Thursday, September 05, 2024

Historian Lichtman Makes His Presidential Pick: Kamala

Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the ten most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.

More

Comments

"Spoiler alert: it's Vice President Kamala Harris.

Lichtman said in a video, first reported by The New York Times, that he based his prediction on thirteen keys or "big picture true false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party."

.

"Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip," he said in the video.

"The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight.

But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House."

That leaves Harris winning the White House, he said.

"At least that's my prediction for this race, but the outcome is up to you, so get out and vote."

#1 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-05 11:25 AM

Lichtman has a good record at this game.

#2 | Posted by Doc_Sarvis at 2024-09-05 11:39 AM

That leaves Harris winning the White House, he said.
Yay! So that means we can sit on our duffs on election day or vote for Jill Stein/Cornel West/RFK Junior/Toe Fungus!

"At least that's my prediction for this race, but the outcome is up to you, so get out and vote."
Booo! Hiss! I refuse to take accountability for the natural outcome of my actions in a democracy!

#3 | Posted by censored at 2024-09-05 11:42 AM

"Two Political Parties" - Thanks For Risking Your Life

Lewis Black

posted
Sep 5, 2024

www.youtube.com

(relevant short rant from 2020)

#4 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-05 05:06 PM

I hope he's right and it won't surprise ne if he is because I pretty nuch agree with his methods of predictions. So, Kamala wins but how much violence and chaos will Donald Trump cause just like last time but I fear it will be far worse, especially considering that if he loses he will probably be facing prison and that's without any additional new violence.

#5 | Posted by danni at 2024-09-05 05:43 PM

#5

Yeppers... Trump's best pitch now to his Base is that, 'your vote will keep me outta prison!'.

But the non-Base swing voters aren't quite as concerned about that as is the Base.

I think maybe enough of them are willing to let the legal system do it's damn job.

Without political appointee judges like Cannon and on the SC, and lies about so-called by Trumpers 'political prosecutions' in the DoJ stopping them.

If they want to see actual political prosecutions, those are mostly in the Republican House which will hold Hearings on impeaching Biden, but ignore the Trump Crime Family's income while in the WH.

And make excuses for SC Justices taking bribes.


#6 | Posted by Corky at 2024-09-05 06:29 PM

I like how Lichtman's very accurate system ignores bogus polling and its narratives.
Thats a key to his accuracy.

#7 | Posted by a_monson at 2024-09-05 11:15 PM

Konami Code Harris may have proven that the American people are receptive to anyone being elected president so long as you're a decent individual who meets the minimum standards needed to run the country.

#8 | Posted by Tor at 2024-09-06 12:21 AM

Lichtman was right about 10/10...SCOTUS decided Bush v. Gore. Gore actually won in 2000...that election was stolen. No way you can predict that.

#9 | Posted by chuffy at 2024-09-06 11:48 AM

"that election was stolen"

Thanks Donald.

#10 | Posted by sentinel at 2024-09-06 03:27 PM

Drudge Retort Headlines

Gaetz Withdraws (65 comments)

Gaetz Sent over $10K in Venmo Payments to Women who Testified (33 comments)

Mike Johnson Institutes Transgender Bathroom Ban for U.S. House (30 comments)

Murdoch's News Corp Accused of Undermining Democracy (24 comments)

RFK Jr. Compared Trump to Hitler (22 comments)

Poll: Americans Remain Divided on Key Campaign Promises (21 comments)

Nikki Haley Trashes Trump Picks RFK Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard (21 comments)

Pam Bondi Picked for AG After Gaetz Withdraws (20 comments)

Hegseth's Sex Assault Accuser 'remembers saying no a lot': police (18 comments)

Republicans on Ethics Panel Vote to Block Gaetz Report (17 comments)