FTA:

I believed things he told me that I now understand to be ... lies,' Dave Hancock says in new Rittenhouse documentary.

As Hancock told it on The Trials of Kyle Rittenhouse, the 90-minute film's main subject had "a history of things he was doing prior to [the double slaying], specifically patrolling the street for months with guns and borrowing people's security uniforms, doing whatever he could to try to get into some kind of a fight".

Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
We'll continue to include Rasmussen polls in our averages. They're real polls. But this sort of explicit coordination with a campaign, coupled with ambiguity about funding sources, means that we're going to label Rasmussen as an intrinsically partisan (R) pollster going forward.

It won't make much difference given that Rasmussen already has a strong R-leaning house effect (see below) but still this is the right precedent to set per our standards.

Further, where in the hell were you when all of big tech suppressed the laptop story that was 100% true?
#14 | Posted by BellRinger

The laptop was a Russian op:

Denver Riggleman - Former VA Rep, Former USAF/NSA Intel
@RepRiggleman

I know @levparnas

He's not ------------.

Watch his documentary #FromRussiaWithLev

I know a lot about this. More than most ...

Jay
@nobodyafrn1
So this whole Hunters laptop stuff was a Russian op?

Mighty Hams
@TheMightyHams
Parnas said in an interview after the doc that a Russian intelligence asset pretended to be Biden's friend and took him to Kazakhstan, which is where the Russians got his laptop. The laptop itself may be real, but the stuff that was added to it by Russia is the op.

That whole climate change crap is a hoax, right?
#1 | Posted by LegallyYourDead

I don't remember who said what, but I do remember a number of Drudge posters a few weeks ago saying, Hey, I thought this was going to be a really bad hurricane season because of climate change? Ha-ha-ha. Guess you all were wrong.

The data shows that, among those not in detention, there are 425,431 convicted criminals and 222,141 with pending criminal charges. The data does not reveal how many of those criminals are recent arrivals.

For comparison, in August 2016, toward the end of the Obama administration, ICE said there were about 2.2 million noncitizens on the non-detained docket and about 368,574 were convicted criminals.

I did find out how many non-detained immigrants there were at the end of 2020, but I can't find any stats on how many of them were convicted criminals, although it stands to reason some must have been just as some were in 2016 and 2024:

Additionally, beyond managing ICE's detained population, ICE ERO also manages nondetained cases. In FY 2020, the number of aliens on ICE ERO's non-detained national docket remained consistent with FY 2019 at 3.26 million cases.

Anyone whitewashing these numbers deserves a lashing. The US can expect civil lawsuits.
662,566 non-detainers with criminal backgrounds.
435,719 convicted criminals
226,847 with pending criminal trials.

How about people who are blackwashing these numbers? What should happen to them? Here's what the letter actually says:

Your letter requests the number of noncitizens on ICE's docket convicted or charged with
a crime. As of July 21, 2024, there were 662,566 noncitizens with criminal histories on ICE's
national docket, which includes those detained by ICE, and on the agency's non-detained docket.
Of those, 435,719 are convicted criminals, and 226,847 have pending criminal charges.

So, no, it does not say "662,566 non-detainers with criminal backgrounds." It says: "there were 662,566 noncitizens with criminal histories on ICE's national docket, which includes those detained by ICE, and on the agency's non-detained docket."

And again as I pointed out earlier, the letter does not say when those noncitizens crossed the board or how long they've been in this country:

On 27 September, US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) released figures showing it had recorded 662,566 "noncitizens with criminal histories" - which includes those currently detained by the agency and those not detained.

It says 435,719 of them are convicted criminals and 226,847 have pending criminal charges.

The figures go up to July 2024 but ICE does not say when the cases date back to or when these people arrived in the US.

CNN's fact checker explains where Trump's MI Man of the Year lie comes from, and it's not a new lie:

Daniel Dale
@ddale8
Not watching the speech but this remains a lie: Trump gave a speech to a Michigan Republican dinner in 2013, was given some thank-you gifts, and has turned that into having received the nonexistent state Man of the Year Award

Here are some of the lies that Trump is telling about Charleroi, PA:

In an interview, Charleroi Borough Manager Joe Manning flatly said that Trump's claims are false or simply do not apply to his town in any sense. "There's what the former president is saying," Manning told me, "and then there's easily observable reality."

Trump's assertions about Haitians and Charleroi echo his many lies about Springfield. He portrayed Charleroi as absolutely overrun with migrants, as if it's succumbing to a foreign "invasion," a word he also used at the Pennsylvania rally.

"Not far from here, the 4,000-person town of Charleroi ... has seen a 2,000 percent increase in the population," Trump seethed at the rally, which was held in Indiana, Pennsylvania. He suggested that Charleroi has become a "totally different place."

But that's not close to true, according to Manning. He says the town's population of Haitians is actually "between 700 and 800." Manning pointed out that if Trump's claim were true"and this town of just over 4,000 had seen a 2,000 percent increase"it would suddenly have a population closer to 100,000. Recounting this idea to me, Manning burst out laughing.

