Based on the various accounts of "intelligence reports," there probably isn't a clear picture (outside a tight circle in-country) of what's going on with Iran's nuclear affairs. At this point, Israeli estimates should rate on a par with the answers you receive from a Magic 8 Ball (Trump merch version: www.officialtrump2024store.com). Right up there with Trump's yapping.

Tangentially, more than a few times I've wondered if the Iranians had as much of the sort of material they allegedly possessed, why hadn't one or more dirty bombs not already detonated in one or more choice locales? I suppose Israel's possession of nuclear weapons is the opening response. But there are conditions under which that fact alone might not provide a sufficient deterrent.