It is well known that people each get 15 minutes of fame. Does that also hold for states? If so, California needs to move on and stop hogging the spotlight. But some states haven't had their allotted 15 minutes yet. One of them is Nebraska, which is a peaceful place that is usually happy to stay out of the limelight. But maybe this year it will get its time in the sun. For six reasons, no less...
Yesterday, we had an item about how the national polls are sometimes way off, with polling errors between 1% and 7% since 1980. This year, it is a virtual tie nationally and in all the swing states. Nothing seems to move the needle, since Kamala Harris was swapped in as a pinch hitter for Joe Biden...
As we wrote yesterday, Kamala Harris' decision to release her medical report wasn't really about reassuring the American public (since those reports are always somewhere between "positive" and "overwhelmingly positive"), it was about putting the ball in Donald Trump's court, and making HIS health an issue. The plan has already worked like a charm. read more
As long as we are on the subject of Donald Trump's mental health, we are now going to write about his rally/town hall yesterday. We don't usually do that, but he was in particularly bizarre form. read more
today, we're going to talk about polls. but before we do, everybody take a deep fucking breath. remember "flooding the zone with shit"? that was one-man leper colony Steve Bannon's plan for how Trumpism wins. here's how it works: create information chaos. drown everyone in a sea of misinformation. put out dozens of stories a day, with each new one contradicting the last. confuse the shit out of people to the point where no one has any fucking clue which end is up. eventually, the public will give up, and check out. whatever, just make it stop. this year, wingnut pollsters have adopted Rotty Steve's strategy. they're flooding the zone with shit polls " polls that show Donny is winning, when he's not. the goal? to make you give up and stay home on election day. you're being gaslighted. don't you dare fall for it. read more
"That is classic Hans."Says the guy here a total of 7 days.
#23 | Posted by deadman
Which is exactly why deadman has earned his own, personal Serious level
First there was...
Do you honestly think something went wrong on the server side to repost 1000+ times by Hans or was he sitting in his basement continuously hitting the publish comment button with ever growing incel rage until it finally posted 1000+ times? My bet is that someone's mom didn't bring the pizza rolls in time and Hans was rage hitting submit while likely screaming the n-word at the top of his lungs. Thankfully, he likely resides in a windowless basement so no one was exposed to his racial abuse.... and then ...
#18 | Posted by deadman at 2024-10-17 08:23 PM
#18 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious levelThis is amazingly easy.
Interestingly enough, this is post #18.
"Any significantly advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."
#22 | Posted by Hans at 2024-10-17 08:58 PM
#18 | Posted by: deadman | Flag: Serious level
Interestingly enough, this is post #18.
"Any significantly advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic."
"Has Fat Smelvis called this degenerate a hostage yet?" -
#4 | Posted by reinheitsgebot
Trump claims that many people say he looks like Elvis.
Perhaps the Kumquat Pol Pot should have the complete Elvis experience.
"...persistent irrational TDS..." -
#15 | Posted by robson
How to Tell if You Have Trump Devotion Syndrome (aka: "TDS"))
- Wearing adult diapers (when you don't need them)
- Wearing a black ----- on your face
- Showing off your JD Vance ---- Cup
- Getting a Trump tattoo (here and here
"The only ground that matters are the swing states. And republicans got that covered." -
#7 | Posted by ClownShack
I call BS:
Close fight in the trenches: A look at the ground game in the presidential race: POLL
"American manufacturing cannot compete in any way shape nor form against China's low labor costs." -
#40 | Posted by sitzkrieg
So?
Elon Musk, Miriam Adelson and Richard Uihlein Gave Trump $220 Million1 of 2
Q3 Campaign donation filings are being reported now. The biggest news is that three billionaires gave Donald Trump a total of $220 million combined in July, August, and September. Miriam Adelson, widow of casino magnate Sheldon Adelson, gave $95 million. The world's richest man, Elon Musk, gave $75 million. Schlitz beer heir and owner of the U-line packaging supplies company Richard Uihlein gave $50 million. Trump is clearly much beloved by billionaires.
Each of them probably has a different motivation, although when you are a multibillionaire, giving a campaign $50-100 million is small potatoes. Adelson, who was born in Israel, really has only one issue: Israel. She wants a president she trusts to support Israel, no matter how many college students demonstrate in favor of the Palestinians. She likes Trump's Middle East policy: What Bibi wants, Bibi gets. Musk wants to be important and maybe get a position in the Trump administration where he can change the country to be more billionaire friendly, possibly by eliminating or sabotaging anti-poverty and other programs that are of no use to billionaires. He would love to put the kibosh on a few ongoing federal investigations, as well. Uihlein usually keeps a low profile and never does interviews"the exact opposite of Musk"but he has been a Republican megadonor for decades. He probably doesn't want any personal favors from Trump, just low taxes for billionaires.
The Adelsons and Uihleins have been donating to Republicans since forever, but Musk is new to the game. Despite that, he has inserted himself into the campaign in a big way, talking to Trump multiple times a week. With Musk, separating his personal interests from his business interests is increasingly difficult. It could cost him. Last week the California Coastal Commission rejected SpaceX's plans to launch more rockets from Vandenberg Air Force Base, citing his political antics as a reason. He is also butting heads with the FAA over launch requirements. So far, his tweets and behavior have not affected SpaceX getting government contracts, but if Kamala Harris becomes commander in chief, she could decide that having a healthy Boeing Corporation is in the national interest and use her power to send military and space contracts in that direction. That it would hurt Musk would just be the cherry on the sundae.
"Why? I'm not using it as a pejorative." -
#45 | Posted by JeffJ/Bellringer at 2024-10-17 01:27 PM | Reply | Flag: Believes everyone is as stupid as he is
#93 | Posted by JeffJ/Bellringer at 2024-10-17 02:32 PM | Reply | Flag: Still awaiting word on this book
While we know that Trump hates the military, we should be grateful because it could have been worse.
#73 | Posted by shrimptacodan at 2024-10-17 12:31 PM | (Notice how he writes like "bushlover2/afkabl2/"babbles" who, at his advanced age, finally earned his GED!!!)
You keep repeating "DJT will still be declared the next potus by 11 EST on 11/5"
Your BS line about "illegals voting" aside, here's your challenge:
- List the states that will be called for the Kumquat Pol Pot by 11:00pm Eastern Time on November 5th that total 270+ Electoral Votes for Trump; and,
- Back up your calls (in #1) with legitimate polls for each state you think will be called for Trump by 11:00pm Eastern Time on November 5th
Give us a blow-by-blow list of states that Trump will have won by 11:00pm Eastern Time on November 5th so we can follow along that evening.
Are you up for this challenge, shrimptacodan?
"That said, I'm genuinely curious about your up 3% can't get 270 assertion." -
#28 | Posted by et_al
I am a long-time follower of Electoral-Vote.com, a site published by 2 academics: one in Los Angeles, the other one in the Netherlands. They guy in the Netherlands has published many IT books, and was the author of an early OS. I wouldn't be surprised if our host knows him.
I've search through their archives, as it was an article by them that presented that formula. That once a candidate's popular vote margin is 3% or greater, it is mathematically impossible for the loser of the popular vote margin to achieve the necessary 270+ Electoral College votes.
If I find that article, I'll post it as a thread here. But I wanted to get back to you on your question.
Oh, and as for my HTML skills:
--- youThank you for your kind compliment.