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A chart that frames transgender people as responsible for more mass shootings than individuals from any other demographic group has resurfaced online in the wake of deadly events in Canada and the United States. But the data, which was first posted to X in 2025, does not accurately depict crime statistics, experts told AFP.

"Who Is Behind Mass Shootings?" a February 11, 2026 post on X asks, answering with a chart that claims to assign incidents with four or more fatalities to different races and gender identities.

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The image accumulated hundreds of thousands of engagements across social media in February, following a school shooting in British Columbia, Canada and another shooting arising from an apparent "family dispute" at an ice rink in the US state of Rhode Island. X owner Elon Musk amplified the chart to his more than 234 million followers, writing: "Wow."

The graph has circulated online since at least August 2025, AFP found.

It stems from X user Frank McCormick, who first posted it August 27, 2025 on his "@CBHeresy" account, before adding a variation on February 17, 2026.

Although the post does not explicitly say it is referencing the United States, McCormick later shared his sources, which include the US census and a database of shooting incidents compiled by Mother Jones, an American magazine.

Experts told AFP that despite frequent mass shootings in the United States, the posts framing transgender people as the most likely demographic to commit such acts of violence are mistaken.

"It is plainly obvious that most US shootings are not being done by people who are transgender," said Aaron Chalfin, associate professor of criminology at the University of Pennsylvania (archived here).

#3 10-4, my friend.

And, my pleasure.

#5 ;-)

#7 "...it's Trumpy's government data so it can no longer be trusted to be anywhere close to accurate."

For which we're all indebted to you, Donnerboy, for this: