The president is contemplating seizing islands in the straits of Hormuz to facilitate the transport of oil.
Leaving aside all of the lies and hyperbole and changing justifications and contradictions and the amateurishness of the Secretary of Defense.
Seizing island in the straits of Hormuz or escorting tankers through and fro WILL NOT WORK.
The goal is to permit oil tankers to flow through.
Well, those tankers have to load in ports from port facilities with oil piped through pipelines from well fields.
Each and every point along that path is vulnerable to interdiction by Iran.
I have heard NO ONE state that obvious fact. That OBVIOUS fact.
If Trump is contemplating military action with land forces to that end it is nothing more than another dead end.
And, it should go without saying that any land operation will be devastating to our forces.
I could bore you with a long litany of unsurmountable problems, from the terrain to projecting tactical air power over the combat zone, to simple numbers and locations of Iranian artillery and missiles, to the Iranian navy's submarine and surface ships to a lack of munitions, to destruction of our radar system to a host of other problems.
Is anyone telling that to the President?
And, again, if somehow, we seize islands at low cost and am able to supply those forces and that allows us to escort tankers through the narrows, and somehow, we can convince private companies to put their billion-dollar vessels at risk, what then?
Well Iran drops a drone into a port facility.
Or Iran bombs a pipeline
And we are back to square one.
THERE IS NO MILITARY OPTION FOR VICTORY. SHORT OF SOMETHING THAT HAS NEVER BEEN DONE BEFORE-REGIME CHANGE THROUGH AIR POWER.
