The summer and fall months often see menacing storms roaring through the Atlantic Ocean ...
Peak hurricane season has been unusually quiet despite warm seas, but forecasters say lower wind shear later this month could trigger more Atlantic storms.
-- Scripps News (@scrippsnews.bsky.social) Sep 14, 2025 at 3:45 PM
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It has now been 19 days since we last had a named storm active in the Atlantic. 
This is the first time since 1939 that we have not had a storm during this period (August 29th to September 16th).
x.com
NOAA seasonal outlooks for the number of storms has a historical rate around 50-60% accuracy.
How about number of hurricanes and major hurricanes?
And also August, when it really counts.
Here's some answers from the American Meteorological Society:
ams.confex.com
Clearly better information than using the five year average, except for May. Which makes sense since May has the most uncertainty.
NOAA provides information that saves lives. And all you can do it ----- about it and deride them.
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