Saturday, August 16, 2025

Erin Rapidly Intensifies to Category 5 Hurricane

Hurricane Erin has rapidly intensified into a category five hurricane, packing maximum sustained winds of 160mph (260km/h).

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Hurricane Erin is now a rare Category 5.

The storm is forecast to at least double or triple in size next week. cnn.it/4mGNDqd[image or embed]

" CNN (@cnn.com) Aug 16, 2025 at 11:57 AM

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... maximum sustained winds of 160mph (260km/h). National Hurricane Center Director Mike Brennan told a briefing that the "extremely powerful" storm had "explosively deepened and intensified" overnight ...

A tropical storm to 160mph in a day?

This does not bode well.

#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-08-16 01:35 PM

A tropical storm to 160mph in a day?

If it stays away from land it could be a very interesting storm.

#2 | Posted by REDIAL at 2025-08-16 01:52 PM

If it stays away from land it could be a very interesting storm.

#2 | Posted by REDIAL

If it doesn't stay away, we're going to find out just how effed up Trump made disaster response.

#3 | Posted by Zed at 2025-08-16 01:57 PM

Fake news!

There's no such thing as weather.

It's all a Democratic Hoax!

#4 | Posted by ClownShack at 2025-08-16 01:59 PM

Can't we just nuke it?

#5 | Posted by donnerboy at 2025-08-16 02:00 PM

Trump is going to negotiate Peace with Erin!

So, say goodbye to the Outer Banks of North Carolina.

#6 | Posted by Corky at 2025-08-16 02:06 PM

Trump is going to negotiate Peace with Erin!

Right now only one model shows it hitting land. Hopefully Trump is too distracted to get involved or he'll probably accidentally convince Erin that Willmington will look better as pristine coastline.

#7 | Posted by TaoWarrior at 2025-08-16 02:20 PM

Current spaghetti maps ...

www.tropicaltidbits.com

www.tropicaltidbits.com

www.tropicaltidbits.com

#8 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-08-16 03:23 PM

@#7

I remember when Hurricane Sandy was approaching the NYC area.

While most of the models had the storm continuing north then out to sea, one model showed the storm taking a sharp right turn and going inland over New Jersey.

That one model was the correct one, the then not well-known European model.

Since then, the European model has grown to be one of the more respected models.

Hurricane Sandy - Forecasts
en.wikipedia.org

... On October 23, 2012, the path of Hurricane Sandy was correctly predicted by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) headquartered in Reading, England nearly eight days in advance of its striking the American East Coast.

The computer model noted that the storm would turn west towards land and strike the New York/New Jersey region on October 29, rather than turn east and head out to the open Atlantic as most hurricanes in this position do.

By October 27, four days after the ECMWF made its prediction, the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center confirmed the path of the hurricane predicted by the European model.

The National Weather Service was criticized for not employing its higher-resolution forecast models the way that its European counterpart did. A hardware and software upgrade completed at the end of 2013 enabled the weather service to make predictions more accurate and farther in advance than the technology in 2012 had allowed.[35] ...




#9 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-08-16 03:56 PM

Description

One tracker has Erin making landfall in NC.

#10 | Posted by rstybeach11 at 2025-08-16 04:45 PM

Let's hope Boaz is spared.

#11 | Posted by LauraMohr at 2025-08-16 04:48 PM

Let's hope that hurricane is spared!

#12 | Posted by ClownShack at 2025-08-16 05:02 PM

I was in Gloria (so to speak) in the '85 landfall she made in CT near Westport after hitting NC.

We were close by, and the winds were steady and strong enough that we could just fall forward into them and stay upright for minutes at a time.

We might have been high.

#13 | Posted by Corky at 2025-08-16 05:15 PM

I lived by the beach pier in Naples for Charly 2004 and Wilma 2005 (20 billion in damage), and I think it must have been Wilma that took out the electric for two weeks. Electric lines and showering were both down.

#14 | Posted by Corky at 2025-08-16 05:45 PM

@#10

thx.

I had been looking, without success, for that one.

#15 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-08-16 06:09 PM

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