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Friday, April 12, 2024

David French: To understand the remarkable moral, political and intellectual collapse of the pro-life movement, look to the Alabama Supreme Court, not just to Donald Trump's recent pledge not to sign a national abortion ban or Kari Lake's flip-flop on Arizona's reinstated 1864 anti-abortion law. read more


Thursday, April 11, 2024

Phillip Bump: What occurred in 2016 was that the Russian government and its agents attempted to influence the outcome of the presidential contest. Russia's intelligence service hacked a Democratic Party network and accessed the email account of a senior Hillary Clinton staffer. They gave the files they acquired to WikiLeaks, which released them before the Democratic convention and, more importantly, in October 2016, during the last weeks before the election. read more


Six years after the Trump administration's controversial decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear accord, the restraints have fallen away, one by one, leaving Iran closer to nuclear weapons capability than at any time in the country's history, according to confidential inspection reports and interviews with officials and experts who closely monitor Iran's progress. read more


Steve Benen: When Donald Trump released his video announcement on abortion policy this week, he took care to include an utterly bonkers claim: Democrats want babies "executed after birth." read more


Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Shortly after Arizona's high court ruled that the state must go back to the 1864 abortion law which forbids virtually every abortion, Kari Lake, probable GOP senate nominee released a remarkable statement. She first denounced the 1864 law, which she said she supported as recently as last fall. read more


Comments

The Big Lie metastasized into a sweeping, far-reaching conspiracy to first delegitimize and then overturn the results of the 2020 election. We often say the conspiracy culminated with the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, but in truth it never ended so it's hard to say when it culminated or if it even has yet. If that sounds ominous, it should.

The Big Lie continued to evolve and now it serves a different set of purposes, first and foremost to keep Trump out of jail. There's a straight line from the Big Lie through Trump's decision to declare his candidacy early so that he could label any prosecution of him as "election interference" to the millions of dollars being raised from hapless marks to pay Trump's legal bills.

Cowed Republican elected officials continue to pay homage to the Big Lie. It cannot be disavowed without putting their political careers on the line. With the Big Lie now serving as a litmus test for RNC hires, Joyce Vance writes: "The corruption of the Republican Party is virtually complete ... This is about the un-democratization of the Republican Party and its conversion into a political tool whose job is to fuel the cult of personality."

So rather than seeing the Big Lie merely as a historical artifact, a ripe target of derision and ridicule, or a sign of cultishness, it's best seen as an ongoing threat to democracy and the rule of law with its denouement yet to be written.

Right on target. Trump is busily destroying America as rubes continue to give him millions to do just that.

As Iran nears nuclear weapons capability, accountability matters

The international agreement with Iran did exactly what it set out to do: The policy dramatically curtailed Tehran's nuclear ambitions and established a rigorous system of monitoring and verification. Once the policy took effect, each of the parties agreed that the participants were holding up their end of the bargain, and Iran's nuclear program was, at the time, on indefinite hold.

And then Trump took office and got to work abandoning the policy for reasons he was never able to explain.

In reality, once the United States was no longer a part of the agreement, the West lost verification access to Tehran's program, and Iran almost immediately became more dangerous by starting up advanced centrifuges and ending its commitment to limit enrichment of uranium.

A couple of years ago, Robert Malley, the then-special envoy for Iran, told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that after Trump's decision, Iranian attacks on U.S. personnel in the region got worse, Iranian support for regional proxies got worse, and the pace of the Iranians' nuclear research program got "much worse."

www.msnbc.com

I get so sick and tired of the continuing right wing lies about things being better after Trump abandoned the accords. I'd never seen the following before as Trump's rationale for how he'd 'get a better deal than Obama,' but here it is:
In broad strokes, Barack Obama set out to use economic sanctions to get Iran to the international negotiating table. That worked and a breakthrough agreement eventually followed. Trump came to believe he could duplicate the strategy by abandoning the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), restoring the old sanctions, and adding new ones.

