Iran's Nuclear Timeline Remains Unchanged

Tuesday, May 05, 2026

Reuters said anonymous U.S. intelligence sources estimate Iran's timeline for building a hypothetical nuclear weapon remained the same as last summer: one year.

Posted by reinheitsgebot at 03:30 PM | 3 COMMENTS | permalink | Comment on This Entry |

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Exclusive: US intelligence indicates limited new damage to Iran's nuclear program, sources say reut.rs/4vZNOT4

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-- Reuters (@reuters.com) May 4, 2026 at 4:45 PM

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More from the cited article ...

... The backstory:

President Donald Trump has said one of the major reasons he went to war was to deny Iran the ability to develop nuclear weapons.

"You can't let Iran have a nuclear weapon,"

Trump reiterated Tuesday while signing a proclamation. "You can't let a bunch of lunatics have a nuclear weapon or the world would be in trouble." ...

#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-05-05 01:56 PM | Reply

@#1 ... Trump reiterated Tuesday while signing a proclamation. "You can't let a bunch of lunatics have a nuclear weapon or the world would be in trouble." ...

Then why did Pres Trump tear up the agreement with Iran during his first term?

#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2026-05-05 01:57 PM | Reply

Based on the various accounts of "intelligence reports," there probably isn't a clear picture (outside a tight circle in-country) of what's going on with Iran's nuclear affairs. At this point, Israeli estimates should rate on a par with the answers you receive from a Magic 8 Ball (Trump merch version: www.officialtrump2024store.com). Right up there with Trump's yapping.

Tangentially, more than a few times I've wondered if the Iranians had as much of the sort of material they allegedly possessed, why hadn't one or more dirty bombs not already detonated in one or more choice locales? I suppose Israel's possession of nuclear weapons is the opening response. But there are conditions under which that fact alone might not provide a sufficient deterrent.

#3 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2026-05-05 02:21 PM | Reply