The recession will come because of falling consumer confidence, which will dampen spending throughout the US economy, will fall further when more and more government layoffs go through, and those layoffs will ripple into the broader employment base. The results in the US equity markets are just signs of confidence.
Unlike some recessions in the past 50+ years, those losing jobs and reducing spending are people with better, solid jobs with higher pay rates. Those at the low end of the economic scale are already overspending and now have little savings to fall back upon. A broader problem in the job market will make the coming recession harder to correct. The TV anchors and pundits now running the US government have little clue about what to do to fix the problem.
If the economy turns down, and if there is an election in 2026 the MAGA crowd will be thrown out of office far and wide. Sadly the election is no longer a sure thing ...
Actually, this may come as a welcome move to many voters in Massie's district. The guy is a jerk and brings home very little in the way of monetary support to his constituents. Most of his voters are in the Northern Kentucky counties of Greater Cincinnati, so typically more moderate politically. Kentucky has a Dem governor for a reason--more voted for him than did the GOP candidate. Trump could help Massie's district turn blue. That would be must-see TV...