If Obama's sanctions led to a landmark deal, the argument went, then maybe Trump's sanctions could produce an even better deal.

Except, that's not what happened. (link above)

And in the aftermath, the rest of the world is left to deal with the repercussions Trump alone set into motion. But you'll never hear a rightwinger reflectively admit that 'something' was far better than the nothing we now have because that nothing is actually something(s) that likely wouldn't have happened were it not for Trump.

illegal immigrants aren't a tax problem

Economic benefits of illegal immigration outweigh the costs, Baker Institute study shows

Indeed, for every dollar the Texas state government spends on public services for undocumented immigrants, new research indicates, the state collects $1.21 in revenue.

"Undocumented residents have a positive influence and impact on the economy, since they pay taxes and fees and constitute an important part of the labor market," he wrote. "Even if we consider the costs of undocumented immigrants to the state of Texas, the benefits outweigh the costs."

Rodrguez-Snchez used Texas as a case study because "it is one of the most populous states in the United States, with an unauthorized population considered representative of that of the whole country," according to the paper.

news.rice.edu

why the ugly Dems lie to us about inflation not being a problem

Yeah, it was so 'not a problem' that Biden pushed the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022. Here's the facts about the inflation we experienced as the pandemic issues were relieved.

The United States was experiencing a period of low inflation before 2020. Then, in early 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) created various market problems, causing prices for goods and services to rise.

As the labor market tightened during 2021 and 2022, core inflation rose as the ratio of job vacancies to unemployment increased. This ratio is used to measure wage pressures that then pass through to the prices for goods and services. As workers bargain for better pay, firms begin to increase prices. So, from this research, the authors find that three main components explain the rise in inflation since 2020: volatility of energy prices, backlogs of work orders for goods and service caused by supply chain issues due to COVID-19, and price changes in the auto-related industries.

www.bls.gov

Only if one had their head buried in the sand of right wing disinformation would anyone proffer the lie that Democrats weren't concerned with inflation. If anything, they were more concerned with the 19 million Americans who lost jobs under Trump could get back to work again and that the global supply chain problems would be alleviated.

And just to make perfectly clear, the US economy had the lowest amount of inflation than any other western nation on the planet, so the Democrats in charge were certainly more successful than other governments led by right wing governments in responding to inflation as best they could.

As usual more lies from the troll farm's US daytime-posting font of propaganda.

In January, lawmakers hammered out a kids-and-companies tax deal: Congress would extend a few business tax breaks that had recently expired in exchange for expanding the child tax credit. The bipartisan compromise turned out to be a very good bill, painstakingly negotiated by serious lawmakers from both chambers of Congress.

Among other virtues, the legislation would improve the living standards of 16 million low-income kids and lift 400,000 children out of poverty in its first year. It would increase incentives for research and development. And the icing on the cake: The whole thing would be paid for by curbing a pandemic-era tax break that has produced an avalanche of fraudulent claims.

Today, Republican senators are trying to kill the legislation, with some of its GOP supporters saying it's on "life support."

Mike Crapo (Idaho), the ranking Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, complained that the child tax credit measures might discourage parents from working, even though the bill has an explicit earnings requirement (i.e., it is available only if families work).

He and his Senate colleague Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) have also complained about the bill's cost. They have both said they don't want to set a precedent of paying for tax cuts, since congressional Republicans have a multi-decade-long record of not doing so. As Tillis said in a committee hearing, "We have to have a discussion about whether or not we're setting a precedent on future tax provisions having a pay-for. We have not normally done that, but we've done that in this bill." He then explained that when it came time to extend the expiring provisions of the Trump tax cuts next year, he was worried Democrats might demand they be paid for (heaven forbid).

As a reminder, the pay-for in this bill is the elimination of a fraud-riddled pandemic program, whose continuation would waste tens of billions of dollars. Usually, ending a program like this is something Republicans would cheer. But not, apparently, if it threatens their ability to add to the debt in the future.

