The New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted between June 28 and July 2, found that Trump leads Biden 49% to 43% among likely voters nationally - a three point increase for the former president since the last New York Times/Siena College poll taken before the debate. Among registered voters, Trump holds a lead of 49% to 41% - also a three point swing in favor of the former president since the last poll, according to the Times.