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Drudge Retort: The Other Side of the News
Friday, October 24, 2025

U.S. consumer prices increased slightly less than expected in September as a surge in the cost of gasoline was partially offset by a sharp moderation in rents, keeping the Federal Reserve on track to cut interest rates again next week. Consumer inflation last month also was restrained by a slowdown in the pace of price increases for airfares, hotel and motel rooms as well as cheaper used cars and trucks, the report from the Labor Department showed on Friday. But tariffs on imports continued to raise prices for apparel, appliances, furniture and bedding, and sporting goods.

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More from the article ...

... "This inflation print is a sigh of relief for the Fed," said Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economic research at Fitch Ratings. "The tariff passthrough generally remains muted, as the focus shifts squarely to a weakening labor market. This will be framed as an insurance cut, with hopes that by December the shutdown is over and the Fed has a clearer read on jobs."

The Consumer Price Index rose 0.3% last month after climbing 0.4% in August, the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics said. A 4.1% jump in the price of gasoline was the main driver of the rise in the CPI.

Food prices rose 0.2% after accelerating 0.5% in August. Grocery store food prices increased 0.3% amid a 0.7% surge in the cost of cereals and nonalcoholic beverages.

Beef prices rose 1.2% after shooting up 2.7% in August. They increased 14.7% compared to the same period in 2024, driven in part by droughts in prior years that raised the cost of feed. Coffee prices dipped 0.1% after surging 3.6% in August. Prices were 18.9% higher compared to September 2024, reflecting the impact of drought and tariffs.

In the 12 months through September, the CPI increased 3.0% after advancing 2.9% in August. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI would increase by 0.4% on a monthly basis and 3.1% on a year-over-year basis. ...



#1 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-10-24 01:06 PM | Reply

Hard to believe since Trump fired the commissioner of labor statistics.

#2 | Posted by qcp at 2025-10-24 02:23 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

Hard to believe

#2 | Posted by qcp

No reason to believe at all.

#3 | Posted by Zed at 2025-10-24 03:52 PM | Reply | Newsworthy 1

No reason to believe at all.

#3 | POSTED BY ZED

Exactly.

He lies about everything.

He lies about the numbers no matter who develops and reports them. This just makes it easier for him to lie by making it harder for anyone to fact check him.

#4 | Posted by donnerboy at 2025-10-24 05:39 PM | Reply

@#2 ... Hard to believe since Trump fired the commissioner of labor statistics. ...

I'm not there yet.

These numbers look believable to me. (don't look at the headline, look at the details in the Reuters article)

They were released based upon the work of the good people in BLS who do this work.

The details in #1 seem to be reasonable.

Going forward, however, well, that may be a whole different story. One in which your skepticism may be warranted.

And, I will also take this opportunity to state that the Fed has been concerned recently more about the job market than inflation.

Stated differently, we need the statistics about the job market.

For some odd reason this happened ...

Flying Blind: ADP Stops Giving the Fed Access to Its Private Jobs Data
mishtalk.com

... After a speech by Fed Governor Chris Waller in August, ADP stopped giving the Fed data.

Lost Access

The data in question is not the public data from which I produce monthly charts such as the lead chart.

Rather, the Fed lost access to proprietary subsets.

The Wall Street Journal reports Fed Lost Access to Private Jobs Data Ahead of Government Shutdown

... Federal Reserve officials, who are unable to receive U.S. economic statistics because of the continuing government shutdown, recently lost access to a separate measure of employment data from a third-party provider.

Since at least 2018, payroll-processing company ADP has provided the Fed with access to a data set that includes anonymized information on employment and earnings for millions of workers. The data, which covers 20% of the nation's private workforce, had been available to the Fed with a roughly one-week delay"making it both a timely and comprehensive gauge of job-market conditions.

ADP stopped providing its data to the Fed shortly after a speech by Fed governor Christopher Waller in late August drew attention to the central bank's longstanding use of its weekly payroll data, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The Fed's data-sharing relationship with ADP has been public for years. Minutes of Fed policy meetings as recently as 2023 included generalized descriptions of the central bank's analysis of ADP data similar to Waller's August speech. ...



#5 | Posted by LampLighter at 2025-10-24 09:23 PM | Reply

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