-Two bogus roughing the passer calls

Can't disagree with that

11

I wouldn't hold my breath

-Walgreens needs to hire enough people to watch their inventoey and serve their customers.

they'll close the stores before they do that, in all likelihood.

This has been occurring for some time. building and building.

Nobody has done anything about it.

-Um... it's more like 'attempted' self-depreciating humor.

It was unbelievably obvious.

And you still missed it.

If you ever came face to face with Taylor swift you'd be too nervous to catch it then either.

Poor thing ... ...

Oh fer ----- sake....your faux outrage is noted and laughed at.

Twoothy is running around wishing cancer, calling everyone a ----, scum, etc....legallyrapedin3rdgrade is virtually no different.

Gracie comes along and says "karma" and you're all outraged.

LOL

syco, clown, --------, angrylittlegirl...........is is possible you all lack the brains and social skills to recognize self-deprecating humor when it's painfully obvious?

maybe they paid her and she signed an NDA?

see, I think Archie Bunker knew what was coming......

30/31

Thanks to you both for the context.

I grew up on a farm. "Drought" was a term used by farmers to point out the lack of precipitation. well....to bitch about it really..

I suspected there were far more detailed factors that truly defines a drought and how to measure it......but I don't know anything about it.

"The winds are a more recent thing"

Santa Ana winds typically occur in fall and winter, peaking between September and March.
Gusts often exceed 60 miles per hour (97 kilometers per hour), and extreme cases have recorded speeds of up to 100 miles per hour (160 kilometers per hour).
The winds bring extremely low humidity, often below 10 percent, significantly drying out vegetation and increasing wildfire risks.
Santa Ana winds typically occur 10 to 25 times each year.
These occurrences can last anywhere from one to seven days, with the average duration being three days.

and to the drought questions I posed in 26......it's because wind speed and humidity levels day by day is probably available. It's why they both are solid risk factors.

25

okay....is there data available that captures the level of drought on a day to day basis in a given area? specifically this area where the fires are occurring?

I'm trying to get to a point where a probability of all these factors happening at once can be calculated.

I keep seeing "abnormal conditions" being written. Meaning low probability of it all occurring together.

how low of a probability? from a PR perspective it would helpful to illustrate how of a probability this was of happening to combat the camp of people who are blaming local officials and the state of california in general for inaction and incompetence.

I'm sure many folks in high profile positions had data of this nature right now.........

21

I see....I stand corrected. Thanks.

-You left out extreme and highly abnormal winter drought in that area.

Is that mutually exclusive of the humidity? What's the significance of drought separate from low humidity?

humidity can be measured.....how do we measure drought?

I'm just asking...not arguing.

this just in from a trade association I work closely with....

ADVISORY: Natural Gas Prices Expected to Rise Jan. 18 - Jan. 21
xxxxxxxxx Association has received an advisory to share with its membership regarding a potential spike in natural gas prices spanning the upcoming holiday weekend.

Analysts are anticipating the possibility of a similar situation when prices had a dramatic spike during Winter Storm Uri in February of 2021, which also fell over a four-day holiday.

The advisory noted yesterday, on the pipeline system of Panhandle Eastern, there was a gas trade for the four-day weekend at $17.20 per MMBtu.

On the Southern Star pipeline system, there were some bids in the $10 range, with offers in the low $30 dollar range " but no takers.

The advisory states to plan for some increased prices for natural gas " which it optimistically hopes will be restrained and lower and not in the $20 - $30 range per unit, or more.

-We have one here.

several, actually.

-If we are all "irrelevant" here why do any of us have to "get anything right"?

what are you talking about, -----?

and to add onto it....

let's pretend there is no risk transfer mechanism (property and casualty insurance) available to purchase.

we have to self-insure this risk.......what changes would we make if we had to self-insure it all??

we'd look harder at the probability of those risk factors all being present at the same time (and any other factors I failed to mention).

look at this from a risk management perspective.....

several risk factors had to be present at the same time.

high winds
low humidity
fairly dense housing
billions of $$ of property at risk in the event of a wildfire

These are all factors that had to be present at the same time in order for this to happen, right?

IOW, if you remove any of those factors....the chance of this level of devastation occurring is significantly reduced or even eliminated.

"best smelling farts."

Isn't that how one flirts with you?

-You do know that there can be more than one factor, right?

Absolutely, but this site isn't the place to consider that.

Most folks have a political ax to grind which means they are predictably going to zero in on a factor that's political in nature and ignore all the other factors.

Which is the fuel for 90% of the threads here.

If someone can just scream "liberals!" or "Republicans!" or "Red State!!", etc.....then that's what they are gonna do.

-being deplorable to me

never take that victimhood coat off.

It looks great on you.

-I imagine it would be awkward bordering on threatening if Johnson isn't speaking on behalf of Trump.

It's very possible they are on the same page.

I just think some people can't post without typing TRUMP into every post. It's muscle memory...

-Stop pretending you have any insight into what Republicans are thinking.

I'm the one who has to get it right.

Not you.

Nobody here expects you to get anything right.

Everybody here expects me to get everything right.

See the difference?

I'll continue to guess on whatever I want...and you'll continue to guess on whatever you want.

and in the end...nobody will care about your .125 batting average. Everyone will notice my .578 average because it's not perfect.

-------- has an actual crush on me.