Please bookmark this article so it can be thrown into the discourse the next time a conservative tries to claim that Democrats don't care about the debt and deficits. In a normal non-Trumpian election year, an admission like Tillis' stood a chance of becoming a millstone place upon all his party's candidates proving yet again that Republicans don't care about debt when it comes to their main policy's costs.

And now these clowns stand against impactful bipartisan policy that will help millions of American children living at the margin of our society. Nope, we won't help the children because it might help Biden get reelected and it sets a terrible precedent of paying for the tax cuts we demand to help our chief constituencies and donors.

Thoughts and prayers kiddos. Nothing can be done.

The person performing the abortion need not even be a doctor. The truth is, there is nothing preventing someone like Kermit Gosnel from legally setting up shop there, because there is no criminal code pertaining to abortion any longer.

It's appropriate that on a thread about lying about abortion that you chime in lying about New York's abortion laws.

On April 10, 1970, the New York Senate passed a law decriminalizing abortion in most cases.[14] Republican Governor Nelson A. Rockefeller signed the bill into law the next day.[15] At the time, New York State was a Republican "trifecta," meaning both chambers of the legislature and the governorship were Republican-controlled.[14] The 1970 law did several things.

First, it added a consent provision requiring a physician to obtain the woman's consent before performing an abortion.[16] Second, it permitted physician-provided elective abortion services within the first 24-weeks of pregnancy or to preserve her life.[16] Third, it permitted a woman, when acting upon the advice of a duly licensed physician, to perform an "abortional act" on herself within the first 24-weeks of pregnancy or to preserve her life.[16]

As of May 14, 2019, the state prohibited abortions after the fetus was viable, generally some point between week 24 and 28.

In 2019, New York passed the Reproductive Health Act (RHA), which repealed a pre-Roe provision that banned third-trimester abortions except in cases where the continuation of the pregnancy endangered a pregnant woman's life.[26][27][28] The law said: "The legislature finds that comprehensive reproductive health care, including contraception and abortion, is a fundamental component of a woman's health, privacy, and equality."[28] The bill also allowed qualified health practitioners to perform abortions, not just licensed medical doctors.[28][29][30]

en.wikipedia.org's%20approval.

No, abortion providers need not be doctors, but they do need to be "qualified health practioners" which is a far cry from your claim of "anyone."

Yes, there is no criminal code for abortion providers and there's one big reason why: Physicians and health practionors are not going to risk losing their licenses by violating the RHA's restrictions. The New York legislature was more concerned with protecting the health and rights of their women than they were in codifying criminal codes that might impinge on those rights. The trust that healthcare professionals will continue to be professionals when offering their services.

Just like this thread is about, there is no industry of abortion providers giving truly late term abortions EXCEPT when either the baby's or the mother's health or well being is at risk. Selective late term abortion don't occur because women decide they don't want their babies. They happen because either the baby is not viable or the woman faces health risks should she deliver at full term. Doctors are the ones informing these women about their health status that may lead to the need for an abortion. Women are not making arbitrary "choices" that they no longer want their gestating child.

When the Alabama Supreme Court ruled that I.V.F. embryos were subject to the state's wrongful death statute, it forced the pro-life movement to fully examine the cultural and political implications of its position on unborn children, and pro-life Republicans blinked. They caved, almost instantly, on a core philosophical element of the movement - the incalculable value of every human life no matter how small - and the movement is now standing by or even applauding as Trump is turning the Republican Party into a pro-choice party, one more moderate than the Democrats, but pro-choice still.

While I always respected arguments about the personhood of the baby, I was often frustrated when critics would attribute malign motives to pro-life Americans. But now I'm left wondering how much of the movement was truly real. How much was it really about protecting all human life? And were millions of ostensibly pro-life Americans happy with pro-life laws, only so long as they targeted "them" and imposed no burden at all on "us"?

