Saturday, October 26, 2024

Marshall: Early Hints of Roevember?

Josh Marshall: Something I noticed in the first days of early voting was that most of the swing states that surfaced gender breakdowns for early voting showed around a ten point spread between men (~45) and woman (~55).

Posted by tonyroma at 05:30 PM | 33 COMMENTS | permalink

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So what's going on here? It's not clear. There are a few possibilities. One is that that Republican early voting is itself skewing female and thus keeping that gender spread high. Another possibility is that Democratic women are voting early at even higher rates than in previous cycles and that's off-setting the impact of Republican early voting.

For the moment I don't think we can say this is good or bad for one party or the other. It's more that there's some additional factor which is allowing the rate of Republican early voting to expand without that 10 point gender spread contracting. It's not clear what that is yet. But whatever it is could turn out to be significant for the final results of the election.

There are two other swing states releasing gender breakdown data for the early votes. And the numbers are comparable and actually larger. In Georgia it's 11.2 percentage points and in Michigan it's 13.1 percentage points.

Things that make you go hmmmm.

#1 | Posted by tonyroma at 2024-10-25 02:29 PM

TONY

Republicans are going to be sorry they ever hitched their wagon's to Trump's ass.

Women, and a lot of Republican women, their spouses, mothers, daughters, and granddaughters will crawl over glass to vote for VP Harris, many of them purely over the Dobbs decision.

BTW, This is an insightful article from a former GOP Romney and Bush campaign veteran:

www.vanityfair.com

#2 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-10-27 02:10 AM

PS - I'm predicting VP Harris will win and it won't be as close as some people think it will be.

Trump will be sentenced November 28th for the 34 NY state felonies for which he's already been convicted. And he'll be facing even more charges in D.C. (federal) and Georgia (also state charges for which he can't pardon himself for state charges).

His world is going to get very small very fast.

#3 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-10-27 02:19 AM

During Kamala's Beyonce rally (the one where she was booed) someone had a medical emergency. On the stage at the time were over half a dozen Abortion Doctors. They did nothing to help, just stood and watched like useless baby killers

#4 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 10:18 AM

The demented orange pedo cracked jokes about the firefighter who was killed at his Butler klan rally.

www.newsweek.com

#5 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-27 10:21 AM

#4 | Posted by visitor_

Happy Anniversary ! ! !

#6 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-27 10:26 AM

They did nothing to help, just stood and watched like useless baby killers

There are medical personnel on duty at all campaign events for moments like these. It isn't the job nor responsibility of those on stage unless they're specifically called for by others to respond. And even more importantly, those physicians are responsible for more live births than they are terminated ones.

And the only ones being booed at Harris rallies are Trump fan bois trying to disrupt the proceedings through their vocal interruptions, making it impossible for others to hear and the speakers to continue their thoughts until they can be peaceably removed. Hence they're being booed, not the speakers. Just like it happens at Trump rallies, the difference being Kamala doesn't tell security or her audience to 'knock the hell out of them' like the sociopath Trump does.

Anyone with a functioning brain cell knows that, but considering who foisted this nonsensical assertion, obviously no reasoning brain cells are presently functioning inside this individual's cranium.

#7 | Posted by tonyroma at 2024-10-27 10:31 AM

It's a bad look when someone calls out "is there a doctor in the house?" and over half a dozen abortion doctors just stare at the ground.

If someone was in labor and needed an emergency live birth abortion at nine months they likely would have been all on it at once.

#8 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 10:58 AM

Visitor ... in fairness they aren't real Doctors, they only know how to operate a vacuum cleaner for baby parts.

#9 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 11:18 AM

Visitor ... in fairness they aren't real Doctors, they only know how to operate a vacuum cleaner for baby parts.

#9 | POSTED BY BLUEWAFFLES

...

it's better to be honest about the circumstances of that situation ...

#41 | POSTED BY BLUEWAFFLE

So much for that whole being honest thing. That didn't last even a day.

Abortion doctors are actual doctors according to my Good Guy AI.

Maybe your Bad Guy AI is telling you something different?

Yes, doctors who perform abortions are real doctors who are licensed to provide abortion care:

Obstetrician-gynecologists: These doctors are trained in all aspects of reproductive health care, including abortion. In 1996, the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME) mandated that obstetrician-gynecologist residency programs provide abortion training.

Family medicine doctors: Some family medicine doctors offer reproductive health care, including abortion.

Advanced practice clinicians: A few states allow advanced practice clinicians to perform abortions.

#10 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 11:38 AM

You think that makes it better that half a dozen medical experts had the training and skills to help and didn't? Just stood there staring at their navels like a bunch of IVF mongoloids?

Another possibility:

There's so many lies and fakery in the Harris campaign, these "doctors" were an improv class hired to play act as doctors.

True fact: Most of the "regular guy, lifetime Republicans" voting for Harris in her campaign ads have been outed as either actors or Democrat operatives. The rest just haven't been outed yet.

