernize and automate the plants.

For comparison, Indian company ArcelorMittal, registered and headquartered in Luxembourg, is worth only $17B with revenues 4x of US Steel.
Korean POSCO is worth only $19B with revenues of 3.5x of US Steel.

6 Chinese companies are in top 10; 3 of them in top 5, at #1, #3, #5 with combined production of 209 tonnes. Nippon Steel is at #4 with 44 tonnes, US Steel at #24 2ith 16 tonnes.

Two large (S&P500) US steel companies, Nucor and Steel Dynamics combined have 3x revenues of US Steel, and there is a number of slightly smaller and specialized US steel companies.

How are them steel and aluminum tariffs working?

|------- May 14, 2024: "President Biden Takes Action to Protect American Workers and Businesses
To encourage China to eliminate its unfair trade practices regarding technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation, the President is directing increases in tariffs across strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum, semiconductors, electric vehicles, batteries, critical minerals, solar cells, ship-to-shore cranes, and medical products.

Steel and Aluminum
The tariff rate on certain steel and aluminum products under Section 301 will increase from 0 - 7.5% to 25% in 2024. ...

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At one point, very long time ago, US Steel was one of the most valued companies / stocks in the US, and was broadly owned by almost everyone who owned stocks and/or as part of pension funds. Today, it's not even in Russell 3000 index of companies (representing approximately 95% of US equity market).

If ever there have been any "wealthy owners" holding on to the stock (NYSE:X), they are much less "wealthy" today. **

Altogether, today US steel companies are producing more than double of total raw and processed material than 30 years ago, with smaller labor force, due to automation.

This is not some "national security crisis" both Trump and Biden/Harris are trying to portray. It's not even "outsourcing" - the plants stay here and would be revitalized. US Steel Corporation is a "legacy" company, not vital for US security or "steel independence," and Nippon Steel ownership would only strengthen financial and production viability of the company and therefore increase its relevance as a reliable supplier and partner to US security needs / MIC.

Nippon Steel also promised not to move the plants or lay off USS workers or cut benefits / pensions, as a direct result of acquisition - things that will certainly happen if it's blocked. Just look at the 'wonderful' results seen already amid ongoing closures and employment losses in two "American" industries in the aftermath of Shawn Fine's ("Detroit") and "Hollywood" strikes less than a year ago.

** "Hyman Roth" (Meyer Lansky): "Michael, we are bigger than US Steel!"
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Biden to Block Nippon Steel's Proposed Takeover of US Steel

Too bad, I was looking forward to getting me some US-made Hattori Hanzo 'steel' katana (jk).

This is just more of same reflexive "populist" protectionist thinking, and a play for union bosses and votes - Trump, of course, is also against the friendly merger.

The offer of $14B is way higher than the company is currently worth (~$6B, excluding debt) and could easily be worth less in its current sorry shape in a very competitive environment, because they don't have the capital to modernize and automate the plants.

For comparison, Indian company ArcelorMittal, registered and headquartered in Luxembourg, is worth only $17B with revenues 4x of US Steel.
Korean POSCO is worth only $19B with revenues of 3.5x of US Steel.

6 Chinese companies are in top 10; 3 of them in top 5, at #1, #3, #5 with combined production of 209 tonnes. Nippon Steel is at #4 with 44 tonnes, US Steel at #24 2ith 16 tonnes.

Two large (S&P500) US steel companies, Nucor and Steel Dynamics combined have 3x revenues of US Steel, and there is a number of slightly smaller and specialized US steel companies.

How are them steel and aluminum tariffs working?

|------- May 14, 2024: "President Biden Takes Action to Protect American Workers and Businesses
To encourage China to eliminate its unfair trade practices regarding technology transfer, intellectual property, and innovation, the President is directing increases in tariffs across strategic sectors such as steel and aluminum, semiconductors, electric vehicles, batteries, critical minerals, solar cells, ship-to-shore cranes, and medical products.

Steel and Aluminum
The tariff rate on certain steel and aluminum products under Section 301 will increase from 0 " 7.5% to 25% in 2024. ...
-------|

At one point, very long time ago, US Steel was one of the most valued companies / stocks in the US, and was broadly owned by almost everyone who owned stocks and/or as part of pension funds. Today, it's not even in Russell 3000 index of companies (representing approximately 95% of US equity market).

If ever there have been any "wealthy owners" holding on to the stock (NYSE:X), they are much less "wealthy" today. **

Altogether, today US steel companies are producing more than double of total raw and processed material than 30 years ago, with smaller labor force, due to automation.

This is not some "national security crisis" both Trump and Biden/Harris are trying to portray. It's not even "outsourcing" - the plants stay here and would be revitalized. US Steel Corporation is a "legacy" company, not vital for US security or "steel independence," and Nippon Steel ownership would only strengthen financial and production viability of the company and therefore increase its relevance as a reliable supplier and partner to US security needs / MIC.

