In politics, there's the story that gets told in public, and then there's what really happened behind closed doors. In this case, those two narratives are worlds apart. And Ms. Harris is paying for it. When polled, a majority of voters said they believed Donald Trump would handle immigration better than Ms. Harris.

If voters knew how Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris actually handled the border crisis, they'd most likely have a different opinion of which candidate could be trusted on this cornerstone issue.

Spoiler alert: It's not the demagogic story which right wing media and Trump supporters have been pushing for the last 4 years.

Exactly

After 20 years, that fencepost younger Jeff J. used to sit on took root and has grown through his keister into his brain allowing termites free-range munching of his prefrontal cortex.

There is no longer much impartiality nor rationality about him whatsoever.

They're right.....and they're wrong. depends......

Multiple people use the Bellringer alias. Ebs has said for a long time that a particular Bellringer was NOT Jeff J., and one Bellringer absolutely doesn't sound like Jeff J., and I've said so previously. Ebs also claimed that he personally knew the identity of Bellringer.

But at other times, Bellringer mirrors Jeff J. uncannily. Makes sense that multiple people may have access to Bellringer's log in info.

But can anyone really be surprised Trump slurpers don't understand the rules of grammar and word usage?

And their continual gaslighting goes unresponded to by our lapdog, compliant press corp as well. Even though Biden had nothing to apologize for, he did. And Trump had everything to apologize for - at minimum - saying his speakers said things that he wouldn't necessarily phrase in the same way - but he wouldn't.

Therein lies the difference in character and decency between the two men. The gulf between them might as well be called an ocean.

#54 | Posted by Bluewaffles: I used to think that you were a big pain in the neck. Now I have a much lower opinion of you.

For those paying attention, stories like the above are why "abortion" care is necessary at all times of a pregnancy - beginning to end. Ectopic pregnancies can kill mothers early and non-viable fetuses can kill mothers up to and including after being birthed, where the fetus dies quickly ex-vitro. It isn't so that mothers can make 11th hour selective decisions to abort otherwise healthy fetuses, it's to indemnify doctors and healthcare providers from being charged with crimes by overzealous prosecutors, now looking to charge miscarriages and complicated pregnancies that threaten the mother's own health and well being - necessitating the need for abortive care - which occur after the state's legal abortion time limit has been exceeded as violations of the law.

The former South Carolina governor and GOP presidential candidate went on to say Hinchcliffe's remarks and the attacks Trump and his surrogates have lobbed at Harris' race and gender were hurting the campaign. She added she remained on "standby" to help the former president campaign, but that she had not heard from him since June.

"I mean, look, there is no reason to have a comedian at an election campaign event that had so much energy and so many good issues. Why have a comedian that separates people," Haley said. "This isn't about people being sensitive. Puerto Ricans, that's personal for them. They take that personally."

As Lee Corso says every college football Saturday, "Not so fast, my friend," you'd think that both 2018 and 2022 would have taught Trump that women are the key to every election in America because they have influence beyond just their numbers - but their numbers alone always dwarf those of men, and they faithfully show up to vote, especially when their own health and freedom are literally at stake.

It's 2 days from Roevember.

You forgot a group of voters flooding the poll to skew it towards one candidate.

This article and research isn't about voluntary internet/call-in polls, it's about pollsters who choose those polled based on the demographics they think will be representative of the nation as a whole.

Related:

The backlash among Puerto Rican celebrities and performers was instantaneous across social media, prompting the Trump campaign to issue a rare defensive statement distancing themselves from offensive comments. In a tight race, any constituency could be decisive and the sizable Puerto Rican community in the battleground state of Pennsylvania was on the minds of Trump allies.

Danielle Alvarez, a senior adviser to the Trump campaign, said in a statement that the Puerto Rico joke "does not reflect the views of President Trump or the campaign."

The Trump ethos has generally been to never apologize, never admit error and try to ignore controversy. Ms. Alvarez's statement was a rare break from that practice, reflecting a new concern that Mr. Trump risks reminding undecided voters of the dark tenor of his political movement in the closing stage of the 2024 race.

#1 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 07:08 PM

Seems like the Trump campaign isn't feelin' the same burn as ChokingEggos.

Not a single Republican lawmaker voted for the Inflation Reduction Act in 2022. Since then, many of them have voted to repeal its clean energy provisions and criticized the law as a waste of taxpayer money.

According to The Post's analysis, congressional districts that favored Trump in the 2020 election received three times as much clean energy and manufacturing investments as those that leaned toward Biden.

Districts where a plurality of voters backed Trump have claimed around $165 billion of the cash so far, compared with just $54 billion in areas where Biden came in first. Of the top 10 districts that have attracted the most clean energy investments, nine are led by Republican lawmakers.

Clean energy spending has skyrocketed since the IRA became law, up 85 percent compared with the preceding two years. Some technologies - like battery manufacturing, sustainable aviation fuels and carbon capture - have surged, going from almost no investment to tens of billions of dollars. Experts say that without the new funding, it's difficult to imagine those sectors taking off.

Developers are drawn to red districts because land is plentiful and cheap, experts say.

