So that people don't lose their ----, I'll give my personal take first.
To me it's obvious what Trump was trying to do with his phone call to the new Ukrainian president. I view his actions as impeachable.
Here's my political take:
Throughout the entirety of this process, for whatever reason Democrats haven't moved public opinion one iota toward impeachment. If this were a sporting event they have been on offense throughout the entire process so far and have been playing on their home field within the MSM loudly cheering and amplifying this by turning the volume up to 11. With an impeachment vote, if they even get enough votes to impeach, they turn the ball over to the Senate which means the GOP will be on offense.
I see that going one of 2 ways. I can see McConnell immediately bringing it to a vote without holding any kind of hearings. I can also see McConnell scheduling all sorts of hearings regarding this and just like in the House the minority will have little say in how this is carried out - what's good for the goose and all that. McConnell will attempt to paint a picture on a political canvas as a back drop for the final phase of putting Trump on trial. With the IG report demonstrating serial abuses obtaining FISA warrants to surveil Carter Page coupled with Durham's statement yesterday that the investigation itself wasn't adequately predicated, McConnell will create a narrative of the so-called deep state engaging in all sorts of shenanigans to try and undo the 2016 election results by any means necessary. With that groundwork laid down, the Senate will subpoena Schiff, his aides and the whistleblower and McConnell will try to create a narrative that this whole thing was cooked up by a "deep state" operative colluding with the Democratic Party to try and remove Trump. Next up, McConnell will put Joe and Hunter Biden on trial and will attempt to convince the public that their arrangement with Burisma was corrupt thus legitimizing Trump's request for an investigation. Lastly, McConnell will hypocritically (the Senate hearings will be conducted in a 1-sided manner) attack the House hearings for their one-sidedness and he'll certainly attack (and I think this will resonate with the public) Schiff's publishing of phone records of Guilliani, Nunes, Solomon and others. Whether or not the GOP is more persuasive with the public than the Democrats have been remains to be seen.
Given where public opinion sits right now, voting to impeach and putting the ball in the GOP's court probably won't go well for the Democrats. 2 House Democrats have signaled they will vote against impeachment. If that happens and if any others defect it could prove disastrous from a political standpoint. Democrats will try to spin Justin Amash's vote (a guy who I like, BTW), but fact is he left the GOP and is now an independent. I don't think that spin will fly.
Like I said, having failed to move the needle of public opinion I think this is a huge mistake politically.