Thursday, October 31, 2024

GALLUP: Democratic Voter Enthusiam Is Even Higher Than 2008

Democrats maintain elevated election enthusiasm, at 77%, compared with 67% among Republicans.

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Coupled with exhaustion over Trump, a level of Democrat voter excitement at 2008 levels, oodles of moderate Republican support for VP Harris, and a nation of women so PO'd over Dobbs and Trump they'd crawl over glass to vote for her, this election could very well be called before we go to bed Tuesday night.

A month ago, I said I thought she'd win comfortably. That hasn't changed.

#1 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-10-31 05:34 PM

There's been a Panic Alert Watch put on Visitor, and Robson, who is actually Visitor's Mom.

#2 | Posted by Corky at 2024-10-31 07:03 PM

AU

"A month ago, I said I thought she'd win comfortably. "

Same here. And I also thought those 50-50 polls numbers were being fudged. They just sounded too ridiculous to be true.

Pennsylvania was a must win state for both parties and I think Trump got the boot with that Puerto Rico comment.

#3 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-11-01 01:02 AM

"I also thought those 50-50 polls numbers were being fudged"

I did, too; still do.

I've yet to see an election poll since Dobbs which accurately accounted for pissed-off women.

#4 | Posted by Danforth at 2024-11-01 02:07 AM

I know I already voted. Straight Dem Ticket down the ballot.
I look forward to resting in my 4 star hotel on election night and
on the day that follows watching as the results trickle in. I think
she will win, unless there are major shenanigans. It is the days
following the election that I'm a little bit more concerned about.
But, like the last go around. I will enjoy the nice accommodations,
enjoy the pool, sauna, and hot tub. And take a nice car trip through
the nearby national park and stay cool. It will unwind as it always
does.

#5 | Posted by earthmuse at 2024-11-01 06:59 AM

Don't believe it.

VOTE the orange turd back to the trash heap.

Don't get complacent. Don't relax.

Work a phone bank. Knock on doors. Talk to your neighbors.

Cannot put the government in the hands of psychos like him, Bannon, Stone, Muskhole, Brainworm, etc.

Vote.

Flip the House. Hold and improve the Senate.

VOTE!

Peddle to the metal!

#6 | Posted by Nixon at 2024-11-01 07:43 AM

Keep the faith, peeps. There is still hope:

Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
FINAL Marist Pennsylvania poll (1,400 LVs, 10/27 - 10/30).

POTUS
Harris: 50% (+2)
Trump: 48%

PA SEN
Casey: 50% (+2)
McCormick: 48%

One of the best recent PA pollsters bar none, IMO. I hold them in very high esteem.

While this does not mean they'll be accurate again, a reminder that they were the only pollster this late in the game who essentially not only nailed the PA SEN '22 race by margin, but toplines too.

With RVs, the POTUS topline is actually 51-47 Harris. Similar movement to what Fox and a few others have found.

For vote methods, Harris wins those already voted (VBM) 63-35 while Trump, if nothing changes, wins ED 54-44.

Generic ballot is D+1 here (50-49).

x.com

#7 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-01 09:52 AM

Remember: When we vote, we win. VOTE!!!

Greg Sargent
@GregTSargent
New Marist polls:

PENNSYLVANIA
Harris 50
Trump 48

MICHIGAN
Harris 51
Trump 48

WISCONSIN
Harris 50
Trump 48

All three have Harris beating Trump among independents and doing well for a Dem among noncollege whites. Good signs all around.

One other point: Marist's likely voter electorate has it at 50% women in all three of these blue wall states, yet Harris winning by +2 and +3 in all of them. Electorate likely to have higher percentage of women in the end.

x.com

#8 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-01 09:58 AM

One more reason for hope:

Trump lagging in early vote with seniors in Pennsylvania, a red flag for GOP

Democrats account for about 58 percent of the votes cast by seniors so far in Pennsylvania.

For Democrats, it's an unexpected reason for optimism.

Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart, said he has been surprised by what he is calling the "silver surge" in early voting from older Democrats.

www.politico.com

#9 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-01 10:06 AM

"I think Trump got the boot with that Puerto Rico comment."

According to a Puerto Rican radio host in Allentown, PA, Puerto Ricans have a new meme: Tuesday is the day we take out the trash.

#10 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-01 10:31 AM

Will the Neo Confederates accept any election result that does not put Trump in the King's Throne?

Pretty sure not.

I expect Tali-baptist Raids on Blue Cities intent on murdering Libs in Red States, may wind up being their answer.

BOAZ has already built a brick wall 'out back' to make killing Libs easier, just as he boasted wanting to do.

Who here would put it past them.

He still thinks about it, while he fondles his armament.

#11 | Posted by Wardog at 2024-11-01 10:48 AM

I'm not going to jump on the "She's definitely going to win bandwagon."

But there is some news coming out of the Trump campaign's internal data that is worrying them quite a bit. And their data is going to be far better than what the news companies have access to.

Apparently they are seeing a huge enthusiasm gap and turnout issues. Early voting is not in the direction they wanted.

They need young men to show up on election day to vote right now or they are in trouble. And that's asking a lot and somewhat unlikely.

#12 | Posted by Sycophant at 2024-11-01 12:34 PM

I'm not going to jump on the "She's definitely going to win bandwagon."

My posts in this thread aren't meant to make that prediction either. Some of my friends are convinced Trump is goinog to win, but I don't think that is a fait accompli. I'm holding out hope for a Harris/Walz victory if perhaps only by the slimmest of margins. We'll see.

#13 | Posted by Gal_Tuesday at 2024-11-01 03:51 PM

"There's been a Panic Alert Watch put on Visitor, and Robson, who is actually Visitor's Mom." -

#2 | Posted by Corky

Visitor_'s mon & dad are very, very proud of her.

#14 | Posted by Hans at 2024-11-01 04:01 PM

Trump had a rally last night at Macomb County (MI) Community College, 4 miles from the Detroit border.

Macomb County is the birthplace of "Reagan Democrats" and went for Trump in 2016 and 2020. About 500,000 registered voters. Trump failed to get a crowd last night. 3 days before the election! Not a good sign for Trump.

Half of the 3500 capacity gym wasn't used, and even the barricaded section for seating wasn't full. Maybe 1000 total attended, and many of those left as he rambled on for an hour and forty-five minutes.

The other half of the basketball gym Trump is using for his Macomb rally is barren and empty. Like his plan for America. For reals. pic.twitter.com/4rMyp6gyL2

- Michigan GOP Watch (@MiMagaWatch) November 1, 2024

#15 | Posted by AMERICANUNITY at 2024-11-02 12:55 AM

AU

I think Trump is getting the hint by now. He's going to lose this election. In fact, he's not even putting any more effort into it, except to maybe throw out some more dog whistled for his groupies to attack the primary antagonists on his enemies list.

I hope Liz is paying attention. There's nothing quite so dangerous as a cornered rat.

#16 | Posted by Twinpac at 2024-11-02 04:19 AM

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