Tuesday, September 24, 2024

Will Hurricane Helene emerge like a monster from the Gulf?

History has shown the Gulf of Mexico can be a pressure cooker, turning systems like this one from wimpy windstorms to devastating monster storms almost overnight under the right conditions.

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Comments

Doubtful. Generally storms this time of the year are interacting with cold fronts as the fronts move west to east. currently we have a front moving across the center of the country and it wouldn't surprise me if it didn't put Helene further to the east.

#1 | Posted by lfthndthrds at 2024-09-24 03:51 PM

NHS predicting 100 knot winds on landfall.

#2 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-09-24 06:37 PM

I'll be riding out the storm at Ground Zero

#3 | Posted by Hans at 2024-09-24 06:44 PM

We are generally very lucky with these storms here between Horse Country and the Forest; they usually peter out or piss off another angle when they get to the middle of the penis.

Sometimes not, though. Thunderstorms and lighting "are very, very frightening" in FL.

And the wind and water can do lots of damage here when they do hit.

I've been through more than my share here and in NE, and the best one was just standing out in hurricane winds in Rhode Island, and not being able to fall forward or stop from going backwards.

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-24 06:54 PM

FSU WeatherSTEM

#5 | Posted by Hans at 2024-09-24 06:54 PM

Latest NHS update says 105 knot winds and very large cyclone at landfall.

#6 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-09-24 11:02 PM

We'll be thinking about you, Hans. Stay safe and dry ...

I have friends who've live a few miles inland from Cedar Key. I talked the Mr. into boarding their windows, at least on the West and South facing windows; the "dirty side" where the wind will be coming from and the storms are more intense. Even if winds are only 60 mph when it goes by their area, flying debris can break a window and cause all kinds of damage from rain.

Guess we'll find out where it'll land as Thursday approaches.

#7 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-25 02:59 AM

I'll be riding out the storm at Ground Zero

Good luck and stay safe.

#8 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-09-25 07:21 AM

Latest NHS update: It's going to be "very wet, in terms of water".

#9 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-09-25 09:54 AM

This will be the third FL hurricane this year to passed overhead and dump rain when it was done with Florida.

#10 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-25 01:49 PM

@#2 ... V ...

Current forecasts say it will likely be a Cat 3 when it makes landfall.

The rapid intensification is due to the very warm (85 degree) waters in the Gulf the storm will be passing over.

#11 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-09-25 02:09 PM

Looks like it's about to kick America right in the nuts.

#12 | Posted by donnerboy at 2024-09-25 02:14 PM

The eastern half on my county is under a Hurricane Watch, the western half, where I am, a Hurricane Warning.

Folks in the Panhandle, the Redneck Riviera, are going to get their beautiful beaches reshaped again....

#13 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-25 02:25 PM

HERE's a 24 hr PBS Hurricane Tracker Live site with cams at Cedar Key and St. George Island.

If you ever get a chance to go to St. George Island, you should do it.

Pristine large and small dune beaches available for camping, some are free.

Maybe not the next couple of days, though!

www.youtube.com

#14 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-25 03:16 PM

www.axios.com

... Florida's entire west coast is at risk for a damaging storm surge, including Tampa Bay, where a 5 to 8-foot surge is forecast above normally dry land if the storm hits at high tide.

This would be one of the city's biggest surge events on record since data began there in 1947. ...


#15 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-09-25 03:33 PM

Hurricane Helene forms, forecast to hit Florida with 155 mph gusts, 18-foot storm surge

www.orlandosentinel.com

wowser!

#16 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-25 04:03 PM

wowser!

Post #1 didn't age well.

#17 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-09-25 05:17 PM

5 o'clock (EDT) forecast from the Hurricane Center now expects intensification to a Cat 4 hurricane before it makes landfall.

#18 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-09-25 05:59 PM

An update from the link in #16

... Hurricane Helene formed strengthened as it entered the Gulf of Mexico on Wednesday with the National Hurricane Center forecasting the storm to rapidly intensify and strike Florida as a major Category 4 hurricane.

As of the NHC's 5 p.m. advisory, Helene remained a Category 1 hurricane with 85 mph sustained winds about 460 miles southwest of Tampa and 505 miles south-southwest of Apalachicola as it moved north at 12 mph. Hurricane-force winds extend out 25 miles and tropical-storm-force winds extend out 345 miles from the center. ...


#19 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-09-25 06:07 PM

It's edged a little west, so that's good for the mainland penis.

Not so good for the 'nuts" in the Redneck Riviera.

Cat 4 crosses a personal boundary for me, lol, so I would be heading to Savannah for the weekend if I was there.

#20 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-25 07:21 PM

1000 mile storm, south to north, landing as a Cat 4, now predicting up to 20' surge + waves. This one's gonna hurt a lot of people.

It's gonna take a NW turn and shower us with inches of rain when it's through with Florida and Georgia. Just got all the leaf-guarded gutters blown off. We're on the top of a long rise, so we shouldn't have any issues with flooding.

All the best to everyone in it's path down yonder.

I hope Tallahassee residents aren't bombarded with downed trees. They're a major part of why it's such an attractive city.

#21 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-25 08:39 PM

What a massive storm! Helene's outer bands reach from the coast of Honduras north all the way to the Georgia line.

#22 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-25 08:50 PM

Project 2025 plan calls for demolition of NOAA and National Weather Service

www.latimes.com

#23 | Posted by reinheitsgebot at 2024-09-25 10:22 PM

Former Floridian here, if you live in the central panhandle, for the love of God GET OUT NOW.

#24 | Posted by e1g1 at 2024-09-25 11:57 PM

Climate change. Record temps in the Gulf for this time of year ...

"They had never forecast a major hurricane within 60 hours for a disturbance below tropical storm level, " Sam Lillo, a meteorologist and software engineer for DTN Weather, told USA TODAY on Tuesday, based on a computer analysis of the center's historical forecast data. "The entire forecast is also basically faster than has ever been seen for 36 hours and 48 hours from a tropical depression." (thanks to the warm Gulf)

www.usatoday.com

#25 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-09-26 04:14 AM

I can see all them red states now lining up with their hands out for that sweet FEMA socialism.

#26 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-09-26 07:19 AM

hit Florida with 155 mph gusts, 18-foot storm surge

Thank god Gov Kinky Boots vetoed those storm water drainage improvement spending.

#27 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-09-26 07:20 AM

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