The president is contemplating seizing islands in the straits of Hormuz to facilitate the transport of oil.

Leaving aside all of the lies and hyperbole and changing justifications and contradictions and the amateurishness of the Secretary of Defense.

Seizing island in the straits of Hormuz or escorting tankers through and fro WILL NOT WORK.

The goal is to permit oil tankers to flow through.

Well, those tankers have to load in ports from port facilities with oil piped through pipelines from well fields.

Each and every point along that path is vulnerable to interdiction by Iran.

I have heard NO ONE state that obvious fact. That OBVIOUS fact.

If Trump is contemplating military action with land forces to that end it is nothing more than another dead end.

And, it should go without saying that any land operation will be devastating to our forces.

I could bore you with a long litany of unsurmountable problems, from the terrain to projecting tactical air power over the combat zone, to simple numbers and locations of Iranian artillery and missiles, to the Iranian navy's submarine and surface ships to a lack of munitions, to destruction of our radar system to a host of other problems.

Is anyone telling that to the President?

And, again, if somehow, we seize islands at low cost and am able to supply those forces and that allows us to escort tankers through the narrows, and somehow, we can convince private companies to put their billion-dollar vessels at risk, what then?

Well Iran drops a drone into a port facility.

Or Iran bombs a pipeline

And we are back to square one.

THERE IS NO MILITARY OPTION FOR VICTORY. SHORT OF SOMETHING THAT HAS NEVER BEEN DONE BEFORE-REGIME CHANGE THROUGH AIR POWER.

I remind you that Israel, after 2+ years of ruthless bombing that turned the Gaza strip into a moonscape DID NOT DEFEAT HAMAS.

In 1953 we destroyed every single building in the capital of NK and they did not quit.

That is a pipe dream.

Maybe, perhaps Iran might quit? NO, they'd have to be insane to quit without major concessions. Iran will NEVER have the advantages they have now. They will need sanctions relief and some iron cast guarantee that Israel or the US won't be back in 6 months.

No, there is NO military solution to this.

Then one must ALWAYS consider that Trump may WANT to keep this war going for the foreseeable future for his own political ends here in America.

So, again, these are historic times. Pay attention.

As of Monday morning, Brent crude, the industry benchmark, was priced at $106 per barrel, up more than 40 percent from $72 per barrel on February 27.

A report conducted by the global macroeconomic firm Capital Economics warned that if the conflict drags on, oil prices would rise further to around $130pb in Q2 [second quarter]."

What a bunch of hyperbolic drama queen nonsense.

#6 | Posted by BellRinger

Your factual counter argument is quite persuasive, I must say.

Perhaps you could explain how America "wins" this war or extracates itself without significant negative impacts.

I've laid out my opinion with facts numerous times over the past weeks.

Let's see the counterargument. I would LOVE to be wrong. I would LOVE for our nation and the world to not be subjected to this man made catastrophe.

Please explain how my logic or conclusions are astray.

Explain how America and Israel resolve Iran controlling the flow of oil through the Straits of Hormuz.

Explain how America and Israel will control the negative impact of the restriction of oil onto the world market.

Explain the military options that would succeed.

Explain Iran's lack of options.

Explain how Israel isn't a major problem for American. I know, I know you lie and say a genocide isn't happening because the number of Palestinians has increased over the past 25 years, when the genocide only started 2 years ago.

Counter the argument that this is a seminal event in our times that will shape the future.

I am waiting. In fact, eagerly waiting. Again, I would LOVE to be wrong.