"Most of this can just be explained by population density," said Trevor Houser, a partner at Rhodium Group. In rural areas, which are much more likely to vote Republican, ample land - at lower prices - can support giant battery manufacturing plants or large-scale wind farms.

Others point to red states' low taxes and tax incentives for developers. "It's natural that investors and project developers are wanting to go into areas where they've got a predictable business environment," said Jeremy Harrell, the CEO of ClearPath, a conservative clean energy advocacy group. States like Tennessee, Georgia and Ohio, he said, have less regulatory red tape that could slow big energy projects.

Just another example of why Democratic administrations always see more economic growth than Republican ones. Democrats look to the future while GOPers look longingly for a past they neither lived nor understood, but a past controlled and dominated by men, nominally white men like their leadership and donors.

Democrats could have put stipulations on the IRA spending, but they didn't because the goal is to help all Americans by reducing our dependence on fossil fuels while building the industries of tomorrow for a cleaner energy future. Consider it a success regardless of what your favorite Republican might be saying about it. Numbers don't lie, but GOPers do as easy as they breathe air.

#46

He just insists on beclowning himself over and over again with intentional misrepresentations and gaslighting.

Turds has got to be a masochist, that's the only plausible explanation I can figure.

Says the guy who recently posted "accusations are confessions"

Towards a direct example of someone being guilty of what they accuse others of doing: ie. Trump calling Harris a fascist when he's the one calling himself the only person who can solve problems by exercising unfettered power, and Musk decrying undocumenteds working in America as he himself once did, and claiming that Democrats are threats to democracy and the rule of law while promising to quash 34 guilty charges handed down by impartial juries.

You really are stupid, but why do you insist on proving it by trying to match wits with those who aren't as gullible or non-analytical as you?

How stupid are you?

Do you really need to ask?

The 4 key questions for pollsters

1. Do respondents match the electorate demographically in terms of sex, age, education, race, etc.? (This was a problem in 2016.)

2. Do respondents match the electorate politically after the sample is adjusted by demographic factors? (This was the problem in 2020.)

3. Which respondents will vote?

4. Should the pollster trust the data?

To show how the answers to these questions can affect poll results, I use a national survey conducted from October 7 - 14, 2024. The sample included 1,924 self-reported registered voters drawn from an online, high-quality panel commonly used in academic and commercial work.

After dropping the respondents who said they were not sure who they would vote for (3.2%) and those with missing demographics, the unweighted data give Harris a 6 percentage point lead - 51.6 % to 45.5% - among the remaining 1,718 respondents.

*Adjusting for demographic factors
*Adjusting for political factors
*Adjusting for likely voters
*Do I trust this data?

After all of this, there is still a critical limitation. Even if we correctly predict what the 2024 electorate will look like in terms of demographics and partisanship, our adjustments only work if the voters who took the poll have the same views as similar voters who did not take the poll. This is a foundational assumption of polling.

The performance of polls thus depends on the opinions of both voters and pollsters in ways that are often hard to discern. This election year, are the polls virtually tied because voters are tied, because pollsters think the race is tied, or both?

We would all do better to temper our expectations about pre-election polls. It's impossible to ensure that the polls will reliably predict close races given the number of decisions that pollsters have to make. And it's often hard for consumers of polls to know how much the results reflect the opinions of the voters or the pollsters.

And there it is...

It sure is. A hit dog always yelps the loudest.

Thanks for self identifying.

Think about it: No presidential nominees in modern history have faced such a direct challenge to the authenticity of their identity and by extension their qualifications to be the president.

I can tell you with confidence that the various and sundry racist, misogynist and sexist insults hurled at Ms. Harris must sting. They are a reminder of the disgraceful lengths that Republican senators took to shame me when I challenged Clarence Thomas's fitness to be appointed to the Supreme Court. What helped me stay composed was knowing that I was not the first woman to have her sanity, truthfulness and virtue falsely impugned. Even now, when I am attacked, my mother's firm but gentle admonition rings in my ears: "You know who you are and what you can do." Lesson learned: Never let the people who despise you define you.

One key to surviving under such pressure is to forcefully embrace the value of your own capabilities and principles. "Don't be confined to other people's perception about what this looks like, and how you should act in order to be," Ms. Harris said this year.

One facet of Vice President Harris's dignity is her recognition of the right of others to be treated with respect. Take Republican Gov. Sarah Huckabee Sanders's remark that "my kids keep me humble. Unfortunately, Kamala Harris doesn't have anything keeping her humble." Ms. Sanders's statement was a clumsy attempt to alienate Ms. Harris from women with children. Ms. Harris responded by showing her commitment to valuing all women. She spoke with heart about her love of being a stepmother to two children. And she reminded us that women are routinely made aware of our own shortcomings and limitations - whether or not we have kids.

By staying true to herself - her refusal to be thrown on the defensive by personal attacks - Ms. Harris is showing people how to protect and nurture their own self-worth. I say this because I have witnessed how composure under duress can inspire others.

