And you should know the difference between an analog and direct equivalence.
There are daily forecasts, not likely to drive a government policy.
Then there are longer term seasonal outlooks like this... it's conceivable that some coastal town could have enacted an in reaction to this forecast. Probably didn't happen but could have.
Then there are the climatologists outlooks that we are basing policy on...
See the analogy We are just as likely to get the details wrong if not more so on longer outlooks than this seasonal outlook, yet we are still enacting policies because we somehow think the climatologists are going to be right about the details of the impact of it.
Try to get over your programming that says if anything that isn't in glowing support of anything climate change, and isn't willing to offer to burn cash in any and all efforts "to at least we are doing something" and try to think just a little bit.
sigh... 4 and 5.