#11 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 11:49 AM

"You think that makes it better that half a dozen medical experts had the training and skills to help and didn't? "

You think that it makes it better that you have to make up lies about it?

And I'm pretty sure you wouldn't recognize a "true fact" if it bit you on the tRump. (And btw theoretically all "facts" are inherently "true")

#12 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 11:56 AM

What lie. Did I miss where one or more of these "trained professionals" leaped from the stage to possibly save a life? Save a life rather than make bank $$$ taking it.

#13 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 12:10 PM

What lie. Did I miss where one or more of these "trained professionals" leaped from the stage to possibly save a life?

I would not expect you you to recognize your own lies. You have drank the kool aid.

The lie is that they did not need to.

Obviously.

Just like you lied about Kamala being booed. And so many other things.

You are fooling no one here but yourself.

#14 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 12:15 PM

Donner, if they were real doctors and not vacuum cleaning experts, why didn't they help?

#15 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 12:23 PM

----------, why did your child-raping hero have a firefighter's head blown off during his phony assassination?

#16 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-27 12:29 PM

I'll reply to you on that one rein once Donner answers.

#17 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 12:37 PM

Donner, if they were real doctors and not vacuum cleaning experts, why didn't they help?

#15 | POSTED BY BLUEWAFFLES

They didn't need to?

I am not sure why this is a problem for you. Is this the new fixed news narrative today? Did someone not receive help? Did they die because those doctors on stage didn't help even though they weren't needed?? Why is this even an issue for you? Are you that worried about the convicted felon and wannabe fascist dictator losing the election (again) and all your time and efforts at lying and distorting the truth and spreading disinformation will go to waste?

No worries. There is plenty of room on the ash heap of history for you, too.

#18 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 12:39 PM

Well, a Doctor's job is to save lives and help. The "Doctor's" that were on stage by your claims have the training necessary to help the man and didn't. Which begs the question that Visitor brought up, are they even doctors?

Back to you Rein, the reason a fire fighter died is because Joe Biden put an idiot kiss ass as the head of secret service who was clearly too stupid to know how to do her job. But thankfully she's not in that job anymore now is she?

#19 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 12:44 PM

#14 The lie is that they did not need to.

That's not a lie to say they did nothing, just an accurate observation of the character of Democrats.

So the Democrat tendency is "Don't help, let someone else do it!" (and make someone else pay for it too). That sounds about right.

#20 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 12:49 PM

The firefighter who had his blown off is just more collateral damage for the 300 lb sack of dementia with the 1.2 million body count.

#21 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-27 12:51 PM

"why didn't they help?"

Because part of their training is when to leave specific interventions to those already doing the job.

#22 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-10-27 12:53 PM

No one was helping, the dude was flopping around ...

#23 | Posted by Bluewaffles at 2024-10-27 01:05 PM

Lucky for hurricane and other natural disaster victims that Cajun Navy and Redneck Air Force members don't have that Democrat "Let someone else do it (pay for it)!" attitude.

#24 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-27 01:09 PM

Visiturd, why aren't you at the-------------------'s nazi rally at MSG?

#25 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-10-27 01:12 PM

More MAGAT --------.

MAGATS were hunting FEMA in Boazland.

#26 | Posted by LegallyYourDead at 2024-10-27 01:34 PM

So the Democrat tendency is "Don't help, let someone else do it!" (and make someone else pay for it too). That sounds about right.

#20 | POSTED BY VISITOR_

Well they could have been like you maga maroon Karens who try to tell everyone how to do jobs that they have no clue about.

#27 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 01:49 PM

No one was helping, the dude was flopping around ...

#23 | POSTED BY BLUEWAFFLES

That's what you really think happened?

It's not the economy, stupid.

It's the stupids, stupid.

#28 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-10-27 01:53 PM

#10 | Posted by donnerboy

Abortion bans and potential prison sentences for doctors mean no OBGYNs now in many areas.

Not just an issue of abortion but now causing a lack of health care for women for a variety of medical issues to the detriment of tens of millions of women in the 20 states who've banned/severely limited choice.

#29 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-10-28 12:58 AM

It won't matter. Roe isn't getting reinstated. This might play hard in rabid blue states but in those states that are more rational, inflation and the economy will be the top issues. People know who is responsible for their bills increasing by hundreds per month, and it ain't Trump.

#30 | Posted by THEBULL at 2024-10-28 09:18 AM

Too bad for the baby killers. Normal people are aghast when they find out pro-abortionists want abortion at any stage of the term with no questions asked. To the pro-abortion crowd ANY restriction is unreasonable.

#31 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-28 10:45 AM

" To the pro-abortion crowd ANY restriction is unreasonable."

What a coincidence.

To the pro-control-women crowd, ALL restrictions are reasonable.

#32 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-10-28 11:04 AM

Shockingly, there are some on this very site that won't accept any restrictions on abortion. Their position is unlimited abortions with no restrictions anything less they call it a 'ban'. They can't be reasoned with.

#33 | Posted by visitor_ at 2024-10-28 12:33 PM

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