Philosophically, the movement is breaking. There is no coherent pro-life argument for why a state should prevent women who become pregnant through natural means from destroying an embryo while protecting the ability of families who create an embryo through I.V.F. to either destroy it or keep it frozen indefinitely.

[I]t is probably no coincidence that public support for the pro-life position began a sharp decline after Trump's election. It's hard to argue you're a movement rooted in love when you enthusiastically unite behind a fundamentally hateful man. On Wednesday, Trump reversed his previous position supporting a 20-week ban on abortion; he announced that he would not support a national abortion ban if he wins the presidency, and he said the policy should instead be left up to the states.

Trump's advice to voters was to "follow your heart" and "do what's right for your family, and do what's right for yourself." It's "all about the will of the people," he said. This is the most pro-choice position a Republican presidential candidate has taken since at least Gerald Ford.

I also recognize that many of the critics of the pro-life movement were right all along. When push came to shove, the pro-life position was either secondary to other values or it genuinely was punitively tribal - enthusiastically aimed straight at the supposedly licentious left but ready to be abandoned the instant the commitment to unborn children might endanger the larger MAGA political project. Abortion is the poison pill that Trump doesn't want to swallow.

The older I get, the more I'm convinced that we simply don't know who we are - or what we truly believe - until our values carry a cost. For more than 40 years, the Republican Party has made the case that life begins at conception. Alabama's Supreme Court agreed. Yet the Republican Party can't live with its own philosophy. There is no truly pro-life party in the United States.

When in fact what happened is TonyRoma posted a thread about how and why Deplorables keep bringing it up.

Correct. And more importantly, why is the former Republican President and current presidential nominee - along with multiple elected Republicans - repeating this lie over and over again?

I truly don't see how so many people choose to ignore lie after lie from Republicans on a myriad of issues - and I'm not referring to the usual political or policy differences. I'm referring to only lies that can be documented as such by any rudimentary search of the substantiated facts and evidence proving them so.

And one more aspect of the anti-abortion faction's penchant for negative framing.

Republican legislators really think it's bad when a woman gets to choose if she would rather have kid or have an abortion.
As has been documented statistically, in the vast majority of cases, abortions occuring after 21 weeks are NOT being made based on a ------------ deciding they don't want the gestating child. Almost all of these women want their in vitro child.

In most circumstances the decision whether or not to have an abortion is a medical decision based upon health concerns regarding either the mother, child, or both, influencing whether the fetus should be brought to full term in conjunction with the counsel of the very doctors trying to provide the prenatal care required to birth a healthy baby.

This is nowhere near any realm of advocating selective "abortion up to the moment of birth" or "infantricide" as Republican politicans wrongly and proudly exclaim, simply to inflame the emotions of those that they're lying to.

The decision to restrict abortion in the legal code is based on the idea that there are people who want to kill babies, and the law exists to prevent killing. The conviction that we should instead regulate abortion medically is rooted in the proposition that late-term abortions happen not because women and doctors want to kill babies but because circumstances conspire to make late-term abortions necessary, and that the women who are in these situations, and their doctors, are the people best suited to decide when those circumstances have arrived.

Katrina Kimport, a research sociologist and associate professor in the department of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive sciences at the University of California-San Francisco, has, over the past couple of years, been conducting the most comprehensive research on late-term abortion to date. People have certain assumptions about late-term abortion, she told me.

They imagine a woman spontaneously getting cold feet in her third trimester, or an indecisive dawdler who decides, on a whim, at twenty-seven weeks, that she's simply done. "But, in reality," Kimport told me, "these are people who were planning to continue the pregnancy and obtained a piece of vital information that made that change. Or they're people who just did not know that they were pregnant - people with other existing physical conditions, or people without typical symptoms - who then knew they didn't want to continue it, and then a series of obstacles pushed them over the line."

In the study that Kimport conducted with Diana Greene Foster, her colleague at U.C.S.F., women who sought late-term abortions were twelve weeks pregnant, on average, when they discovered the pregnancy; women who sought first-trimester abortions were five weeks along, on average.