At his rally, Trump also ramped up the zero-sum rhetoric about immigrants taking American jobs. "Another front in Kamala's war on workers is her gigantic migrant invasion," he said.

Trump even embellished this with an elaborate tale in which Harris is chief engineer behind a project to "inundate Pennsylvania communities." He held up Charleroi as an example of this throughout, telegraphing his closing argument in this must-win state.

But this rhetoric simply doesn't apply to Charleroi, Manning said. He noted that many of the Haitians work at a local packaging plant whose owner could not find workers, and went to an employment agency for help. That agency got Haitians to come work in the borough"in other words, locals, and not Harris, enticed them there"and they liked the place, Manning said, so they "put down roots."

The key tell here, Manning pointed out, is that even now, with the Haitians already in the town, the packaging plant owner is still looking for workers.

"They ain't taking anybody's jobs," Manning said, noting that they are helping revitalize the town, just as immigrants are reviving other Rust Belt towns amid postindustrial population decline. "They have occupied places that were vacant for years because a lot of people moved out of here," he noted.

What about Trump's claim that towns across Pennsylvania are being swamped by job-stealing immigrants? Well, the state's unemployment rate is 3.4 percent, so it's unclear how this represents a "war on workers," as Trump says. As Paul Krugman explains, immigrants often boost employment for the native-born in such communities, because they spend money in them. As for Trump's suggestion that immigrants are unleashing a crime wave in the state, asked whether there's been any uptick in crime in Charleroi, Manning bluntly replied: "No."

Only an idiot would believe no criminals or rapist are getting into the US via Biden's border policies.

Anyone whitewashing these numbers deserves a lashing. The US can expect civil lawsuits.

The question is: when did they get in? Have some of them been here for years? How do these figures compare to numbers for other administrations?:

The data shows that, among those not in detention, there are 425,431 convicted criminals and 222,141 with pending criminal charges. The data does not reveal how many of those criminals are recent arrivals.

For comparison, in August 2016, toward the end of the Obama administration, ICE said there were about 2.2 million noncitizens on the non-detained docket and about 368,574 were convicted criminals.

Another PA poll out today:

#3 Yeas, Shapiro says it's basically a tie in the article I linked to above:

Sargent: Governor, as of today, the polling averages have Harris ahead 1.3 points in your state. That's incredibly close. What's your sense? As of now, is Harris leading in Pennsylvania, even if it's by an extremely slim margin, or is it functionally a tie?

Shapiro: I mean, look, it's probably functionally a tie. But hear me on this, because I think some context is really important. The last two presidential races, Greg, came down to 44,000 votes and 80,000 votes to put that in some context for your viewers and listeners. That's a point or less. So whether it's statistically a tie or it's one point, the reality is the races here come down to a few tens of thousands of votes. Now, I'd rather be us than them. Let me explain why. Let me offer a little bit of meat on the bone there to back up my statement. Kamala Harris is playing on his side of the field right now. She's showing up in rural communities and getting some really positive feedback. I'm seeing, anecdotally, more signs, more volunteers, more people willing to join the Harris campaign in the communities that are those swing areas or the swing counties. And while you got to pick up those last few yards and get in the end zone"and those last few yards are really tough here in Pennsylvania"I think we've got momentum and I'd rather be us than them in this battle.

Governor Shapiro talks about Kamala Harris' chances of winning Pennsylvania and responds to Trump's attacks on Haitians in the state, which Shapiro calls "utter --------."

It's almost all negative coverage.
Posted by BellRinger

No, it isn't. They continue to sanewash him everyday.

Because the race in PA is so tight and because Trump's major campaign strategy now is demonizing immigrants, he has taken his Springfield, OH tactcs to PA and once again his claims about Haitian immigrants are a pack of lies:

Trump's repugnant new claims about immigrants in another small town"Charleroi, in southwestern Pennsylvania"expose the ugly underbelly of that zero-sum messaging in a fresh way. At a rally near Pittsburgh on Monday, Trump unleashed a volley of new attacks on Haitian arrivals to Charleroi, and used them to launch a broader argument about Pennsylvania, insisting that its towns and villages have been "inundated."

In an interview, Charleroi Borough Manager Joe Manning flatly said that Trump's claims are false or simply do not apply to his town in any sense. "There's what the former president is saying," Manning told me, "and then there's easily observable reality."

A breakdown of 3 of the polls listed above:

Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
Incoming right now from @SusquehannaPR and their latest poll of PA!

A word of caution: A number of other polls came out yesterday in PA, and they all have the race much tighter than this poll does:

Joshua Smithley
@blockedfreq
"Wednesday PA Pollapalooza Recap:

Muhlenberg: TIE
SP&R: TIE
RMG: TIE
" *FocalData: Harris+2
" *Monmouth: Harris+3

Frankly, today is just a rerun of what we've been getting over the last few weeks. Would expect Harris+1-1.5 right now in most aggregates.

They sure aren't family anymore and haven't been in a very long time, which is a shame because it was a good city for baseball once upon a time.