There is no doubt that Trump views himself as a historic figure and wants to leave monuments to his 'greatness". Just see the Arc de Trump, the WH dance hall, the "Trump"-Kennedy Center and a hundred other things.
Trump is a sociopath.
Trump is a narcissist.
There is not much doubt about the above
What does that mean for the Iran War?
Well, I think it is pretty clear that Trump has put himself in the escalation trap.
The escalation trap is, essentially as an example, starting a war without clear goals and endgames against a weaker foe. The weaker foe spreads the conflict horizontally, drawing in others and spreading the conflict to vulnerable areas. The aggressor is left unable to stop the weaker foe, has limited options and only escalates the violence. Bomb more, bomb more sensitive and less military objectives, essentially trying to sap the will of the weaker foe. This is a trap though because without a clear goal, there is only escalation which is self-defeating, it hardens the weaker foe's resolve and isolates the aggressor, so the aggressor escalates the violence to a breaking point
Trump does not admit mistakes
Trump only quits when he can declare victory. Trump instigates problems so he can solve them.
Trump has instigated this Iran war (whether from his own megalomania or from bowing to Israel's manipulation). Obviously without understanding the situation. Christ, to filling the Strategic Petroleum Reserves before attacking shows criminal neglect in leadership
So, Trump wants to end the war swiftly, desperately. that is evident in his rhetoric, his desperation is pathetic, obvious and actually quite a thing to witness. That desperation makes it more difficult to reach an exit ramp btw.
So, Trump is stuck in the trap. He cannot escape with a viable claim to victory, because Iran has him by the short hairs. They control the Strait of Hormuz and there is nothing Trump can do about it.
To take it would require a massive land invasion force, which we don't have. He can try partial measures, like seizing islands or some land along the coast, but that will result in massive casualties and will likely not even stop Iran's control even if successful (Iran can just pull back and control the sea lanes with drones). The movement of the marine expeditionary force is evidence that he is considering such a partial measure.
But this deeply deeply sick man, who can't be troubled to learn the basics of issues like war, surrounded by sycophants, incompetents and religious fanatics yearning for Armageddon, who cannot, will not admit a mistake, who ALWAYS takes the easy way, who views himself as a historic figure, who wants to make his mark on history will look out and see no options facing a stubborn, proud, intelligent, rational country standing obstinately in his path to relief, a country fueled by its own fanaticism that views this struggle as existential, that views Trump as utterly untrustworthy with an ally who is their blood enemy equally as fanatic facing an self-perceived existential threat, that man Trump will face a choice-do something he has never done in his entire life-swallow his pride OR say ---- it, drop a nuke.
That is who the magat scum have inflicted on us and the world. A man who will view the use of nuclear weapons as a place to guarantee his mark on history. Unfortunately, he doesn't understand that he would be more like Hitler than Truman, more like Satan than Lincoln.
We can only hope and pray that President Donald J. Piggy chickens out or strokes out and dies, quickly.
So, here is something I just learned
The IEA is tapping 400 million barrels of oil to help with the oil shock.
But, you see, apparently all of that oil just doesn't become available.
Oil should not be considered by volume but by rate. How much oil is flowing THROUGH the system.
Around 20 million barrels of oil travel through the strait of hormuz daily (before the war)
However, the strategic reserves can only be drawn down at a rate of around 2 million barrels per day so only 10% of the loss from the strait being blocked
I am sure that other options are available to raise the daily rate, but those are limited, because the countries with that flexibility are, wait for it,....gulf states
America, for example has no ability to increase capacity (rate of moving oil to market) currently, it would take years to build up the infrastructure.
So, this is a major disaster that simply cannot be fixed.
And every day this goes on compounds the problem, not linearly but exponentially.
For the idiots and ignorant like MSGT and BillJ that means every day isnt just worse than the day before but FAR worse than the day before and the day after that is not just worse than that day but FAR worse
And every day is like that
thanks magat scum