Nippon Steel also promised not to move the plants or lay off USS workers or cut benefits / pensions, as a direct result of acquisition - things that will certainly happen if it's blocked. Just look at the 'wonderful' results seen already amid ongoing closures and employment losses in two "American" industries in the aftermath of Shawn Fine's ("Detroit") and "Hollywood" strikes less than a year ago.

** "Hyman Roth" (Meyer Lansky): "Michael, we are bigger than US Steel!"
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#16: "Between the sea and the Jordan there will only be Israeli sovereignty." Likud 1977 Party Manifesto.

A bit of historical context - in 1977 this phrase referred to "One state, one people," (a One-State-Solution. which was "in critical condition" after start of First Intifada in 1987, and finally died when Arafat started Second Intifada) and before the occupation and annexation of "West Bank of Jordan" by Kingdom of Jordan ended in 1988 with surrendering claims on what became again "Palestinian territory," and the formal end of war and transfer of security arrangement from Jordan to Israel in 1994 (after Oslo accords) - well before the West's and UN's wet dream of "Two-state Solution (2SS)"

Not the first or last time Israelis freed Palestinians from occupation by Arab countries, but can't free them from their leaders and ingrained hate.

That's exactly opposite than "From the River to the Sea Palestine will be free [of Jews]" which was stated goal of PLO, adapted and codified in Hamas Charter, after taking over "self-government" of Gaza and throwing PA/Fatah families from the roofs of the buildings (even more impressive than Russian defenestrations!)

If the Jews in yarmulkes and masks (to hide their faces) will march shouting "From the River to the Sea no Arabs we can see" and occupy, vandalize institutions, campuses, statues, burn the US and Palestinian flags, then some sort of "equivalence" between the meaning of 1977 Israeli "state sovereignty" and 'Palestinian' terrorist groups' call for genocide of the Jews "from the River to the Sea."

Palestinians could've long had peace and state(s) if only they could free themselves from their "leaders" who treat them as "sacrifices" and "useful idiots," and care only about personal power and wealth, e.g.,:

www.theatlantic.com - A Brief History of Yasir Arafat - August 2002

|------- ... [Arafat] and his army have brought disorder wherever they have settled. In 1969 they based themselves in Jordan, where they soon began terrorizing the local people, running extortion rackets against businesses, and undermining the Jordanian regime. Black September followed in 1970 ... The same sort of thing happened in Lebanon a decade later, with Palestinian thugs looting banks and destroying the local government. The Syrians finally came in to restore order, in what became known as Black June.

Arafat has somehow survived his many crises - battles with the Jordanians, the Syrians, the Egyptians, the Lebanese Christians, and, of course, the Israelis. And each time, instead of being held even partly responsible for the widespread suffering his actions have caused his people, he has been lionized as the figure who will someday bring deliverance from that suffering. This is a monumental political achievement.

After the Oslo accords were signed, leaving Arafat in charge of administering much of the West Bank and Gaza, his armies began to prey on Palestinians, as they had on Jordanians and Lebanese years before. ... The immediate threat to Arafat's control during this period did not come from Arab leaders. The problem was money.

... The solution may instead be to choke off his money supply - the one thing that props up his authority in times of calm.
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This article is from 2002 - two years before Arafat died, with a fortune estimated at USD$1B-$8B, and 3-5 years before Hamas became "the highest authority in Gaza," but as they say, "The players may change, but the game stays the same" - the money 'game' is still played by Palestinian leaders, financed and directed by Ayatollah of Islamic Republic of Iran.
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Kroger Egg Pricing Turns Merger Trial Into Inflation Fight

I don't think this merger should be approved, but for reasons very different than mythical "gouging" of their customers.

If all FTC lawyers have is that on a given day/week at a given location/region on a given food item (eggs) the prices haven't been lowered "enough," when Walmart lowered it by $0.14 [more], then they are only making Kroger's case for merger and should be laughed out of court... so I hope FTC will bring real, much better and less "populist, sensational" arguments. What about days/weeks when Kroger had average egg prices lower than this or other grocers in the area?

Kroger has more than 2,400 grocery stores which typically carry over 45,000 SKUs, over 40 manufacturing plants, and 17 regional retail divisions, with buyers guided by Kroger's Merchandising Group (KMG) in Cincinnati about regional demographics and preferences, to ensure that those products are always available in local stores.

Inflation always causes "record profits" in $ terms, not the other way around - don't need MBA to understand why:

libertystreeteconomics.newyorkfed.org - What Was Up with Grocery Prices? July 16, 2024

|------- New York Fed analysis - written before Harris' "anti-gouging" comments - showed rising profit margins aren't to blame.
Research by Thomas Klitgaard, PhD, laid the blame on two factors.

One was the huge spike in agricultural and livestock prices. "... grocery prices seem to only respond noticeably when commodity prices make big moves, like the jumps in 2008 and 2011 and the collapse in 2015. The rationale is that there are many other input costs dictating food prices so it takes unusual swings in commodity prices to affect grocery prices."

