Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Friday, November 29, 2024

The 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is coming to an end and it has been an active one overall. There have been 18 named tropical storms, with 11 of those reaching hurricane strength and five becoming major hurricanes - category three and above. An average season would bring 14 storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.

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Some records have been equalled or broken but the active weather was not spread evenly across the season. In fact the middle of the season, normally the peak, was very quiet.

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Yup.

And this is with a slow start ...

Unusually mild Atlantic hurricane season likely to ramp up (August 2024)
www.axios.com

... 2024 was forecast to be one of the busiest Atlantic hurricane seasons on record. Yet Atlantic storm activity is in a near-historic pause.

Why it matters: The reduced activity highlights the challenge of long-term forecasting, even as short-term forecasts indicate things will soon kick back up.

Between the lines: The causes of the pause come down to a few big factors. ...


#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-29 11:47 PM | Reply

And, for the record, here is the pre-season prediction I saved...

NOAA forecasts extraordinarily busy Atlantic hurricane season (May 2024)
www.axios.com

... By the numbers: The NOAA is forecasting the season will bring 85% odds of an above normal season, with 17"25 named storms of tropical storm intensity or greater, eight to 13 of which will become hurricanes, and four to seven major hurricanes of Category 3 or greater. ...

So... how did that forecast do?

There's this...

2024 Atlantic hurricane season
en.wikipedia.org

... Seasonal statistics
Total depressions 18
Total storms 18
Hurricanes 11
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+) 5
...

#2 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-29 11:52 PM | Reply

NOAA had a good final year.

#3 | Posted by REDIAL at 2024-11-29 11:56 PM | Reply

Some great guitar playing on this one...

Clarence "Gatemouth" Brown - We're Outta Here (1992)
www.youtube.com


No lyrics excerpt here. This one is solely about the music.


#4 | Posted by LampLighter at 2024-11-30 01:17 AM | Reply

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