Tuesday, December 17, 2024

How ‘the Mother of All Bubbles’ Will Pop

Almost no one foresees an imminent pop. Virtually every Wall Street analyst predicts US stocks will continue outperforming the rest of the world in 2025. But all this enthusiasm only tends to confirm that the bubble is at a very advanced stage.

If the consensus on "American exceptionalism" is so overwhelming, who is left to hop on the bandwagon and inflate it further?

Comments

"But every hero has a fatal flaw. America's is its sharply increasing addiction to government debt. My calculations suggest it now takes nearly $2 of new government debt to generate an additional $1 of US GDP growth " a 50 per cent increase on just five years ago.

If any other country were spending this way, investors would be fleeing, but for now, they think America can get away with anything, as the world's leading economy and issuer of the reserve currency."

more at the link

#1 | Posted by Corky at 2024-12-17 03:34 PM

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