Perfect reminder for those Retort posters thinking that anyone is influenced by their unhinged personal attacks, masquerading as critique. Unlike them, one thing that Kamala has not done since she ascended to the top of her ticket is to gripe and complain about what others say about her. She's remained focus on one goal - earning the right to serve this nation and all its people as a President respecting of laws and the Constitution, not one who's trying to bend, pervert, or destroy both in service of an anti-freedom/pro fascist/pro criminal agenda.

As part of a years-long crusade to force more Floridians into the private insurance market, Scott raised premiums and rescinded discounts from the Citizens Property Insurance Corp., the government-backed nonprofit insurer, all while giving private companies extra incentives and protections to operate in the state.

Now that warming-fueled storms are routinely causing billions of dollars in damage across Florida, private insurers are fleeing the state, forcing customers back to Citizens. But now the deals the public insurer offers come with higher premiums and worse coverage.

Now Scott's Democratic challenger for Senate, former Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, is hoping voters can make the connection between Scott's eight years as governor and the financial squeeze caused as insurers increasingly fail to pay to repair properties damaged in hurricanes Helene and Milton.

Once voters draw the link between the devastation and the inability to get affordable coverage, "you're going to see people here in the state push back very, very strongly against these electeds that have been here and done nothing," she said.

"It's borderline criminal," she added. "People are so angry, frustrated and exhausted. Helene brought flooding. Then Milton made everything worse."

And the Republican Florida legislature's answer to these problems is to strike any mention of climate change from government, as though that alone will solve the problems. And there's this too:

Scott slashed environmental regulations and cut funding for Florida's water management agency by $700 million, setting the stage for a toxic algae bloom that decimated fisheries and the coastal tourism business in 2018. Scott's critics skewered him with the nickname "red tide Rick," and the issue hurt the Republican in the polls.

"He was red tide Rick'... People living in Florida for a very long time know him very well," Mucarsel-Powell said.

"The homeowners insurance crisis that we're facing right now started under Rick Scott," she said.

Just after taking office in 2011, Scott signed legislation eliminating Citizens' caps on premium increases, causing the cost of coverage to skyrocket.

Citizens then launched a campaign to re-audit homes that state-sanctioned inspectors had already deemed ready for a major storm as part of a process to qualify for an insurance discount. Of the more than 250,000 homeowners Citizens double-checked, three out of four lost discounts, the Tampa Bay Times reported in 2012.

They did nothing to help, just stood and watched like useless baby killers

There are medical personnel on duty at all campaign events for moments like these. It isn't the job nor responsibility of those on stage unless they're specifically called for by others to respond. And even more importantly, those physicians are responsible for more live births than they are terminated ones.

And the only ones being booed at Harris rallies are Trump fan bois trying to disrupt the proceedings through their vocal interruptions, making it impossible for others to hear and the speakers to continue their thoughts until they can be peaceably removed. Hence they're being booed, not the speakers. Just like it happens at Trump rallies, the difference being Kamala doesn't tell security or her audience to 'knock the hell out of them' like the sociopath Trump does.

Anyone with a functioning brain cell knows that, but considering who foisted this nonsensical assertion, obviously no reasoning brain cells are presently functioning inside this individual's cranium.

Related:

The New York Times editorial board has made its case that Mr. Trump is unfit to lead. But the strongest case against him may come from his own people. For those Americans who are still tempted to return him to the presidency or to not vote in November, it is worth considering the assessment of Mr. Trump by those who have seen him up close.

Typical Trumper. Almost every accusation against others is a confession against themselves.

Not to mention he's acting as a Russian agent taking orders from Putin - buying Twitter, allowing it to be used for Russian election interference, and funding Trump's campaign through super PACs - in order to keep himself and his family alive after letting Ukraine use Starlink to terminate untold thousands of Russian lives during Putin's 3 day exercise now heading towards year 4.

But since he's not brown, he's a-ok with Trump and his white nationalist/supremacist crew.

Some men may be tempted to vote for Trump because of their anger at the slow pace of progress, Obama said, but "your rage does not exist in a vacuum."

"If we don't get this election right, your wife, your daughter, your mother, we as women will become collateral damage to your rage," Obama said. "So are you as men prepared to look into the eyes of the women and children you love and tell them you supported this assault on our safety?"

"I lay awake at night wondering, What in the world is going on?'" she said.

Her voice vibrating with emotion, Obama talked about the struggle for women to understand and care for their own bodies, whether it's their menstrual cycles or menopause. And she spoke about the dangers of childbirth, when a split-second decision can mean the difference between life and death for a mother and her baby.

"I am asking y'all from the core of my being to take our lives seriously," Obama pleaded.

[Obama's] remarks were searing and passionate in their support of Harris.

"By every measure, she has demonstrated that she's ready," the former first lady said. "The real question is, as a country, are we ready for this moment?"

Obama added, "Do not buy into the lies that we do not know who Kamala is or what she stands for. This is somebody who understands you, all of you."

Regardless of what the men do, this election will be decided by women, the class who has the most to lose should Trump win the presidency again. And Trump is running the most anti-woman campaign perhaps in American history, but certainly since women have had the right to vote. And more women vote than do men so which demographic is most important?

Yeah, he's quite the stable genius after all.