"We are clear that Kamala Harris is the only candidate who can block Donald Trump and his anti-democratic, authoritarian policies from the White House," Green parties from countries including Germany, France, Denmark, Italy, the Netherlands, Ireland, Estonia, Belgium, Spain, Poland and Ukraine said in a statement. read more
He states that he "never in his life" thought that a month later, "a comedian would appear to criticize and talk badly about my [Puerto Rico]," he said. "That's why I'm renouncing my support for Donald Trump and stepping away from any political conversation. Puerto Rico deserves respect." read more
Donald Trump's health has been called into question once again after a video of him "dragging that right leg" went viral on social media. read more
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. told supporters Monday that Donald Trump has promised to give him "control" of several public health agencies, including the Department of Health and Human Services and the Department of Agriculture, if he wins a second term in November. Kennedy said, "The key that I think I'm -- you know, that President Trump has promised me is -- is control of the public health agencies, which are HHS and its sub-agencies, CDC, FDA, NIH and a few others, and then also the USDA, which is -- which, you know, is key to making America healthy." read more
Hundreds of election ballots were destroyed early Monday morning after a ballot box caught fire in the Washington state city of Vancouver, Clark County Elections Auditor Greg Kimsey confirmed to Forbes on Monday -- the second incident of its kind in the area. read more
@ LampLighter
TonyRoma has posted an article that goes into more detail here:
Silver: Swing State Polls are Only Close Because of Herding
drudge.com
I found helpful the stat that Tony copy/pasted ("Based on a binomial distribution - which assumes that all polls are independent of one another, which theoretically they should be - it's realllllllllllllly unlikely. Specifically, the odds are 1 in 9.5 trillion against at least this many polls showing such a close margin."
Many of us still have not forgiven Ralph Nader and considering the unnecessary Iraq invasion, probably never will.
#10 | Posted by danni
"There is no difference between the Democrats and Republicans."
-Ralph Nader
[slow clap]
- 1 million dead Iraqis and the 3,000 Americans Dubbya let get killed on 9-11 while he was reading "My Pet Goat" and diligently ignoring the warning he received on Al Qaeda 36 days earlier ("Bin Ladin Determined To Strike in US" en.wikipedia.org).
According to articles I have read, something like 40% of voters have already cast their ballots. Shouldn't we have some idea of what these results look like? Is there something that keeps the early results from being released.
#33 | Posted by madbomber
The rules vary on processing and counting early ballots:
When states can begin processing and counting absentee/mail-in ballots, 2024
ballotpedia.org
But you can see some numbers here breaking down early votes by state, party, and sex: www.nbcnews.com
Sex is a huge factor since females lead substantially in early voting in most swing states (~10% difference) and Harris leads 7-10% with females.
But shouldn't such randomness tend to iron out the differences between the pollsters rather than emphasis those differences?
Isn't that why pollsters use random sampling?
#5 | Posted by LampLighter
That's the desired result, but there would still be deviation, especially given the relatively small sample size for many of these polls.
Nate Silver: Cheating' Pollsters Are Putting ----er on the Scale'
"Oh, every state is just +1, every single state's a tie,' No! You're ---- herding! You're cheating! You're cheating!" said Silver
Silver slammed GOP-leaning polling firms for continually putting Trump at an advantage in many states, accusing them of making a prediction that won't put them "too far on a limb."
He added, "Your numbers aren't all going to come out at exactly 1-point leads when you're sampling 800 people over dozens of surveys. You are lying! You're putting your ---- ----er on the scale!"
According to Silver, "If a pollster never publishes any numbers that surprises you, then it has no value."
www.msn.com
Trump Asks 'Am I Allowed to Hit Michelle Obama?'
Asks the morbidly obese bag of orange pus that is unable to open a door.