More from the article ...

... One striking finding came among the roughly 10% of the electorate made up of naturalized citizens: They voted only narrowly for Kamala Harris after backing Joe Biden by about 20 points. The Democratic presidential coalition is still much more racially diverse than the Republican coalition, but the difference between the two has lessened over the course of Trump's three elections. ...

The Pew report adds further backing to the now well-established finding that the shifts from 2020 to 2024 were driven by voters of color, particularly Latinos and Asian Americans. Table 1 shows the voting by race in the Pew report, as well as the findings from the Catalist report and the Edison and VoteCast Election Night analyses. ...

Moving to a much broader observation, pre-election polling suggested that Trump was doing well among voters who did not participate in the 2020 election. Pew found that this group, comprising both people eligible to vote in 2020 but who did not vote along with those who were too young to vote in 2020, backed Trump by 7 points. The Catalist report also suggested that Trump won those who voted in 2024 but not 2020, although by a smaller 3-point margin. ...

Detailed table is in the article ...

@4 ... Trump is dumber and his policies are worse so your theory doesn't work. ...

The Pew report, as excellent as it is, is backward-looking, i.e., looking at and analyzing what happened.

Going forward, Pres Trump's approval rating went from around 52% in late January 2025, to around 46% recently.

That's not a good trend for Pres Trump going forward.