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Let's hold off on celebrating "honeymoon polls" bump yet - we have 3 months to go (with the weakening economy) and these were in 2016: en.wikipedia.org
These new polls' internals are not as good as headlines suggest - here's a poll from just 3 days ago that's quite different on some, particularly economic, issues:
www.cnbc.com - Harris edges out Trump on who voters trust more with the economy, new poll finds
Points of concern:
|------- The poll ... from Aug. 1 to Aug. 5
Kamala Harris is narrowly ahead of Donald Trump on the number of voters who trust her handling of the economy, according to a new Financial Times/Michigan Ross poll.
Other polls have found Trump significantly ahead of Harris on economic issues. The most recent CNBC All-America Economic Survey**, for example, found voters think they will be financially better off under Trump than Harris by a 2-to-1 margin.
In the meantime, voters and donors alike are left to wonder to what degree she might diverge from the current administration, which regularly bears the brunt of the blame for public dissatisfaction with the economy.
Among the FT/Michigan Ross survey respondents, 60% said Harris should either fully cut ties with Biden's economic policies or "make major changes" to his agenda.
The FT/Michigan Ross poll found that 42% of voters say they would be "much" or "somewhat" better off in a hypothetical second Trump term, compared with 33% who say the same of Harris.
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** www.cnbc.com - Trump holds 2-point lead over Harris with a big advantage on economy, CNBC survey shows
|------- The poll ... from July 31 through Aug. 4
- Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris 48% to 46% overall in the CNBC All-America Economic Survey
On the economy, by 2-to-1, Americans think they will be better off financially under Trump.
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This may explain why, but it also presents challenges if economy continues to weaken, and if her to-be-released economic plan doesn't significantly differ from Biden's (see above) :
www.cnbc.com - Harris erases Trump's lead on economy among younger Americans
|------- Poll was taken between July 22 and July 29, before the latest jobs report showed a contraction...
The latest poll found Harris holding a 12-point lead over Trump among younger Americans, 46% to 34%.
- More than two-thirds of younger Americans say the economy is heading in the wrong direction, but they do not appear to blame Harris for this.
- 'Bidenomics' may not be a drag on Harris
- Economy is still a wild card
... The latest quarterly Youth & Money Survey, taken after Biden dropped out of the race in July, reveals that 69% of Americans between 18 and 34 years old believe the economy is getting worse under President Joe Biden.
... Harris was viewed as the best candidate for the economy by 41% of poll respondents, while 40% chose Trump, while 19% said the economy would do better under someone else, like third party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
... Turnout is also a potential trouble spot for Democrats. ... in 2020, 57% of this age group turned out to vote.
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Doing better than Biden, but far from great, with all the excitement about "generational change." Let's hope energy is sustainable.
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