... Part of the reason was Russia's war against Ukraine, which hurt fertilizer supplies as well as wheat supplies.

The other factor behind the surge in food prices was the large wage increases for grocery workers. Since 2019, industry wages have risen by 15 percentage points more than those in the food-manufacturing sector, or than the workforce as a whole.

... "... significant moderation in food inflation since the start of 2023 is due to still-high wage inflation for grocery workers being offset by the retreat in commodity prices."
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Stock buybacks are just good money management by CFOs - market interest rates were near 0% due to Fed's NZIRP QE, so most profitable companies were buying back stock because it provided higher ROR than cash "in the bank." Buybacks with profits they couldn't reinvest in products or expansion were giving them (and shareholders) >3% after-tax ROR instead of near 0% (if not negative) in cash.

Warren Buffett's Berkshire-Hathaway routinely buys back stock when it can't invest cash more profitably, and to shrink the "natural dilution" - does that mean all the companies who buy back stock are "gouging" their customers and/or engage in "predatory" behavior?

Look at the pitiful condition of so many "dollar stores" or any but the largest "discounters" (Walmart or Target) who have/had much higher margins than Kroger (lowest in the industry at GM 20% / NM 1.4%):

99c Stores (40% / -7%) is bankrupt and closed more than 300 stores (170 of them were acquired by Dollar Tree),
Big Lots (33% / -10%) was worth more than $2B in 2021 but will soon go bankrupt and shut down about 1,400 stores,
Dollar Tree is shutting down 1,000 stores ...

... while Target and Walmart bought up the inventory and use targeted discounts and loss-leaders to pick up "dollar stores" share of growing number of "downsizing" penny-pinching middle-class consumers, hit by inflation and high level of credit debt.
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Wouldn't put too much importance on this.

Deripaska, and few others - called for "end to war" (as much and as far it was possible in Putin's Russia) from the very beginning of SMO.

Russian Oligarch Deripaska Calls For End Of War Against Ukraine - March 02, 2022 (less than 10 days after 'Putin's War' started)

|------- Russian billionaire Oleg Deripaska, known for his close ties with President Vladimir Putin, has called for an end to the war in Ukraine.
"Peace is very important! It is insane to prolong [peace] negotiations!" he wrote in a post on Telegram.

Deripaska warned of potential accidents at any of Ukraine's nuclear power plants, which might endanger Russia, Ukraine, and Europe.

"For those who do not understand - any incident involving those objects will be remembered by our successors in Russia, Ukraine, and Europe for some 200 years to come."

Deripaska is just one of several Russian oligarchs - who have been targeted by Western sanctions - to call on the authorities to stop the military attack against Ukraine. Mikhail Fridman, Pyotr Aven, Oleg Tinkov, and Aleksei Mordashov have already publicly called for a cessation of hostilities.
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Two Russian oligarchs call for an end to Putin's war - March 1, 2022

|------- Russian billionaires Mikhail Fridman and Oleg Deripaska have broken ranks with the Kremlin and called for an end to Russia's war in Ukraine.

Fridman was born in western Ukraine. "My parents are Ukrainian citizens and live in Lviv, my favorite city. But I have also spent much of my life as a citizen of Russia, building and growing businesses. I am deeply attached to Ukrainian and Russian peoples and see the current conflict as a tragedy for them both," wrote Fridman.

Fridman has a net worth of $11.4 billion and is a Chairman of Alfa Group (with subsidiary Alfa Bank) a private conglomerate operating primarily in Russia and former Soviet states that spans banking, insurance, retail and mineral water production.
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Deripaska also called SMO a "colossal mistake" few months later, and is a known critic of war.

Of course, it's not mutually exclusive for all of them to want the end of sanctions as well, even if "Putin's War" may actually help their businesses in the short term.

It's been understood long ago that the system of oligarchs serves Putin and his goals, not the other way around. He put not too fine a point on it when in 2003 he had then-richest oligarch in Russia - Mikhail Khodorkovsky of oil/gas company Yukos (which at one point paid about 5% of all taxes collected in Russia) - arrested for fraud and sentenced to 9 years, later extended his sentence to 2014, only to pardon him in 2013. Yukos was immediately declared bankrupt and sold in 2004 auction (which lasted 2 minutes) to an unknown company which was registered only two weeks before and had less than $300 in assets, but was loaned $9B by state-owned Rosneft, to outbid state-owned Gazprom which somehow "lost" its financing a few days before the auction. Rosneft later formally "acquired" the assets of new Yukos "owner" for debt. Oligarch Igor Sechin (aka "Darth Vader"), one of the top siloviki and until recently (before his son died in February 2024 of "blood clot" under "bizarre" circumstances) heir-apparent to Putin, is the CEO of Rosneft.
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Drudge Retort
 

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