"We expect people to know immediately when they're pregnant, and to know exactly how to handle it," Schalit said. "We don't take into account the possibility of ambivalence, that they're minors, or that they have to figure out how to take off work and get childcare, or that they might be in a coercive, unsupportive, or abusive relationship, or that they might not have the financial or logistical or bodily autonomy to access real choice at all."

www.newyorker.com

"The decision to restrict abortion in the legal code is based on the idea that there are people who want to kill babies, and the law exists to prevent killing."

This is Bellringer and those like him. They only see the absolute worst in people whom they disagree with. They have no understanding, no empathy, no compassion when they disagree. They live to force others to follow their notions and ideals while simultaneously screaming to high heaven when others' wants and needs are even given due consideration when in conflict with their own, always claiming to hold some higher ground or purpose where restricting others' liberties is justified.

Even the words "late term is intentionally misleading.

Guttmacher found that 1.3 percent of abortions took place at or over 21 weeks out of a total of 926,200 abortions in 2014.
Full term gestation is between 39-42 weeks, so what we label as "late" is often halfway or a smidgen more of the normal gestation period.

And one thing that it isn't is "killing a baby up to the moment of birth."

What allies of Donald Trump claim happened was, in reality, a response to that Russian effort. Federal officials (the "national security state," if you prefer) discovered signs that Russia sought to influence the results and began investigating - including various points of contact between Russian actors and Trump's campaign.

Trump, eager to reinforce that he had won the presidency thanks to his excellence and not foreign help, immediately cast this probe as an effort to subvert him and his administration. He and his allies worked feverishly to offset new developments in the investigation with a narrative about nefarious "deep state" actors desperate to hobble him. This line of argument was investigated by the inspector general for the Justice Department and by a special counsel specifically tasked with proving that Trump was unfairly probed; in neither case was that idea substantiated.

That experience from 2016, though, helped national security officials develop a plan to prevent similar interference efforts in 2020.

In October 2020, there was suddenly another information dump: The New York Post (after Fox News passed) used information purportedly obtained from a laptop owned by Joe Biden's son Hunter to obliquely allege wrongdoing by the Democratic candidate. Social media companies briefly limited access to the story out of concern that it was another influence effort, but they soon reversed those limits.

For Trump allies and sympathizers, the narrative is generally that the feds tried to silence the laptop story, another example of the "national security state" meddling in an election. But there is no evidence that federal actors tried to muffle the story. Instead, social media executives have testified that their motivation was to "avoid repeating the mistakes of 2016" - giving oxygen to a foreign interference effort.

The information was sourced back to Trump attorney Rudy Giuliani, who had been actively involved in trying to dig up dirt on Joe Biden - including some offered by foreign actors - for more than a year. One of Giuliani's partners in that effort had been sanctioned as a Russian agent the previous month. A Time article published soon after the laptop story broke reported that information allegedly belonging to Hunter Biden was being offered for sale in Europe in 2019.

Regardless of its backstory, it was the laptop that was the effort to upend the election, not the response. The direct effort to affect the outcome of the race was not a function of what the federal government was doing; it was, instead, a function of what Giuliani was doing on behalf of his boss.

This shouldn't even be debateable after all we've learned of Russia's multi-source-confirmed and ongoing global efforts to interfere and subvert and delegitimize western style democracy specifically over the last decade. It would certainly be preferable if some of the leading elected politicians within the Republican party weren't parroting the identical disinformation as Putin does, especially when Russia's involved in an existential war with the people of Ukraine.

It doesn't get more insidious than those who've been shown the truth and presented with incontrovertible receipts continue to baselessly blame law enforcement and counterintelligence officials of this nation - adding false credence to our enemy's corrosive disinformation campaign. Those who continue down this path should be highlighted and spurned for the anti-America animus of their deceit, always trying to blame those responding to the false attacks and absolving the perpetrators by shamefully and continually shifting the blame.

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